Realized P&L
-$50
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
87.3%
Resolved
102
Trades
141
lifetime
Volume
$756
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$111
22 positions
First seen
2026-10-24
last 11-14 01:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
51% 88% -$28
Politics
45% 93% -$8
Crypto
3% 50% -$14
Sports
1% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 11-04 15:38
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat? Yes +6 $5 99¢ $6 +$1 11-04 09:37
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +6 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 11-04 09:36
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +6 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 11-04 09:37
Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 0%-3%? No +6 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 11-04 01:37
Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat? No +6 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 11-04 08:55
Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 11-04 15:31
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Attorney General election? Yes +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 11-04 09:27
Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 11-04 09:19
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-31 21:59
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 11-08 00:29
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-28 06:13
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms? Yes +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 11-03 23:01
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 $0 10-31 15:10
Will Dejan Bodiroga be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-26 11:48
Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 $0 10-27 17:59
Will the Republican Party control the Texas Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 11-04 09:17
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? Yes +6 $5 86¢ $5 $0 11-08 22:33
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes +5 $5 86¢ $5 $0 11-05 16:31
Will the Democrats win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +5 $5 86¢ $5 $0 11-03 19:50
Will voter turnout be between 76% and 78% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 $0 11-08 13:40
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8? No +5 $5 74¢ $4 -$1 11-08 17:15