Realized P&L
+$172.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$14.4K
Hit rate
72.2%
Resolved
429
Trades
14,126
lifetime
Volume
$2.63M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$187
Open exposure
$99.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 20:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 138 days
Categories
Politics
68% 54% +$125,485
Other
24% 54% +$31,721
Sports
3% 38% +$8,046
Crypto
3% 89% +$11,674
Tech
1% 25% -$4,549
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 125 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +16,500 $11,815 72¢ $11.9K +$65 10-20 19:24
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +13,863 $6,815 66¢ $9.1K +$2,265 09-12 16:36
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +10,976 $5,683 72¢ $7.9K +$2,220 10-08 04:50
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +15,262 $4,881 46¢ $7.0K +$2,139 10-13 04:23
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +7,500 $6,375 78¢ $5.8K -$525 10-15 14:50
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +8,290 $5,258 68¢ $5.6K +$379 09-02 18:02
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +7,500 $4,125 68¢ $5.1K +$1,012 09-17 22:17
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +7,500 $4,800 68¢ $5.1K +$337 09-11 06:48
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -5,000 -$4,796 86¢ $-4275 +$521 06-14 20:43
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,000 $2,650 74¢ $3.7K +$1,025 08-11 18:00
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,000 $3,320 92¢ $3.7K +$340 09-15 20:24
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? Yes +8,500 $2,805 41¢ $3.5K +$680 10-20 21:00
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +4,000 $3,000 76¢ $3.1K +$60 10-17 20:13
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +19,739 $2,717 15¢ $2.9K +$175 10-14 00:14
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +7,500 $2,850 38¢ $2.9K +$38 10-24 17:59
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +7,500 $2,850 38¢ $2.8K $0 10-24 18:42
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +4,000 $2,360 70¢ $2.8K +$460 09-26 05:27
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +4,000 $2,320 70¢ $2.8K +$460 10-01 17:29
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +7,000 $1,190 36¢ $2.5K +$1,330 09-23 19:40
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +2,823 $2,089 86¢ $2.4K +$325 09-06 06:36
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +13,491 $466 9¢ $1.3K +$796 06-01 13:13
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +40,679 $854 3¢ $1.0K +$183 05-28 15:42
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +1,045 $554 83¢ $868 +$314 09-03 09:06
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +612 $496 78¢ $480 -$15 10-20 23:08
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +425 $156 72¢ $306 +$150 09-09 15:59
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +360 $191 83¢ $299 +$108 09-02 05:59
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? Yes +5,570 $504 3¢ $181 -$323 09-23 16:23
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +331 $70 29¢ $94 +$25 10-25 16:25
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +35,000 $280 0¢ $88 -$192 05-03 23:23
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +128 $78 66¢ $85 +$7 10-09 19:18