Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

78.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,212

lifetime

Volume

$7.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$16

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 06-16 12:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 86% +$19

Other

27% 74% $-3

Politics

13% 100% +$1

Sports

3% 100% +$4

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	-20	$-9	30¢	$-6	+$3	06-01 06:29
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	-5	$-5	96¢	$-5	$-0	06-01 06:28
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	-5	$-4	94¢	$-5	$-0	06-01 06:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	-22	$-6	1¢	$-0	+$6	06-01 06:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	14	$66	35	35	+0	open	—	05-30 00:11
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	2	$54	0	90	-90	open	—	06-01 06:28
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 1?	4	$49	62	0	+62	open	—	05-01 13:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$47	51	12	+39	open	—	05-28 00:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$47	26	26	+0	open	—	05-25 14:42
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	2	$46	26	26	+0	open	—	05-12 02:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	3	$40	22	22	+0	open	—	05-25 01:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	2	$39	50	0	+50	open	—	05-04 04:55
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$37	46	0	+46	open	—	04-26 06:14
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$36	20	20	+0	open	—	05-24 08:09
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	5	$35	26	13	+13	open	—	05-29 19:29
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	8	$35	45	0	+45	open	—	02-23 02:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	3	$33	42	0	+42	open	—	04-16 07:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	1	$33	41	0	+41	open	—	05-01 00:41
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$33	40	0	+40	open	—	04-28 07:05
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$33	40	0	+40	open	—	04-28 07:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	1	$33	39	0	+39	open	—	04-28 07:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	2	$32	42	0	+42	open	—	05-01 11:56
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1?	1	$32	38	0	+38	open	—	05-01 09:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 1?	1	$32	37	0	+37	open	—	05-01 11:35
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 30?	1	$32	39	0	+39	open	—	04-30 22:07
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	4	$31	35	0	+35	open	—	02-06 23:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	4	$30	37	0	+37	open	—	04-14 23:14
will ethereum reach 2500 april 13 19	2	$29	35	0	+35	open	—	04-16 19:30
will ethereum reach 2400 on april 16	2	$29	34	0	+34	open	—	04-16 19:24
2026 rbc heritage winner ludvig aberg win	3	$29	34	0	+34	open	—	04-16 18:53
will bitcoin reach 78k april 13 19	3	$28	34	0	+34	open	—	04-16 11:25
will ethereum dip to 2250 on april 21	2	$28	32	0	+32	open	—	04-21 19:10
bitcoin above 76k on april 17	2	$28	34	0	+34	open	—	04-15 08:14
will ethereum dip to 2300 on april 14	1	$28	32	0	+32	open	—	04-15 00:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 12:05:15	eth updown 5m 1781611500	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x057840…
06-16 11:50:13	eth updown 5m 1781610600	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xdce21d…
06-16 11:40:15	eth updown 5m 1781610000	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xfce73e…
06-16 11:35:13	eth updown 5m 1781609700	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x9989ff…
06-16 11:30:15	eth updown 5m 1781609400	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2f4152…
06-16 11:15:15	eth updown 5m 1781608500	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0c7c3d…
06-16 11:10:16	eth updown 5m 1781608200	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x9f8819…
06-16 10:50:15	eth updown 5m 1781607000	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x423764…
06-16 10:40:13	eth updown 5m 1781606400	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x61a6d5…
06-16 10:35:15	eth updown 5m 1781606100	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x883145…
06-16 10:30:15	eth updown 5m 1781605800	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x7e95e2…
06-16 10:20:15	eth updown 5m 1781605200	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe12dd5…
06-16 10:15:15	eth updown 5m 1781604900	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc0237b…
06-16 10:05:13	eth updown 5m 1781604300	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9327ed…
06-16 10:00:13	eth updown 5m 1781604000	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x2b78ac…
06-16 09:55:13	eth updown 5m 1781603700	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x6d48c3…
06-16 09:40:13	eth updown 5m 1781602800	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe26b10…
06-16 09:35:15	eth updown 5m 1781602500	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd78174…
06-16 09:25:13	eth updown 5m 1781601900	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x089d43…
06-16 09:20:15	eth updown 5m 1781601600	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb25a1d…
06-16 09:15:15	eth updown 5m 1781601300	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x4c7bf6…
06-16 09:05:13	eth updown 5m 1781600700	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xaa7e12…
06-16 02:15:15	eth updown 5m 1781576100	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x4519e2…
06-16 02:10:19	eth updown 5m 1781575800	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb7061f…
06-16 02:05:13	eth updown 5m 1781575500	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x9f1865…
06-16 02:00:15	eth updown 5m 1781575200	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x9a6217…
06-15 14:55:13	eth updown 5m 1781535300	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x394a6a…
06-15 14:50:13	eth updown 5m 1781535000	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdb3b7f…
