Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a20…26d738 Create alert
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$3.92K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.65K
Hit rate
66.9%
Resolved
3,423
Trades
56,009
lifetime
Volume
$940.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$22.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-10 13:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 203 days
Categories
Other
56% 43% -$282
Politics
31% 52% -$8,247
Crypto
6% 77% +$3,673
Tech
5% 67% +$1,372
Sports
2% 53% -$627
Pop-Culture
0% 80% +$189
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3840 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +7,404 $5,057 92¢ $6.8K +$1,717 09-28 13:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +3,578 $3,209 97¢ $3.5K +$265 11-09 20:38
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +7,349 $2,277 30¢ $2.2K -$36 11-08 16:46
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +1,560 $1,269 94¢ $1.5K +$197 10-02 02:27
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +1,105 $664 91¢ $1.0K +$341 08-02 23:40
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +7,570 $1,489 13¢ $980 -$509 11-10 13:38
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? Yes +4,015 $868 19¢ $763 -$105 11-10 14:16
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? Yes +1,270 $122 60¢ $755 +$633 11-10 14:11
M15 Roldan: Valentin Garay vs Facundo Perlov Valentin Garay +490 $399 98¢ $479 +$80 11-09 22:20
Will Chris Van Hollen be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes +5,040 $485 9¢ $461 -$24 11-10 13:38
Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +507 $185 80¢ $406 +$221 11-06 12:07
Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? Yes +334 $176 99¢ $329 +$153 11-10 05:02
M15 Roldan: Joseph hernandez vs Lautaro Rocha Joseph hernandez +322 $258 99¢ $318 +$60 11-09 22:21
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31? Yes +1,225 $219 23¢ $282 +$63 11-06 20:21
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? Yes +1,045 $226 23¢ $236 +$10 11-10 13:30
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.32% in November? No +300 $250 78¢ $235 -$15 11-10 14:15
Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027? Yes +675 $346 34¢ $233 -$113 11-08 21:41
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? No +2,082 $222 11¢ $219 -$4 11-10 05:22
Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +428 $153 48¢ $203 +$50 11-10 07:28
M15 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria: Carles Rojas vs Alessandro Del Francia Carles Rojas +200 $160 99¢ $198 +$38 11-09 21:53
Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? No +231 $158 83¢ $192 +$34 11-07 14:51
Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes +193 -$243 99¢ $192 +$435 11-10 07:17
Will US gas hit $3.90 (Low) in November? Yes +223 $202 85¢ $190 -$12 11-09 20:31
Will $2.50 Coin become law this year? No +186 $160 96¢ $179 +$18 09-01 11:33
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +168 $161 100¢ $168 +$6 11-06 03:39
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in October? No +160 $77 100¢ $160 +$82 11-10 10:11
Knoxville: Lui Maxted vs Hynek Barton Lui Maxted +276 $140 57¢ $158 +$17 11-10 06:38
itf vasa2 marque2 2026 11 10 Goncalo Marques +200 $160 76¢ $152 -$8 11-09 21:50
Dota 2: Froglings vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner Power Rangers +427 $163 36¢ $151 -$11 11-10 11:33
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes +150 $81 99¢ $148 +$66 11-04 10:48