Third-Odyssey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$28.4K

Unrealized P&L

+$174

Hit rate

82.0%

Resolved

829

Trades

10,216

lifetime

Volume

$338.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

$342

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 17:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 196 days

Categories

Other

82% 69% +$25,323

Crypto

18% 57% +$3,090

Politics

0% 0% -$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 735 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No		+303	$64	77¢	$234	+$170	09-19 00:36
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes		+801	$104	14¢	$108	+$4	09-19 01:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	47	$5.8K	5,666	5,666	+0	open	—	10-22 09:18
will xauusd dip to 4300 in june 2026	24	$5.8K	4,571	4,571	+0	Yes	+$832	06-08 05:44
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	52	$5.5K	5,417	5,417	+0	Yes	+$140	07-17 16:01
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	46	$5.2K	4,729	4,729	+0	open	—	10-26 05:14
will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	571	$5.1K	5,505	5,505	+0	Yes	+$545	07-12 17:09
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	37	$4.7K	3,544	2,640	+904	$80k	+$412	05-03 12:22
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	26	$4.3K	4,790	4,790	+0	Yes	+$614	05-28 02:20
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	129	$4.2K	6,076	6,297	-222	No	+$310	01-29 17:40
gc settle above 5100 jan 2026	119	$3.9K	4,373	4,591	-218	No	+$85	01-30 15:12
will xagusd reach 70 in august 2026	30	$3.8K	4,501	3,189	+1,313	Yes	+$865	08-17 20:04
gc settle 4975 5100 jan 2026	120	$3.6K	3,048	2,888	+160	No	+$156	01-30 17:22
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	70	$3.6K	7,949	5,924	+2,025	No	-$579	07-26 21:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	32	$3.6K	5,231	5,231	+0	No	+$565	05-15 07:03
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	42	$3.5K	4,056	4,056	+0	Yes	+$576	09-24 05:12
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	590	$3.2K	2,953	2,953	+0	No	+$196	08-24 02:30
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	51	$3.1K	3,507	3,507	+0	Yes	+$110	07-19 20:20
gc settle 4725 4850 jan 2026	93	$3.1K	2,398	2,233	+165	Yes	+$240	01-30 19:01
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?	48	$2.9K	3,784	3,013	+771	open	—	10-27 20:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	26	$2.9K	4,151	4,151	+0	Yes	+$153	06-15 07:18
will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	19	$2.8K	5,622	3,095	+2,527	No	-$609	07-24 19:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	20	$2.7K	2,408	2,408	+0	Yes	+$676	05-22 17:34
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	10	$2.6K	2,327	2,327	-0	Yes	+$502	05-15 09:21
will bnb dip to 600 in june	7	$2.5K	1,883	1,883	+0	Yes	+$1,268	06-04 02:02
will silver si hit low 70 by end of february 712 779 958 335 231 549 229 331	70	$2.5K	3,033	2,993	+40	No	+$283	02-22 18:17
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?	49	$2.5K	3,921	3,921	+0	open	—	10-22 11:11
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 5	157	$2.4K	2,406	2,360	+47	No	+$57	03-05 11:19
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	142	$2.3K	6,072	5,996	+76	No	-$91	02-17 01:02
will wti reach 90 in september 2026	18	$2.3K	2,114	2,114	+0	Yes	+$239	08-30 20:38
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?	32	$2.0K	3,487	1,986	+1,501	open	—	10-28 04:51
gc settle 4600 4725 jan 2026	71	$2.0K	2,157	1,067	+1,090	No	+$221	01-31 05:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 17:56:08	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	12¢	$48	0xd1f17f…
10-28 17:56:08	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	323	13¢	$42	0x05211b…
10-28 17:56:07	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in October?	Yes	BUY	500	9¢	$45	0x86916c…
10-28 17:56:07	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x2458f2…
10-28 17:50:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x41d727…
10-28 17:50:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0xf8eca2…
10-28 17:49:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x5c8533…
10-28 17:49:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x175085…
10-28 17:49:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x9b37fe…
10-28 17:48:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x99d340…
10-28 17:47:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	500	13¢	$65	0x803527…
10-28 17:38:07	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	90	13¢	$12	0x32dab2…
10-28 17:37:50	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	320	21¢	$67	0x69526a…
10-28 17:37:11	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0xa47cae…
10-28 17:36:28	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	378	21¢	$79	0x935eff…
10-28 07:42:28	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	128	59¢	$76	0x69b2b4…
10-28 04:51:40	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0xdd9626…
10-28 04:51:05	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	25	59¢	$15	0x53a3a9…
10-28 01:41:05	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	821	25¢	$205	0xc8ef82…
10-28 01:20:03	Will Solana hit $150 by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	21	60¢	$13	0x5806c5…
10-27 20:03:53	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x2c99b3…
10-27 20:03:47	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?	No	SELL	52	60¢	$31	0xf549f6…
10-27 20:03:47	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?	No	SELL	225	60¢	$135	0x509ac6…
10-27 08:18:24	Will Ethereum hit $6k by September 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xcbe1f4…
10-27 01:02:15	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?	No	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x4c2d5b…
10-26 23:25:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0xe71014…
10-26 23:25:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	189	10¢	$19	0x376a17…
10-26 23:24:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	61	10¢	$6	0xf917bd…
10-26 23:22:11	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	264	4¢	$10	0xffd8ca…
10-26 23:21:56	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	250	3¢	$8	0x142833…
10-26 23:21:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	234	10¢	$23	0xd39b73…
10-26 14:53:00	Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	152	50¢	$76	0x2f5ca1…
