Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat?
open
Total volume
$16,855
$11 in 24h
Trades
789
Unique wallets
163
Liquidity
$89,541
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-05-01
last 10-29 04:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-12.7¢
(top1%: 38% YES on $3.9K
vs crowd: 51% YES on $13.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 65 | $4.3K | $3.9K | +$379 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 55 | $1.8K | $2.2K | $348 |
| 🐟 Fish | 27 | $390 | $378 | +$11 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $149 | $52 | +$98 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 41 | $1.5K | $2.4K | $951 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 16 | $172 | $327 | $155 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $18 | $9 | +$9 |
| Median | 8 | $128 | $63 | +$65 |
| Below median | 18 | $307 | $129 | +$178 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 16 | $362 | $409 | $46 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 23 | $1.0K | $1.4K | $346 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 37 | $3.2K | $1.8K | +$1.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | +1,436 | $669 | $1,016 | 37 | 10-28 17:51 |
| Insistent-Voice 0xf1f9…1245 | No | +1,413 | $678 | $678 | 3 | 10-16 17:14 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | +1,250 | $556 | $556 | 4 | 10-27 12:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +696 | $309 | $309 | 9 | 10-27 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | +696 | $389 | $389 | 8 | 10-27 12:18 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +580 | $314 | $314 | 21 | 10-27 12:18 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | +570 | $247 | $247 | 11 | 10-22 07:36 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +534 | $313 | $366 | 12 | 10-27 12:18 |
| Well-Off-Crayon 0xdb97…eee8 | No | +500 | $281 | $281 | 3 | 10-21 21:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | No | +496 | $299 | $299 | 4 | 10-26 03:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | Yes | +495 | $201 | $201 | 4 | 10-26 03:53 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +459 | $210 | $210 | 13 | 10-22 11:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +344 | $165 | $165 | 9 | 10-21 03:44 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | +321 | $163 | $172 | 5 | 10-21 14:21 |
| Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | +313 | $172 | $655 | 26 | 10-27 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | +302 | $155 | $367 | 12 | 10-27 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | +300 | $145 | $152 | 6 | 10-27 12:18 |
| Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | Yes | +285 | $133 | $146 | 11 | 10-27 12:22 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | +274 | $137 | $250 | 3 | 09-03 21:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x3c64…09cd | No | +271 | $130 | $130 | 1 | 10-09 00:59 |
| Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | +250 | $96 | $96 | 2 | 10-26 03:48 |
| Practical-Advent 0xf519…906b | Yes | +240 | $118 | $118 | 2 | 10-17 19:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x9472…f660 | No | +209 | $117 | $117 | 3 | 10-27 12:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | +200 | $103 | $103 | 3 | 10-15 14:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | +200 | $98 | $98 | 4 | 10-15 14:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | +199 | $98 | $98 | 3 | 08-16 11:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | +195 | $103 | $103 | 5 | 10-17 22:54 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | +186 | $67 | $68 | 3 | 10-22 16:02 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | +186 | $120 | $122 | 3 | 10-22 16:02 |
| Lighthearted-Relation 0x852e…ca77 | Yes | +181 | $62 | $62 | 4 | 10-24 22:58 |
| Scarce-Footnote 0x714f…66d5 | Yes | +175 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 10-24 13:24 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +175 | $100 | $100 | 7 | 10-28 17:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | +164 | $69 | $69 | 2 | 10-22 11:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +164 | $96 | $96 | 3 | 10-22 11:17 |
| Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | +145 | $88 | $88 | 3 | 10-25 16:50 |
| Gifted-Rancher 0xe338…64ad | Yes | +133 | $57 | $57 | 2 | 10-27 12:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | +119 | $60 | $60 | 3 | 10-21 14:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | +119 | $60 | $60 | 3 | 10-21 14:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +118 | $71 | $71 | 2 | 10-27 20:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x71a3…3fb4 | No | +108 | $65 | $65 | 5 | 10-27 20:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x9530…5699 | Yes | +100 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 10-10 01:51 |
| Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | Yes | +100 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 10-09 01:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | Yes | +100 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 10-15 14:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | +100 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 10-27 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | +100 | $47 | $47 | 2 | 10-27 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e6…66b7 | Yes | +100 | $44 | $44 | 5 | 10-22 11:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x9530…5699 | No | +100 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 10-10 01:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e6…66b7 | No | +100 | $62 | $62 | 2 | 10-22 16:02 |
| Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | No | +100 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 10-09 01:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | +100 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 10-27 12:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | No | +100 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 10-15 14:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | +100 | $54 | $54 | 2 | 10-27 12:18 |
| Comfortable-Sandwich 0x1f85…7b02 | No | +99 | $62 | $62 | 1 | 10-22 11:17 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | +93 | $58 | $153 | 8 | 10-25 16:50 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +87 | $39 | $39 | 9 | 08-16 11:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Yes | +83 | $42 | $42 | 3 | 08-12 20:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | No | +77 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 10-21 00:58 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | +76 | $42 | $42 | 3 | 08-30 22:58 |
| Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | Yes | +75 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 08-16 11:53 |
| Odd-Relish 0xe2b4…3c5a | Yes | +63 | $37 | $103 | 13 | 10-21 14:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 04:10:05 | Honored-Ottoman 0x70fe…c8e3 | No | BUY | 7 | 58¢ | $4 | 0xf7a499… |
| 10-29 04:10:05 | Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 42¢ | $3 | 0xf7a499… |
| 10-28 17:51:28 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 4 | 56¢ | $2 | 0x6e8b15… |
| 10-28 17:51:28 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 4 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x6e8b15… |
| 10-27 20:36:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 29 | 43¢ | $13 | 0x65a259… |
| 10-27 20:36:26 | Robust-Twins 0x268f…bbd7 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 43¢ | $13 | 0x65a259… |
| 10-27 20:36:23 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 9 | 58¢ | $5 | 0xfec458… |
| 10-27 20:36:23 | Robust-Twins 0x268f…bbd7 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 42¢ | $4 | 0xfec458… |
| 10-27 20:36:21 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 10 | 57¢ | $6 | 0x9e3e65… |
| 10-27 20:36:21 | Robust-Twins 0x268f…bbd7 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 42¢ | $8 | 0x9e3e65… |
| 10-27 20:36:21 | (anonymous) 0x71a3…3fb4 | No | BUY | 30 | 58¢ | $17 | 0x9e3e65… |
| 10-27 12:58:42 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 56¢ | $6 | 0x2b08bf… |
| 10-27 12:58:42 | (anonymous) 0x122c…fbed | No | SELL | 10 | 56¢ | $6 | 0x2b08bf… |
| 10-27 12:58:29 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 45¢ | $45 | 0xa8feab… |
| 10-27 12:58:29 | (anonymous) 0x9472…f660 | No | BUY | 100 | 55¢ | $55 | 0xa8feab… |
