Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a20…26d738 Create alert
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4.14K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.45K
Hit rate
66.9%
Resolved
3,410
Trades
55,924
lifetime
Volume
$939.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$22.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-10 10:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 203 days
Categories
Other
56% 43% -$496
Politics
31% 52% -$8,247
Crypto
6% 77% +$3,673
Tech
5% 67% +$1,372
Sports
2% 53% -$627
Pop-Culture
0% 80% +$189
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3840 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +7,404 $5,057 90¢ $6.7K +$1,643 09-28 13:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +3,578 $3,209 96¢ $3.4K +$227 11-09 20:38
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +7,349 $2,277 34¢ $2.5K +$184 11-08 16:46
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +1,560 $1,269 94¢ $1.5K +$197 10-02 02:27
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +1,105 $664 91¢ $1.0K +$341 08-02 23:40
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? Yes +4,970 $1,054 18¢ $919 -$134 11-09 07:23
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +7,370 $1,468 12¢ $910 -$557 11-10 11:12
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? Yes +1,383 $190 50¢ $698 +$508 11-10 03:23
LoL: FENNEL vs Nothin'Here (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs Nothin'Here +525 $34 100¢ $524 +$490 11-09 13:39
Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +507 $185 80¢ $406 +$221 11-06 12:07
Will Chris Van Hollen be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes +4,890 $472 8¢ $391 -$81 11-10 11:08
M15 Roldan: Valentin Garay vs Facundo Perlov Valentin Garay +490 $399 74¢ $365 -$35 11-09 22:20
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? Yes +1,025 $220 35¢ $359 +$139 11-10 03:00
Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? Yes +334 $176 99¢ $329 +$153 11-10 05:02
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31? Yes +1,225 $219 23¢ $282 +$63 11-06 20:21
Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027? Yes +675 $346 34¢ $226 -$119 11-08 21:41
M15 Roldan: Tadeo Meneo vs Gonzalo Zeitune Tadeo Meneo +400 $328 56¢ $224 -$104 11-09 22:21
Will US gas hit $3.90 (Low) in November? Yes +223 $202 94¢ $209 +$7 11-09 20:31
Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +428 $153 48¢ $203 +$50 11-10 07:28
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? No +2,082 $222 10¢ $198 -$24 11-10 05:22
Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes +193 -$243 99¢ $192 +$436 11-10 07:17
Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? No +231 $158 83¢ $192 +$34 11-07 14:51
Will $2.50 Coin become law this year? No +186 $160 96¢ $179 +$18 09-01 11:33
M15 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria: Carles Rojas vs Alessandro Del Francia Carles Rojas +200 $160 88¢ $177 +$17 11-09 21:53
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +168 $161 100¢ $168 +$6 11-06 03:39
Knoxville: Lui Maxted vs Hynek Barton Lui Maxted +276 $140 60¢ $167 +$27 11-10 06:38
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes +150 $81 98¢ $148 +$66 11-04 10:48
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? Yes +770 $121 18¢ $139 +$17 11-10 06:09
Knoxville: Braden Shick vs Andres Andrade Andres Andrade +273 $114 47¢ $128 +$14 11-10 10:38
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +9,671 $481 1¢ $126 -$355 11-10 02:26