Realized P&L
-$82
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
52.8%
Resolved
76
Trades
153,801
lifetime
Volume
$1.21M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$612
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 06-12 13:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Politics
54% 62% $-26
Other
44% 44% $-58
Tech
1%
Crypto
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Sports
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 3884 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? No -66 $-65 100¢ $-66 $-1 06-03 00:21
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +55 $49 87¢ $48 $-0 06-12 10:36
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No -40 $-39 99¢ $-40 $-0 06-05 22:42
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +37 $29 98¢ $36 +$7 06-12 11:13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +30 $29 99¢ $30 +$1 06-04 19:00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +30 $30 96¢ $29 $-1 06-12 11:48
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +26 $25 97¢ $26 +$1 06-11 08:31
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +25 $27 98¢ $24 $-3 06-02 22:40
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No -25 $-16 86¢ $-21 $-5 06-03 20:14
Will Alberta join the US? No -21 $-38 96¢ $-20 +$18 06-12 11:12
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +18 $17 99¢ $18 +$1 06-04 08:48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No +16 $16 98¢ $16 $-0 06-11 17:53
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No -16 $-16 98¢ $-16 +$0 06-12 11:12
Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30? No -15 $-15 99¢ $-15 $-0 05-28 15:49
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? No -15 $-15 99¢ $-15 $-0 05-29 01:44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No +15 $15 99¢ $15 +$0 06-11 16:29
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? No +15 $15 99¢ $15 $-0 06-11 15:27
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? No +15 $14 98¢ $15 +$0 06-12 12:16
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +15 $14 97¢ $15 +$0 06-02 06:16
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +15 $16 95¢ $14 $-1 06-06 16:25
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No -15 $-13 95¢ $-14 $-1 06-06 09:51
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? No +15 $13 88¢ $13 +$0 06-09 17:04
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No +13 $14 98¢ $13 $-1 06-12 04:15
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +15 $7 83¢ $12 +$6 05-31 02:22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No -12 $-12 99¢ $-12 $-0 06-12 11:12
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? No +13 $12 92¢ $12 +$0 06-12 01:34
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No -12 $-11 97¢ $-12 $-0 06-07 19:40
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? No +11 $11 99¢ $11 +$0 06-07 04:56
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +11 $11 99¢ $11 +$0 06-11 06:06
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +15 $9 72¢ $11 +$2 06-06 10:48