| 10-27 12:22:05 | (anonymous) 0x9472…f660 | No | BUY | 45 | 57¢ | $26 | 0xddd336… |
| 10-27 12:22:05 | (anonymous) 0x14a1…9912 | No | SELL | 45 | 57¢ | $26 | 0xddd336… |
| 10-27 12:22:03 | Gifted-Rancher 0xe338…64ad | Yes | BUY | 64 | 43¢ | $27 | 0x78d0ff… |
| 10-27 12:22:03 | (anonymous) 0x9472…f660 | No | BUY | 64 | 57¢ | $36 | 0x78d0ff… |
| 10-27 12:22:03 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 42¢ | $21 | 0x66820f… |
| 10-27 12:22:03 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x66820f… |
| 10-27 12:22:03 | (anonymous) 0x14a1…9912 | No | BUY | 45 | 58¢ | $26 | 0x66820f… |
| 10-27 12:18:57 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 50 | 58¢ | $29 | 0x4bf4bc… |
| 10-27 12:18:57 | Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a…d738 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 42¢ | $21 | 0x4bf4bc… |
| 10-27 12:18:54 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 41¢ | $61 | 0x76864d… |
| 10-27 12:18:54 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | BUY | 50 | 59¢ | $30 | 0x76864d… |
| 10-27 12:18:54 | Gifted-Rancher 0xe338…64ad | Yes | BUY | 70 | 42¢ | $29 | 0x7c63ff… |
| 10-27 12:18:54 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 226 | 58¢ | $131 | 0x985d51… |
| 10-27 12:18:54 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 42¢ | $21 | 0xcee8a5… |
| 10-27 12:18:54 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | BUY | 274 | 58¢ | $159 | 0x985d51… |
| 10-27 12:18:54 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 500 | 42¢ | $210 | 0x985d51… |
| 10-27 12:18:54 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 100 | 59¢ | $59 | 0x76864d… |
| 10-27 12:18:54 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 50 | 58¢ | $29 | 0xcee8a5… |
| 10-27 12:18:54 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 70 | 58¢ | $40 | 0x7c63ff… |
| 10-27 12:18:12 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 200 | 41¢ | $82 | 0x845196… |
| 10-27 12:18:12 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 100 | 59¢ | $59 | 0x845196… |
| 10-27 12:18:12 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 41¢ | $41 | 0x60c520… |
| 10-27 12:18:12 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | SELL | 12 | 41¢ | $5 | 0x60c520… |
| 10-27 12:18:12 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | BUY | 100 | 59¢ | $59 | 0x845196… |
| 10-27 12:18:12 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | BUY | 100 | 41¢ | $41 | 0x3ae8b1… |
| 10-27 12:18:12 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 42¢ | $32 | 0x7cdf3b… |
| 10-27 12:18:12 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 76 | 59¢ | $45 | 0x60c520… |
| 10-27 12:18:12 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 25 | 59¢ | $15 | 0x3ae8b1… |
| 10-27 12:18:12 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | BUY | 75 | 59¢ | $44 | 0x3ae8b1… |
| 10-27 12:18:12 | Agreeable-Ash 0x80f9…3ab9 | No | BUY | 50 | 58¢ | $29 | 0x7cdf3b… |
| 10-27 12:18:12 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 41¢ | $10 | 0xf95f65… |
| 10-27 12:18:12 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | BUY | 27 | 58¢ | $16 | 0x7cdf3b… |
| 10-27 12:18:12 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 25 | 59¢ | $15 | 0xf95f65… |
| 10-26 09:45:12 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0x907289… |
| 10-26 09:45:12 | (anonymous) 0x7a6b…3363 | No | SELL | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0x907289… |
| 10-26 09:10:08 | (anonymous) 0xaa13…9c9a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x2e9491… |
| 10-26 09:10:08 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x2e9491… |
| 10-26 09:10:02 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 10 | 59¢ | $6 | 0xef06f4… |
| 10-26 09:10:02 | (anonymous) 0xaa13…9c9a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 41¢ | $4 | 0xef06f4… |
| 10-26 09:09:56 | (anonymous) 0xaa13…9c9a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 41¢ | $4 | 0x6906c3… |
| 10-26 09:09:56 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 10 | 59¢ | $6 | 0x6906c3… |
| 10-26 09:09:47 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | SELL | 10 | 41¢ | $4 | 0x964a6c… |
