Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

65.0%

Resolved

3,543

Trades

4,084

lifetime

Volume

$16.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$31

1 position

First seen

2026-02-02

last 10-28 01:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 152 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 50% -$34

Other

21% 57% +$42

Politics

7% 70% -$20

Sports

2% 66% -$15

Tech

1% 58% +$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No		-33	-$28	94¢	$-31	-$3	05-27 07:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	6	$92	91	90	+1	Yes	+$15	06-01 06:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	8	$83	51	51	+0	No	-$2	05-28 00:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	3	$69	42	41	+1	No	+$6	05-27 08:16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	3	$68	41	41	+0	Yes	+$2	05-27 23:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	14	$66	35	35	+0	No	+$1	05-30 00:11
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 1?	4	$49	62	0	+62	Yes	-$25	05-01 13:13
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	10	$47	25	25	+0	No	+$0	06-01 06:28
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	6	$47	26	26	+0	No	+$1	05-29 19:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$47	26	26	+0	No	+$5	05-25 14:42
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	2	$46	26	26	+0	No	+$3	05-12 02:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	3	$40	22	22	+0	No	+$4	05-25 01:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	2	$39	50	0	+50	Yes	-$27	05-04 04:55
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$37	46	0	+46	No	+$3	04-26 06:14
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$36	20	20	+0	No	+$3	05-24 08:09
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	8	$35	45	0	+45	Yes	-$35	02-23 02:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	3	$33	42	0	+42	Yes	-$26	04-16 07:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	1	$33	41	0	+41	No	+$8	05-01 00:41
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$33	40	0	+40	No	+$7	04-28 07:05
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$33	40	0	+40	No	+$7	04-28 07:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	1	$33	39	0	+39	No	+$6	04-28 07:00
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1?	1	$32	38	0	+38	No	+$6	05-01 09:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 1?	1	$32	37	0	+37	No	+$5	05-01 11:35
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 30?	1	$32	39	0	+39	Yes	-$32	04-30 22:07
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	4	$31	35	0	+35	No	+$4	02-06 23:11
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	3	$31	22	22	+0	Yes	+$2	06-01 06:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	4	$30	37	0	+37	No	+$0	04-14 23:14
will ethereum reach 2500 april 13 19	2	$29	35	0	+35	No	+$6	04-16 19:30
will ethereum reach 2400 on april 16	2	$29	34	0	+34	No	+$5	04-16 19:24
2026 rbc heritage winner ludvig aberg win	3	$29	34	0	+34	No	+$5	04-16 18:53
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	1	$29	0	31	-31	No	-$2	05-27 07:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 01:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xda7fcf…
10-28 00:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x3de226…
10-27 20:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb1ecbe…
10-27 17:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x840b45…
10-27 14:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa21aaa…
10-27 14:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x20bff5…
10-27 13:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x221483…
10-27 12:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xe11f8f…
10-27 11:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x22d07e…
10-27 08:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xbfad85…
10-27 04:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x7d0067…
10-27 02:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc7853a…
10-27 02:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x0568ed…
10-27 01:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xab64e9…
10-27 00:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x27de67…
10-27 00:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xcdd6a7…
10-26 22:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa53263…
10-20 05:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9d725a…
10-20 04:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x749af4…
10-20 02:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x8b1145…
10-19 20:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xadeb0c…
10-05 08:13:34	BNB Up or Down - October 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xa3d443…
10-05 08:00:58	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x623ba6…
10-05 08:00:50	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x59d663…
09-29 16:03:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1d49d5…
09-29 15:48:35	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x136f9e…
09-29 15:28:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6e2289…
09-29 15:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd96df4…
09-29 15:03:35	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x01a2cd…
09-29 14:53:33	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x21c5a0…
09-29 13:56:05	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb8b925…
09-29 13:28:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5011b8…
09-29 12:08:35	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa28ced…
09-29 11:23:35	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x080587…
09-29 11:03:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc3114c…
09-29 10:56:05	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xaeb4e4…
09-29 10:26:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4b680a…
09-29 10:23:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xeaf760…
09-29 10:18:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb9740e…
09-29 10:03:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb4a7a0…
09-29 09:26:03	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3c8688…
09-29 09:11:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x785e14…
09-29 08:58:35	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd731e9…
09-29 08:53:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4112b0…
09-29 08:48:35	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0829f2…
09-29 08:11:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbc7a26…
09-29 07:41:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4f6e92…
09-29 07:33:33	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x022ad4…
09-29 06:41:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x66a8b3…
09-29 06:23:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x842a7a…
09-29 06:03:35	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa8ae95…
09-29 05:56:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x44f27a…
09-29 05:53:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd54cf6…
09-29 05:41:03	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd7157e…
09-29 05:26:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7635be…
09-29 05:18:35	Solana Up or Down - September 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb785d0…
09-29 04:41:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd57fa4…
09-29 04:33:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf1c132…
09-29 04:26:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1315a2…
09-29 03:58:33	XRP Up or Down - September 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x34821e…
09-29 03:53:35	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x966016…
09-29 03:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb8e56f…
09-29 03:03:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x05433c…
09-29 01:53:35	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x05501d…
09-29 01:48:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xad04b7…
09-29 01:26:05	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x304c4c…
09-29 01:11:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcbbfdb…
09-29 00:23:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x064a29…
09-28 02:38:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xbb2728…
09-28 02:18:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1e6905…
09-28 01:48:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x733a7b…
09-28 01:41:05	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcd078e…
09-28 00:53:35	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x47cb1b…
09-28 00:13:33	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9a5fd4…
09-27 23:58:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 23:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x10967f…
09-27 23:48:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf2157a…
09-27 23:26:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x160be2…
09-27 21:56:05	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1e5f93…
09-27 21:53:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xceb6f6…
09-27 21:33:35	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbe1944…
09-27 21:13:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd1dfec…
09-27 21:03:33	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb0d6b5…
09-27 20:56:03	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x42b634…
09-27 20:38:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf7f3a0…
09-27 20:26:05	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x15f042…
09-27 20:18:33	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x370afa…
09-27 20:03:33	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xf5c221…
09-27 19:53:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe14ca7…
09-27 19:48:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x16f457…
09-27 19:38:33	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa064c5…
09-27 19:33:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x707a96…
09-27 19:18:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7bda99…
09-27 19:13:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd8627a…
09-27 18:58:35	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe40d95…
09-27 18:48:35	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb1fb4f…
09-27 18:43:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x44f22d…
09-27 18:26:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd6ffc2…
09-27 18:11:03	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7533f6…
09-27 18:08:35	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x59db94…
09-27 18:03:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf6d618…