Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a20…26d738 Create alert
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$5.45K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.07K
Hit rate
51.0%
Resolved (7d)
373
Trades (7d)
5,701
52,870 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$91.1K
$891.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$25.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 19:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 197 days
Categories
Other
55% 44% +$5,101
Politics
31% 52% -$8,951
Crypto
6% 77% +$3,662
Tech
5% 67% +$1,372
Sports
2% 52% -$739
Pop-Culture
0% 80% +$189
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3527 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +7,404 $5,057 90¢ $6.6K +$1,569 09-28 13:01
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -4,491 -$2,480 98¢ $-4399 -$1,918 05-03 21:27
Paine Lions vs. Jacksonville Dolphins Jacksonville Dolphins +5,778 $5,583 57¢ $3.3K -$2,310 10-29 16:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +3,073 $2,727 96¢ $3.0K +$223 11-04 05:46
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +4,268 $1,057 46¢ $1.9K +$885 11-04 18:06
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +1,560 $1,269 94¢ $1.5K +$190 10-02 02:27
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +1,105 $664 83¢ $917 +$253 08-02 23:40
Will the Republican Party win the FL-13 House seat? Yes +760 $506 98¢ $743 +$237 11-04 02:14
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +510 -$10 98¢ $502 +$513 11-02 01:00
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat? Yes +373 $347 98¢ $368 +$21 11-04 17:12
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -300 -$45 100¢ $-299 -$254 08-02 17:03
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? Yes +222 $74 99¢ $219 +$145 11-04 04:30
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +2,740 $222 6¢ $173 -$49 11-04 19:33
Will the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat? Yes +171 $106 99¢ $169 +$63 11-04 16:25
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +431 $84 36¢ $155 +$71 11-04 15:35
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes +150 $81 98¢ $147 +$66 11-04 10:48
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,973 $170 6¢ $128 -$42 11-04 19:22
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +125 $119 99¢ $124 +$5 10-29 17:49
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat? No +83 $23 99¢ $83 +$60 11-04 03:54
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +1,711 $111 3¢ $56 -$54 10-23 16:37
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +56 $50 99¢ $55 +$6 11-04 01:56
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +522 $30 7¢ $37 +$7 11-04 19:42
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +434 $27 8¢ $33 +$5 11-04 19:41
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +567 $43 3¢ $19 -$24 11-04 04:58
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +65 $246 29¢ $18 -$228 10-28 08:43
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +22 $2 72¢ $16 +$14 10-27 20:03
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat? Yes — +147 $24 10¢ $14 -$10 11-04 19:22
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? No +1,281 $1,000 1¢ $13 -$987 11-04 05:34
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +1,265 $609 1¢ $13 -$597 11-04 04:57
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat? No +13 -$56 99¢ $13 +$69 11-04 18:07