Dual-Cephalopod — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.10K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

17.2%

Resolved

Trades

6,531

lifetime

Volume

$131.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 17:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

38% — —

Other

37% 33% $-1,091

Tech

18% — —

Politics

7% 0% $-11

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	416	$15.0K	13,787	9,664	+4,123	open	—	08-12 14:54
will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	287	$8.7K	6,038	6,038	+0	open	—	07-09 00:20
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	332	$8.0K	5,138	4,613	+525	open	—	07-24 22:52
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	221	$4.2K	2,789	2,814	-25	open	—	05-22 22:30
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	75	$3.5K	2,071	2,071	+0	open	—	07-16 16:29
will tisza win at least 120 seats	158	$3.3K	2,244	2,244	+0	open	—	04-12 23:02
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	32	$2.7K	3,472	3,472	+0	open	—	03-14 04:00
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	147	$2.7K	5,668	5,668	+0	open	—	05-21 15:49
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?	48	$2.5K	1,298	1,303	-5	open	—	07-11 23:14
will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	161	$2.5K	3,143	9	+3,134	open	—	08-12 06:20
bitcoin up or down january 5 8pm et	61	$2.1K	1,500	1,000	+500	open	—	01-06 01:59
will xrp dip to 1pt2 in march 2026	120	$2.0K	1,203	1,203	+0	open	—	03-30 14:09
bitcoin up or down december 31 9pm et	42	$1.6K	1,542	942	+600	open	—	01-01 02:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	25	$1.6K	1,089	1,053	+36	open	—	04-18 19:28
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	201	$1.5K	3,668	3,668	+0	open	—	04-26 01:07
will fidesz kdnp win at least 80 seats	160	$1.5K	1,460	1,460	+0	open	—	04-12 03:32
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	20	$1.5K	4,132	4,132	+0	Yes	$-675	04-28 17:24
jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	188	$1.4K	4,560	1,197	+3,363	open	—	08-12 19:14
bitcoin up or down january 7 5pm et	37	$1.3K	1,600	0	+1,600	open	—	01-07 22:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	62	$1.2K	1,300	1,240	+60	open	—	04-16 23:48
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	7	$1.2K	1,508	1,508	+0	open	—	03-28 16:40
will tisza win at least 100 seats	38	$1.1K	675	675	-0	open	—	04-12 23:19
bitcoin up or down january 3 10am et	18	$1.1K	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	01-03 15:52
bitcoin up or down january 1 12pm et	14	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	01-01 17:39
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	7	$1.0K	0	1,102	-1,102	open	—	06-20 23:17
bitcoin up or down january 10 12pm et	34	$1.0K	1,102	99	+1,003	open	—	01-10 17:53
anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	83	$937	1,031	976	+54	open	—	08-12 21:47
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?	125	$937	2,382	134	+2,248	open	—	05-01 02:19
will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 239	15	$848	500	500	+0	open	—	02-13 23:00
bitcoin up or down january 10 2pm et	32	$841	600	400	+200	open	—	01-10 19:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 21:47:33	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	SELL	54	46¢	$25	0x13a1ef…
08-12 21:20:33	Will Export-control chip security become law this year?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x31b4d8…
08-12 21:03:52	Will Export-control chip security become law this year?	No	SELL	11	78¢	$8	0xc5654b…
08-12 20:56:57	Will Export-control chip security become law this year?	No	SELL	9	75¢	$6	0xacd8d6…
08-12 20:56:30	Will Export-control chip security become law this year?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x439cf9…
08-12 20:22:19	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	Yes	BUY	46	34¢	$16	0xfb0ed6…
08-12 20:13:36	Will the Chicago Cubs clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	SELL	15	95¢	$15	0xb05c1b…
08-12 20:11:42	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	Yes	BUY	52	34¢	$18	0x845569…
08-12 19:14:09	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	SELL	25	15¢	$4	0x26fc56…
08-12 17:38:27	kash patel out by september 30 20260728185947723	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0xac24fc…
08-12 16:55:06	Will the Arizona Diamondbacks clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0x5f9277…
08-12 16:22:51	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0x1beb95…
08-12 16:19:33	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x9bbb9a…
08-12 16:16:04	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0x8c27ac…
08-12 16:09:12	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	SELL	100	29¢	$29	0xbe7dc4…
08-12 15:58:12	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	BUY	68	50¢	$34	0xd80c56…
08-12 15:57:10	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x291a60…
08-12 15:56:04	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xa1b131…
08-12 15:55:33	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x9ef7b4…
08-12 15:55:01	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x0f8423…
08-12 15:54:28	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x39cf55…
08-12 15:53:57	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xdd1bc6…
08-12 15:53:27	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xd792a9…
08-12 15:52:54	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x02e995…
08-12 15:52:21	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xff6706…
08-12 15:51:49	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xecf4d9…
08-12 15:49:16	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	Yes	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x10f90d…
08-12 14:54:51	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x097d23…
08-12 14:51:48	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0xf5fa58…
08-12 14:09:42	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x1d571d…
08-12 14:09:22	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0x964be4…
08-12 13:07:06	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xc75174…
08-12 10:01:43	Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x12f358…
