Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a20…26d738 Create alert
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4.51K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.23K
Hit rate
66.8%
Resolved
3,341
Trades
55,245
lifetime
Volume
$927.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$24.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-08 18:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 201 days
Categories
Other
56% 43% -$867
Politics
31% 52% -$8,247
Crypto
6% 77% +$3,673
Tech
5% 67% +$1,372
Sports
2% 52% -$631
Pop-Culture
0% 80% +$189
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3840 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +7,404 $5,057 92¢ $6.8K +$1,791 09-28 13:01
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +7,349 $2,277 48¢ $3.5K +$1,213 11-08 16:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +3,073 $2,727 97¢ $3.0K +$265 11-04 05:46
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? Yes +4,692 $976 36¢ $1.7K +$690 11-08 11:08
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +1,560 $1,269 94¢ $1.5K +$190 10-02 02:27
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes +1,491 $1,308 92¢ $1.4K +$71 11-08 20:03
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +1,105 $664 90¢ $995 +$330 08-02 23:40
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +6,165 $1,331 14¢ $832 -$499 11-08 09:45
Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +1,033 $441 52¢ $542 +$101 11-04 19:12
Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +507 $185 80¢ $406 +$221 11-06 12:07
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? Yes +1,359 $224 28¢ $374 +$150 11-07 23:31
Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? Yes +354 $195 99¢ $349 +$153 11-08 03:51
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +823 $212 40¢ $325 +$113 11-08 01:43
Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027? Yes +775 $381 36¢ $283 -$99 11-06 23:49
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31? Yes +1,225 $219 22¢ $276 +$57 11-06 20:21
Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? No +231 $158 83¢ $192 +$34 11-07 14:51
Will $2.50 Coin become law this year? No +186 $160 96¢ $179 +$18 09-01 11:33
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +168 $161 100¢ $167 +$6 11-06 03:39
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +10,121 $487 2¢ $152 -$335 11-07 07:12
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes +150 $81 99¢ $149 +$68 11-04 10:48
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +10,120 $429 1¢ $147 -$282 11-07 07:12
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? Yes +940 $199 15¢ $145 -$54 11-07 17:50
Counter-Strike: Ryvex vs Drama eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Group D Ryvex +206 $79 66¢ $137 +$58 11-08 17:54
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 9? Up +234 $125 53¢ $125 +$1 11-08 14:51
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.65% in November? No +123 $104 94¢ $116 +$12 11-06 20:52
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.32% in November? No +150 $114 76¢ $113 -$1 11-08 15:56
Will Chris Van Hollen be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes +2,438 $267 4¢ $110 -$157 11-08 12:42
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.03% in November? No +120 $105 86¢ $103 -$2 11-08 16:01
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026? No +110 -$6 92¢ $102 +$108 11-04 23:52
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.61% in November? No +100 $79 93¢ $93 +$14 11-07 04:22