Realized P&L
+$1.71K
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
65.9%
Resolved
4,435
Trades
17,100
lifetime
Volume
$113.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$33
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-30
last 10-21 16:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 202 days
Categories
Other
80% 57% +$1,659
Politics
13% 55% +$34
Crypto
4% 57% +$21
Sports
2% 46% +$7
Tech
1% 53% -$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 174 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -22 -$18 81¢ $-18 $0 10-21 16:20
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -10 -$7 96¢ $-9 -$2 05-01 05:03
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -22 -$4 19¢ $-4 +$0 10-21 16:31
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes -2 -$1 77¢ $-1 $0 04-29 19:03
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -5 -$4 18¢ $-1 +$3 04-29 02:23
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +0 $1 74¢ $0 -$1 10-11 23:27
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +0 $0 65¢ $0 $0 09-23 22:55
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +0 -$3 92¢ $0 +$3 10-16 03:40
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +0 -$1 87¢ $0 +$1 10-16 03:03
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +0 $0 4¢ $0 $0 10-12 21:48