Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a20…26d738 Create alert
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$4.33K
Unrealized P&L
-$556
Hit rate
65.5%
Resolved (90d)
2,565
Trades (90d)
40,858
53,336 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$684.0K
$893.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$26.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 03:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 198 days
Categories
Other
55% 44% +$3,460
Politics
31% 52% -$8,929
Crypto
6% 77% +$3,662
Tech
5% 67% +$1,372
Sports
2% 52% -$631
Pop-Culture
0% 80% +$189
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3840 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +7,404 $5,057 90¢ $6.6K +$1,569 09-28 13:01
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -4,491 -$2,480 100¢ $-4479 -$1,999 05-03 21:27
Paine Lions vs. Jacksonville Dolphins Jacksonville Dolphins +5,778 $5,583 69¢ $4.0K -$1,582 10-29 16:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +3,073 $2,727 96¢ $3.0K +$223 11-04 05:46
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +4,268 $1,057 50¢ $2.1K +$1,055 11-04 18:06
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +1,560 $1,269 94¢ $1.5K +$190 10-02 02:27
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +1,105 $664 90¢ $995 +$330 08-02 23:40
Will the Republican Party win the FL-13 House seat? Yes +760 $506 99¢ $752 +$246 11-04 02:14
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +510 -$10 100¢ $510 +$520 11-02 01:00
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat? Yes +373 $347 100¢ $373 +$26 11-04 17:12
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat? Yes +350 $143 98¢ $343 +$199 11-04 03:54
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +5,602 $371 6¢ $336 -$35 11-05 01:17
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -300 -$45 100¢ $-298 -$254 08-02 17:03
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,879 $269 6¢ $252 -$17 11-05 00:50
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? Yes +222 $74 99¢ $221 +$146 11-04 04:30
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +502 $109 36¢ $181 +$72 11-04 22:30
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes +150 $81 98¢ $147 +$66 11-04 10:48
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +125 $119 99¢ $124 +$5 10-29 17:49
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? No +100 $97 97¢ $97 +$0 11-05 01:16
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +2,500 $163 4¢ $96 -$66 11-05 03:52
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat? No +83 $23 99¢ $83 +$60 11-04 03:54
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,427 $122 4¢ $57 -$65 11-05 02:36
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +1,711 $111 3¢ $56 -$54 10-23 16:37
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +56 $50 100¢ $56 +$6 11-04 01:56
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? No +30 $24 89¢ $27 +$3 11-05 03:44
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +65 $246 29¢ $19 -$227 10-28 08:43
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? No +89 $19 20¢ $18 -$2 11-04 23:53
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? No +18 $15 89¢ $16 +$1 11-05 02:32
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +22 $2 70¢ $16 +$14 10-27 20:03
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? No +1,281 $1,000 1¢ $13 -$987 11-04 05:34