Realized P&L
+$22
Unrealized P&L
+$18
Hit rate
78.3%
Resolved
74
Trades
1,182
lifetime
Volume
$7.54K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$97
16 positions
First seen
2026-02-02
last 06-09 14:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Crypto
54% 86% +$19
Other
27% 74% $-3
Politics
13% 100% +$1
Sports
3% 100% +$4
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No -55 $-23 62¢ $-34 $-11 06-01 06:28
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes -35 $-30 38¢ $-13 +$17 05-29 15:18
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes -10 $-8 64¢ $-6 +$1 06-01 06:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -20 $-9 29¢ $-6 +$4 06-01 06:29
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -5 $-5 98¢ $-5 $-0 06-01 06:28
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -5 $-5 97¢ $-5 $-0 06-01 06:28
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -5 $-5 95¢ $-5 +$0 06-01 06:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -7 $-5 68¢ $-5 +$0 06-01 06:29
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -5 $-4 90¢ $-4 $-0 06-01 06:28
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Yes -5 $-4 82¢ $-4 +$0 05-28 11:24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes -9 $-5 37¢ $-3 +$2 06-01 06:28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? Yes -7 $-3 38¢ $-3 +$0 06-01 06:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -22 $-6 10¢ $-2 +$4 06-01 06:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -6 $-2 18¢ $-1 +$1 05-30 14:08
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes -6 $-1 $-1 +$1 06-01 06:28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes -6 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-01 06:28