06-15 14:45:13	eth updown 5m 1781534700	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa48949…
06-15 14:41:13	eth updown 5m 1781534400	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x1a0f40…
06-09 14:43:37	bitcoin above 66k on june 12 2026	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x080045…
06-09 10:54:36	bitcoin above 66k on june 12 2026	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xcaee3a…
06-09 10:00:51	nhl car las 2026 06 09 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x7fdbd7…
06-09 10:00:42	fif phi mya 2026 06 09 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xfd766f…
06-09 10:00:34	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 09 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x992dfc…
06-04 04:57:27	nhl las car 2026 06 04 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x2e3e5a…
06-04 04:30:13	cs2 thunde fly 2026 06 04 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb4ee98…
06-04 04:30:12	mlb lad ari 2026 06 03 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe7260d…
06-04 04:30:12	mlb lad ari 2026 06 03 total 10pt5	Over	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x228f3e…
06-04 04:30:12	nhl las car 2026 06 04 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x13f4b2…
06-03 14:38:24	Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x4468d9…
06-03 13:30:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	27	12¢	$3	0x3ad4ca…
06-03 06:52:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	27	17¢	$5	0xbdfc00…
06-03 06:52:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 7?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x0081a2…
06-03 01:36:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 7?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9f7907…
06-01 06:30:59	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x27aa6f…
06-01 06:30:56	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc7bc2b…
06-01 06:30:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	SELL	71	5¢	$4	0x16edfb…
06-01 06:30:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 2?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7bccdb…
06-01 06:30:42	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x7f4ceb…
06-01 06:30:37	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	No	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0x39bf3a…
06-01 06:30:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x240430…
06-01 06:30:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x242116…
06-01 06:30:17	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x2bffb1…
06-01 06:30:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xc48950…
06-01 06:30:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x2b47c1…
06-01 06:30:03	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xae632d…
06-01 06:29:58	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xac4079…
06-01 06:29:53	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xbe2e95…
06-01 06:29:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x9bd400…
06-01 06:29:44	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0xc7743f…
06-01 06:29:39	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xf9a005…
06-01 06:29:34	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x48b783…
06-01 06:29:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	22	26¢	$6	0x1f2481…
06-01 06:29:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x03b543…
06-01 06:29:20	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	74¢	$16	0x1de60d…
06-01 06:29:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x025bf9…
06-01 06:29:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x1226fa…
06-01 06:28:50	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xe119b7…
06-01 06:28:46	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xedf778…
06-01 06:28:41	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0xec7d55…
06-01 06:28:36	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x27e5f0…
06-01 06:28:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	55	42¢	$23	0xc0fc0a…
06-01 06:28:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x2d7fb6…
06-01 06:28:24	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xc4e8d4…
06-01 06:28:18	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x6ce46b…
06-01 06:28:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x709b67…
06-01 06:08:28	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xbef774…
06-01 02:16:15	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x074ed7…
05-31 15:00:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd102fb…
05-31 14:41:35	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8e48d1…
05-31 09:50:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x6bdb69…
05-31 08:11:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4adbdf…
05-31 07:57:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x528384…
05-31 06:10:00	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x80e673…
05-31 05:53:42	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x2ad39f…
05-31 04:36:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x4abd42…
05-31 04:35:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc54dc0…
05-31 04:35:34	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x990ecc…
05-31 04:17:25	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd25a45…
05-31 03:58:47	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x6274d0…
05-31 02:19:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb794c0…
05-31 02:11:32	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x2a3f6a…
05-31 00:01:11	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x302612…
05-30 23:42:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc8c93b…
05-30 23:19:34	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xebcaf6…
05-30 23:18:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x749598…
05-30 22:58:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x683863…
05-30 22:39:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0093ab…
05-30 22:38:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x09f4cc…