Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?
open
Total volume
$3,661
$3,919 in 24h
Trades
36
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$4,306
Latest YES mid
44¢
Latest NO mid
56¢
End date
2026-06-01
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-12 21:22
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-28.3¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $732
vs crowd: 28% YES on $2.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $732 | $732 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $592 | $908 | $315 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $69 | $33 | +$36 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $732 | $732 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 3 | $69 | — | +$69 |
| Below median | 3 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $592 | $908 | $315 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 6 | — | $28 | $28 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | No | +1,806 | $908 | $908 | 5 | 05-11 23:53 |
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | +1,501 | $732 | $732 | 1 | 05-10 10:59 |
| Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | Yes | +1,250 | $592 | $592 | 3 | 05-10 22:37 |
| Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | Yes | +80 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 05-12 21:22 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | +70 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 05-10 10:59 |
| Enormous-Necktie 0x6b83…f42d | No | +31 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 05-11 13:19 |
| Outstanding-Mortality 0xdc5e…ff63 | No | +30 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-11 13:57 |
| Palatable-Update 0x0e61…bf37 | No | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 23:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 21:22:42 | Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 43¢ | $25 | 0x91466d… |
| 05-12 21:21:38 | Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 38¢ | $9 | 0xe0ce85… |
| 05-12 20:07:43 | Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 40¢ | $1 | 0xf6e4b7… |
| 05-12 19:57:50 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x997352… |
| 05-12 19:47:25 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | SELL | 138 | 37¢ | $51 | 0xee3b5d… |
| 05-12 19:47:23 | (anonymous) 0x5c43…cbb2 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 37¢ | $9 | 0x1e73f9… |
| 05-12 19:47:20 | Third-Odyssey 0xa53b…4021 | Yes | SELL | 864 | 44¢ | $377 | 0x344765… |
| 05-12 07:56:15 | Wise-Poverty 0x5e50…11cd | Yes | SELL | 55 | 40¢ | $22 | 0xd26d16… |
| 05-12 01:52:55 | Substantial-Loading 0x6f8b…56ed | Yes | SELL | 20 | 42¢ | $9 | 0x6bb1b1… |
| 05-11 23:58:32 | Burdensome-Hit 0x7f27…7a85 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 39¢ | $22 | 0x1e84d4… |
| 05-11 23:58:21 | Superior-Parsley 0x299c…7e23 | Yes | SELL | 180 | 41¢ | $74 | 0x53d6dd… |
| 05-11 23:53:06 | Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | No | BUY | 50 | 52¢ | $26 | 0xf64234… |
| 05-11 23:53:03 | Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | No | BUY | 385 | 51¢ | $197 | 0x52826d… |
| 05-11 23:52:57 | Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | No | BUY | 371 | 50¢ | $185 | 0x838c51… |
| 05-11 23:52:54 | Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | No | BUY | 500 | 50¢ | $250 | 0x416355… |
| 05-11 23:52:49 | Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | No | BUY | 500 | 50¢ | $250 | 0xd0e66f… |
| 05-11 23:19:02 | Palatable-Update 0x0e61…bf37 | No | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0xd35056… |
| 05-11 23:18:17 | Spicy-Disease 0xa99f…b306 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 50¢ | $25 | 0xfb427c… |
| 05-11 13:57:01 | Outstanding-Mortality 0xdc5e…ff63 | No | BUY | 30 | 48¢ | $14 | 0x324722… |
| 05-11 13:31:20 | Advanced-Shipper 0xa8b3…4484 | Yes | SELL | 672 | 59¢ | $393 | 0xc1ba74… |
| 05-11 13:19:41 | Enormous-Necktie 0x6b83…f42d | No | BUY | 10 | 40¢ | $4 | 0xe2cc7e… |
| 05-11 12:29:28 | Spicy-Disease 0xa99f…b306 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 60¢ | $8 | 0x314708… |
| 05-11 06:38:58 | Close-Overnighter 0xe26c…48f5 | No | SELL | 100 | 33¢ | $33 | 0xbb8924… |
| 05-11 02:05:35 | Circular-Hunting 0xee1b…5d2c | No | SELL | 100 | 49¢ | $49 | 0xbc4cf6… |
| 05-10 23:56:53 | Bleak-Binoculars 0x938e…2ee3 | No | SELL | 400 | 52¢ | $207 | 0x869c57… |
| 05-10 22:37:24 | Possible-Reason 0x561b…9b6c | No | SELL | 50 | 52¢ | $26 | 0xbb2a8b… |
| 05-10 22:37:19 | Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 48¢ | $240 | 0xcfeef7… |
| 05-10 22:37:17 | Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | Yes | BUY | 250 | 47¢ | $118 | 0xedc085… |
| 05-10 22:37:13 | Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 47¢ | $235 | 0xbc55a0… |
| 05-10 12:42:19 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 45¢ | $11 | 0x2c9b6e… |
| 05-10 10:59:28 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | BUY | 70 | 51¢ | $36 | 0x0dca83… |
| 05-10 10:59:26 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | BUY | 1,501 | 49¢ | $732 | 0x8bf1d3… |
| 05-10 03:51:27 | Enormous-Necktie 0x6b83…f42d | No | BUY | 14 | 48¢ | $7 | 0x5aa13f… |
| 05-09 03:36:33 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x06dae4… |
| 05-09 03:36:30 | Possible-Reason 0x561b…9b6c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x1e6ed5… |
| 05-09 03:24:32 | Enormous-Necktie 0x6b83…f42d | No | BUY | 7 | 47¢ | $3 | 0x7611fd… |