10-26 14:46:38	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	477	42¢	$200	0xef8e81…
10-26 14:37:42	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	300	42¢	$126	0xde2e0f…
10-26 11:16:45	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in November?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x2c7321…
10-26 10:13:33	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?	No	BUY	593	52¢	$308	0xd81ef9…
10-26 09:52:00	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	150	42¢	$63	0x8dcf2d…
10-26 05:35:48	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $51 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x40d863…
10-26 05:26:47	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $51 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0x0a0ba9…
10-26 05:14:21	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	No	SELL	1,515	64¢	$969	0x9d4a80…
10-26 05:03:30	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $51 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	202	25¢	$50	0x5ccc46…
10-25 23:14:33	Will Cap reach $0.15 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	35	22¢	$8	0x329de4…
10-25 20:14:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	42	8¢	$3	0xb72cb1…
10-25 20:03:29	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	70	8¢	$6	0xbead40…
10-25 20:03:29	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xbbfd4d…
10-25 20:03:27	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	269	8¢	$22	0xf294d7…
10-25 20:03:27	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xe21661…
10-25 20:03:27	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x9a5319…
10-25 20:03:26	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x9a0633…
10-25 20:02:02	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xabf13c…
10-25 20:01:20	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x7a910c…
10-25 20:01:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	558	8¢	$45	0x938d8d…
10-25 19:58:54	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xe6f85e…
10-25 19:56:51	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	55	8¢	$4	0x5c4f61…
10-25 16:56:15	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?	Yes	SELL	123	34¢	$42	0xf0e743…
10-25 14:37:53	Will Cap reach $0.15 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	130	16¢	$21	0x4ee281…
10-25 11:38:09	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	No	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0x6bcfd8…
10-25 10:41:17	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xce3cbf…
10-25 10:38:03	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	No	SELL	40	64¢	$26	0xe9c058…
10-25 10:38:03	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	No	SELL	80	64¢	$51	0xa395fc…
10-25 10:38:03	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	No	SELL	24	64¢	$15	0x7d4f28…
10-25 10:38:03	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x4a4c87…
10-25 09:29:36	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	120	59¢	$71	0x9a6b35…
10-25 05:08:33	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?	No	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x781e87…
10-25 04:52:15	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x945691…
10-25 04:51:44	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x86abd3…
10-24 17:35:03	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?	Yes	BUY	62	26¢	$16	0xf4af66…
10-24 17:32:12	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?	Yes	BUY	62	26¢	$16	0xa28e44…
10-24 15:40:05	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	Yes	SELL	34	42¢	$14	0xf07940…
10-24 15:37:00	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	35	44¢	$15	0x4be308…
10-24 15:15:29	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	Yes	SELL	171	42¢	$72	0xbe0b89…
10-24 14:22:39	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x1f7627…
10-24 14:19:00	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $56 in October?	Yes	BUY	262	40¢	$105	0xa9e6cd…
10-24 14:04:00	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	59¢	$30	0x04a951…
10-24 13:17:24	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	59¢	$7	0x150eba…
10-24 12:48:45	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x563f46…
10-24 10:20:05	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,000 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0xbd0951…
10-24 06:35:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x976796…
10-24 06:35:15	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0xc5107e…
10-24 06:33:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	188	34¢	$64	0x0979ae…
10-24 04:06:54	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x123595…
10-24 01:39:45	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	38	44¢	$17	0x2bc164…
10-24 01:37:30	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	44	75¢	$33	0xb387b6…
10-24 01:20:53	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xc6f516…
10-24 01:19:09	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	28	44¢	$12	0xd7b1f0…
10-24 00:41:39	Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	466	38¢	$176	0x969b6a…
10-24 00:41:38	Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0x38f6c5…
10-24 00:23:39	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0xfa97ab…
10-24 00:23:39	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	150	44¢	$66	0x27f813…
10-23 23:45:47	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	80	53¢	$42	0x9a8732…
10-23 22:00:35	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xd20935…
10-23 22:00:32	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	No	SELL	86	64¢	$55	0xecf3a6…
10-23 22:00:32	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	No	SELL	79	64¢	$51	0xd80516…
10-23 22:00:30	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	No	SELL	40	64¢	$26	0xa1a27c…
10-23 22:00:30	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	No	SELL	21	64¢	$13	0x0633b8…
10-23 20:03:21	Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0030 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	663	16¢	$109	0xac31e6…
10-23 19:55:53	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x13c880…
10-23 17:55:12	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	300	50¢	$150	0x456a75…
10-23 16:47:47	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0x625f0b…
10-23 14:06:00	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x74272a…