Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a20…26d738
whale bot hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$6.46K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.86K
Hit rate
71.8%
Resolved
2,643
Trades
46,864
lifetime
Volume
$793.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$28.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 02:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 190 days
Categories
Other
53% 43% +$4,332
Politics
32% 53% -$2,251
Crypto
7% 77% +$3,662
Tech
6% 67% +$1,372
Sports
2% 51% -$841
Pop-Culture
0% 80% +$189
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1908 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +7,404 $5,057 88¢ $6.6K +$1,495 09-28 13:01
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -4,491 -$2,480 56¢ $-2492 -$12 05-03 21:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +2,055 $1,760 94¢ $1.9K +$172 10-04 04:26
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,569 $1,620 30¢ $1.7K +$78 10-23 03:48
Blue tsunami in 2026? No +4,101 $1,848 40¢ $1.7K -$187 10-27 21:12
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes -2,027 -$1,248 78¢ $-1581 -$333 10-09 18:07
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +4,557 $1,323 30¢ $1.4K +$67 10-23 20:06
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +1,560 $1,269 88¢ $1.4K +$96 10-02 02:27
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +992 -$631 98¢ $972 +$1,603 10-26 08:42
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes -1,020 -$857 93¢ $-953 -$96 08-11 23:20
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +1,105 $664 86¢ $950 +$286 08-02 23:40
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? No +1,494 $961 55¢ $814 -$147 10-26 04:00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +2,189 $234 36¢ $777 +$543 10-28 00:18
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +2,019 $945 38¢ $767 -$177 10-24 14:24
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,470 $363 38¢ $566 +$203 10-27 23:38
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,809 $612 30¢ $552 -$60 10-28 03:52
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +838 $130 56¢ $465 +$335 10-22 17:31
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +830 $350 42¢ $353 +$3 10-27 14:59
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -784 -$941 44¢ $-349 +$592 05-21 19:27
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? No +1,939 $630 16¢ $305 -$325 10-28 01:13
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -300 -$45 98¢ $-295 -$250 08-02 17:03
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage Nemiga +694 $298 42¢ $295 -$3 10-27 21:15
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +730 $359 34¢ $245 -$114 10-28 00:06
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No +534 $260 38¢ $203 -$57 10-26 13:47
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? Yes +930 $250 16¢ $145 -$105 10-28 03:39
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -400 -$224 34¢ $-134 +$90 07-31 16:52
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes -165 -$135 80¢ $-133 +$2 05-03 20:40
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? No +795 $122 16¢ $127 +$5 10-28 01:14
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes -1,800 -$280 7¢ $-121 +$160 08-11 23:48
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? No +153 $114 76¢ $116 +$1 10-27 02:05