08-12 09:33:28	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xf3f1a2…
08-12 09:32:16	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x48c71b…
08-12 09:25:57	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xa0649d…
08-12 07:36:10	Will the Arizona Diamondbacks clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0x3ada45…
08-12 06:20:06	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x1fb65c…
08-12 06:19:39	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xe94eda…
08-12 05:13:01	Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x892a7b…
08-12 05:12:51	Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0xb0b8fc…
08-12 03:37:06	Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xe5e980…
08-12 03:17:37	Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xab694f…
08-12 03:17:06	Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3e70f0…
08-12 02:34:10	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0xa2d236…
08-12 02:01:36	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x58685d…
08-12 01:53:27	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xbcb95d…
08-12 01:41:19	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x7fa6b5…
08-12 01:37:12	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x53f658…
08-12 01:37:00	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0xa553fa…
08-12 01:24:51	kash patel out by september 30 20260728185947723	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x4966f0…
08-12 01:02:57	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	Yes	BUY	23	34¢	$8	0x87986a…
08-12 00:56:54	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x2f5425…
08-12 00:01:51	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	20	78¢	$15	0x25c9e0…
08-12 00:01:37	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	20	78¢	$15	0xdb2143…
08-12 00:01:28	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x97ecbf…
08-12 00:00:27	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	182	80¢	$145	0x7ad5d3…
08-11 23:49:13	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x7e0654…
08-11 23:49:03	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	69	78¢	$54	0x9146c9…
08-11 23:48:19	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0xb09240…
08-11 23:31:34	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xc45e81…
08-11 22:52:39	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0x4863ab…
08-11 22:52:34	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x37f080…
08-11 22:52:01	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0xa01783…
08-11 22:51:31	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0xa29bb1…
08-11 22:51:00	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x7bf741…
08-11 22:50:27	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	200	79¢	$157	0x069322…
08-11 22:50:01	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	200	77¢	$155	0x069e65…
08-11 22:49:57	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x7e1351…
08-11 22:49:43	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x70828d…
08-11 22:48:21	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x6b0324…
08-11 22:48:13	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	200	76¢	$153	0x39a3ed…
08-11 22:06:01	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	180	76¢	$136	0xf6fd6c…
08-11 21:42:58	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	Yes	BUY	22	34¢	$7	0xf4a4e6…
08-11 21:39:31	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	150	72¢	$108	0x76e655…
08-11 21:38:55	will the fda reclassify bpc 157 to category 1 of the bulk drug substances list by august 31 2026 20260622202336521	No	SELL	15	86¢	$13	0x78c1d4…
08-11 21:01:25	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x1501b0…
08-11 20:53:15	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	Yes	BUY	23	33¢	$8	0x2249e9…
08-11 20:23:01	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x08a17a…
08-11 20:19:10	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x8ac35b…
08-11 20:12:09	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x9f509c…
08-11 19:07:51	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	BUY	44	17¢	$8	0x95a8a0…
08-11 18:07:30	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	Yes	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xf6555a…
08-11 16:49:22	will ryan gosling be nominated for best actor at the 99th academy awards	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x2974d5…
08-11 16:38:15	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	Yes	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0x705f1f…
08-11 16:29:39	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	Yes	SELL	17	37¢	$6	0xf4bf65…
08-11 16:17:21	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	150	76¢	$114	0xe0c3b1…
08-11 12:01:22	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	Yes	BUY	34	33¢	$11	0x5e6c16…
08-11 11:51:28	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by september 30 20260728195821515	No	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x0a6fd6…
08-11 10:49:13	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	Yes	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x450dfb…
08-11 07:50:04	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by september 30 20260728195821515	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x60cb25…
08-11 06:02:48	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x8d6396…
08-11 04:34:37	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	Yes	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x044ef5…
08-11 04:07:06	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xab5320…
08-11 03:01:19	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	108	74¢	$80	0xbf8932…
08-11 02:59:33	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	30	75¢	$22	0x711299…
08-11 02:58:57	Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0xfa8aa0…
08-11 02:58:54	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	200	75¢	$149	0x537b64…
08-11 02:57:21	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	200	76¢	$152	0x76701e…
08-11 02:57:19	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	101	76¢	$77	0x4345c0…