Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a20…26d738
whale bot hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$6.00K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.87K
Hit rate
71.9%
Resolved
2,592
Trades
46,284
lifetime
Volume
$779.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$28.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 12:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 189 days
Categories
Other
53% 43% +$4,461
Politics
32% 53% -$2,839
Crypto
7% 77% +$3,662
Tech
6% 67% +$1,372
Sports
2% 51% -$841
Pop-Culture
0% 80% +$189
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1908 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +7,404 $5,057 88¢ $6.6K +$1,495 09-28 13:01
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -4,491 -$2,480 54¢ $-2434 +$46 05-03 21:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +2,055 $1,760 94¢ $1.9K +$172 10-04 04:26
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,569 $1,620 32¢ $1.8K +$134 10-23 03:48
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes -2,027 -$1,248 84¢ $-1693 -$445 10-09 18:07
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +4,557 $1,323 32¢ $1.4K +$112 10-23 20:06
Blue tsunami in 2026? No +3,468 $1,588 41¢ $1.4K -$166 10-27 13:04
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +1,560 $1,269 86¢ $1.3K +$80 10-02 02:27
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +1,105 $664 89¢ $984 +$319 08-02 23:40
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +992 -$631 97¢ $966 +$1,598 10-26 08:42
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes -1,020 -$857 93¢ $-945 -$88 08-11 23:20
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +3,560 $772 26¢ $943 +$171 10-26 13:47
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? No +1,494 $961 54¢ $807 -$154 10-26 04:00
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +2,019 $945 38¢ $767 -$177 10-24 14:24
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner TheMongolz — +613 $274 99¢ $607 +$334 10-27 13:26
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage TheMongolz +749 $366 72¢ $539 +$173 10-27 13:26
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +838 $130 55¢ $457 +$326 10-22 17:31
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,170 $246 38¢ $450 +$204 10-27 05:08
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,259 $450 30¢ $384 -$66 10-21 22:35
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +897 $377 42¢ $372 -$5 10-27 11:44
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -784 -$941 46¢ $-357 +$584 05-21 19:27
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? No +2,080 $648 16¢ $322 -$326 10-27 09:18
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -300 -$45 98¢ $-295 -$250 08-02 17:03
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +517 $283 47¢ $243 -$40 10-26 21:38
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No +534 $260 37¢ $197 -$63 10-26 13:47
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +262 $486 58¢ $153 -$333 10-24 16:21
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -400 -$224 34¢ $-138 +$86 07-31 16:52
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes -1,800 -$280 7¢ $-134 +$146 08-11 23:48
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes -165 -$135 80¢ $-133 +$2 05-03 20:40
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? No +153 $114 76¢ $116 +$2 10-27 02:05