| 10-26 09:09:47 | (anonymous) 0xaa13…9c9a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 41¢ | $4 | 0x964a6c… |
| 10-26 08:19:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 34 | 59¢ | $20 | 0x08095c… |
| 10-26 08:19:26 | (anonymous) 0x5c9a…fb12 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 41¢ | $14 | 0x08095c… |
| 10-26 03:55:21 | (anonymous) 0xc980…7274 | No | SELL | 9 | 61¢ | $6 | 0x3fe363… |
| 10-26 03:55:21 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 9 | 61¢ | $6 | 0x3fe363… |
| 10-26 03:55:20 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 76 | 60¢ | $45 | 0x868d4f… |
| 10-26 03:55:20 | Quizzical-Spit 0x5c9e…bdb6 | No | SELL | 76 | 60¢ | $45 | 0x868d4f… |
| 10-26 03:54:05 | Quizzical-Spit 0x5c9e…bdb6 | No | SELL | 14 | 61¢ | $8 | 0x1e6eaa… |
| 10-26 03:54:05 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 14 | 61¢ | $8 | 0x1e6eaa… |
| 10-26 03:53:54 | Impolite-Thunderstorm 0xc534…b734 | No | SELL | 14 | 60¢ | $8 | 0x990c99… |
| 10-26 03:53:54 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 14 | 60¢ | $8 | 0x990c99… |
| 10-26 03:53:53 | Jumbo-Providence 0x9592…a8fd | No | SELL | 125 | 60¢ | $75 | 0x1461dd… |
| 10-26 03:53:53 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 125 | 60¢ | $75 | 0x1461dd… |
| 10-26 03:53:48 | (anonymous) 0xf814…5f09 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 40¢ | $4 | 0xac3ecd… |
| 10-26 03:53:48 | (anonymous) 0xc980…7274 | No | BUY | 9 | 60¢ | $6 | 0xac3ecd… |
| 10-26 03:53:47 | (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 40¢ | $4 | 0x0a495d… |
| 10-26 03:53:47 | (anonymous) 0xf814…5f09 | No | BUY | 10 | 60¢ | $6 | 0x0a495d… |
| 10-26 03:53:45 | Quizzical-Spit 0x5c9e…bdb6 | No | BUY | 89 | 60¢ | $54 | 0x5ae001… |
| 10-26 03:53:45 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | SELL | 100 | 40¢ | $40 | 0x5ae001… |
| 10-26 03:53:45 | (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | Yes | BUY | 389 | 40¢ | $156 | 0x5ae001… |
| 10-26 03:53:45 | Jumbo-Providence 0x9592…a8fd | No | BUY | 125 | 60¢ | $75 | 0x5ae001… |
| 10-26 03:53:45 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 60¢ | $18 | 0x5ae001… |
| 10-26 03:53:44 | (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | No | BUY | 400 | 61¢ | $244 | 0x5e4c90… |
| 10-26 03:53:44 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | BUY | 13 | 61¢ | $8 | 0x5e4c90… |
| 10-26 03:53:44 | Impolite-Thunderstorm 0xc534…b734 | No | BUY | 14 | 60¢ | $8 | 0xccb0d7… |
| 10-26 03:53:44 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 39¢ | $195 | 0x5e4c90… |
| 10-26 03:53:44 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 40¢ | $6 | 0xccb0d7… |
| 10-26 03:53:44 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 53 | 39¢ | $20 | 0x5e4c90… |
| 10-26 03:48:45 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 39¢ | $20 | 0x8a38cc… |
| 10-26 03:48:45 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 39¢ | $20 | 0x8a38cc… |
| 10-25 16:50:57 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 38¢ | $19 | 0xfa5167… |
| 10-25 16:50:57 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | BUY | 9 | 62¢ | $6 | 0x0deecb… |
| 10-25 16:50:57 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 125 | 62¢ | $78 | 0x0deecb… |
| 10-25 16:50:57 | Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | BUY | 9 | 61¢ | $6 | 0x4d8d8d… |
| 10-25 16:50:57 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | No | BUY | 50 | 62¢ | $31 | 0x0deecb… |
| 10-25 16:50:57 | Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | BUY | 10 | 61¢ | $6 | 0xfa5167… |
| 10-25 16:50:57 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 9 | 39¢ | $4 | 0x4d8d8d… |
| 10-25 16:50:57 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 38¢ | $6 | 0x0deecb… |
| 10-25 16:50:57 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 125 | 39¢ | $49 | 0x67b275… |
| 10-25 16:50:57 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 41 | 62¢ | $25 | 0xfa5167… |
| 10-25 16:50:57 | Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | BUY | 125 | 61¢ | $76 | 0x67b275… |
| 10-25 16:50:57 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 38¢ | $76 | 0x0deecb… |
| 10-25 16:50:56 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 38¢ | $4 | 0x2e6750… |