Realized P&L
-$137
Unrealized P&L
-$52
Hit rate
57.7%
Resolved
436
Trades
6,314
lifetime
Volume
$38.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$174
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-30
last 07-21 08:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
56% 50% $-206
Politics
31% 50% +$16
Crypto
9% 60% +$76
Sports
3% 25% $-23
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 192 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Haiti elections delayed again? Yes +51 $47 92¢ $48 +$0 06-24 21:30
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? Yes +140 $26 26¢ $37 +$11 07-09 00:29
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +27 $23 88¢ $23 +$1 07-11 00:39
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +23 $17 79¢ $18 +$1 07-11 00:35
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No -16 $-15 92¢ $-15 +$0 07-21 08:11
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-6 76¢ $-7 $-1 06-30 07:04
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 72¢ $5 +$0 06-04 23:22
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-5 92¢ $-5 +$0 07-15 10:15
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +13 $8 37¢ $5 $-3 07-10 11:32
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +5 $2 59¢ $3 +$1 06-18 08:54
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +21 $13 13¢ $3 $-11 07-20 04:45
Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes +47 $50 $2 $-47 06-10 06:30
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 85¢ $1 +$1 07-21 08:43
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No -1 $-2 82¢ $-1 +$1 06-14 03:02
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11? No +10 $6 $0 $-6 04-25 15:03