Realized P&L
-$82
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
52.8%
Resolved
76
Trades
153,807
lifetime
Volume
$1.21M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$104
13 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 06-19 07:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Politics
54% 62% $-26
Other
44% 44% $-58
Tech
1%
Crypto
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Sports
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 3180 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alberta join the US? No -21 $-38 99¢ $-20 +$18 06-12 11:12
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +15 $14 96¢ $14 +$0 06-02 06:16
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -15 $-13 96¢ $-14 $-1 06-19 07:55
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No -15 $-13 95¢ $-14 $-1 06-06 09:51
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? No +15 $13 92¢ $14 +$1 06-09 17:04
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No -12 $-11 99¢ $-12 $-0 06-07 19:40
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +4 $2 96¢ $4 +$2 06-10 01:36
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -5 $-3 88¢ $-4 $-1 05-29 03:04
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -2 $-2 90¢ $-2 +$0 06-12 11:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -3 $-2 60¢ $-2 $-0 06-12 11:12
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -3 $-1 60¢ $-2 $-0 06-12 11:12
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 05-28 23:08
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +23 $7 $0 $-7 06-11 20:07