Realized P&L
+$2.18K
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
78.2%
Resolved
1,586
Trades
161,553
lifetime
Volume
$1.27M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$36
9 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 06-19 07:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 141 days
Categories
Politics
54%
63%
+$1,372
Other
44%
58%
+$789
Tech
1%
54%
+$4
Crypto
0%
60%
+$19
Pop-Culture
0%
20%
-$4
Sports
0%
100%
+$2
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-19).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | -13 | -$12 | 95¢ | $-12 | $0 | 04-29 14:58 | |
| Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? | No | -12 | -$11 | 96¢ | $-11 | $0 | 05-13 14:47 | |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | -5 | -$5 | 98¢ | $-5 | $0 | 06-10 22:19 | |
| Will Alberta join the US? | No | -5 | -$23 | 99¢ | $-5 | +$19 | 06-12 11:12 | |
| Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | -2 | -$2 | 96¢ | $-2 | $0 | 06-12 11:12 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | -1 | -$2 | 98¢ | $-1 | +$1 | 06-06 20:21 | |
| Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | No | +0 | $0 | 99¢ | $0 | +$0 | 05-26 07:22 | |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | No | +0 | $0 | 99¢ | $0 | +$0 | 05-20 13:52 | |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | +0 | -$2 | 95¢ | $0 | +$2 | 05-28 23:08 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552 | 4,557 | $38.3K | 29,553 | 28,858 | +695 | No | +$301 | 03-30 20:40 |
| will the us invade iran by march 31 | 3,002 | $34.5K | 20,175 | 19,539 | +636 | No | +$108 | 03-30 20:25 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971 | 6,587 | $31.2K | 43,546 | 42,863 | +684 | Yes | -$157 | 03-30 18:06 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881 | 3,980 | $27.5K | 27,097 | 26,763 | +334 | No | +$305 | 03-30 20:42 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747 | 2,270 | $24.5K | 14,163 | 13,931 | +232 | No | +$58 | 03-29 21:16 |
| will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929 | 2,023 | $17.2K | 10,889 | 10,652 | +236 | No | +$65 | 03-27 04:20 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | 2,066 | $16.8K | 11,328 | 11,123 | +205 | No | +$64 | 04-28 00:00 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 2,039 | $15.8K | 10,301 | 10,239 | +61 | No | +$41 | 03-29 15:24 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | 2,716 | $15.5K | 14,711 | 14,390 | +321 | Yes | -$96 | 04-16 18:52 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982 | 2,614 | $14.0K | 15,125 | 14,943 | +182 | Yes | -$80 | 04-14 20:24 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | 1,470 | $13.3K | 8,159 | 8,126 | +34 | No | +$26 | 05-30 20:26 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | 1,234 | $12.6K | 7,214 | 7,064 | +151 | No | +$36 | 05-29 15:16 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | 1,717 | $12.4K | 8,378 | 8,264 | +114 | No | +$45 | 04-27 19:07 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | 1,567 | $11.9K | 8,112 | 7,966 | +146 | No | +$44 | 04-26 17:53 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | 1,303 | $11.8K | 7,612 | 7,545 | +67 | No | +$34 | 05-30 20:18 |
| Will Alberta join the US? | 1,628 | $10.9K | 5,738 | 5,743 | -5 | open | — | 06-12 11:12 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597 | 808 | $10.9K | 6,494 | 6,483 | +11 | No | +$34 | 03-30 20:13 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 1,334 | $10.3K | 7,881 | 7,842 | +39 | Yes | -$32 | 06-07 22:41 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | 1,097 | $10.2K | 5,682 | 5,696 | -14 | No | +$4 | 05-30 17:05 |
| iran closes its airspace by june 15 | 1,112 | $9.8K | 6,751 | 6,721 | +30 | Yes | -$21 | 06-07 22:39 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692 | 809 | $9.7K | 5,307 | 5,091 | +215 | No | +$19 | 03-20 09:29 |
| jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10 | 858 | $9.4K | 6,441 | 6,408 | +33 | No | +$65 | 04-10 20:55 |
| houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026 | 921 | $9.2K | 6,210 | 6,131 | +80 | No | +$75 | 03-30 20:14 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | 1,451 | $9.0K | 6,186 | 6,199 | -13 | No | +$10 | 04-27 14:56 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 683 | $8.0K | 4,221 | 4,199 | +22 | No | +$7 | 03-23 01:49 |
| us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895 | 665 | $7.3K | 5,943 | 5,900 | +43 | No | +$62 | 04-09 20:27 |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | 674 | $7.3K | 4,258 | 4,213 | +45 | No | +$3 | 05-15 12:44 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | 670 | $6.9K | 4,001 | 3,926 | +75 | No | +$25 | 04-29 20:27 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31 | 522 | $6.8K | 3,756 | 3,715 | +41 | No | +$7 | 03-29 20:34 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | 590 | $6.5K | 3,616 | 3,553 | +64 | Yes | -$61 | 05-09 06:03 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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