Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a20…26d738 Create alert
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$7.56K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.33K
Hit rate
64.7%
Resolved (90d)
2,651
Trades (90d)
41,408
54,135 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$690.8K
$905.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$18.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-06 03:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 199 days
Categories
Other
55% 44% -$21
Politics
31% 53% -$8,138
Crypto
6% 77% +$3,662
Tech
5% 67% +$1,372
Sports
2% 52% -$631
Pop-Culture
0% 80% +$189
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3840 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +7,404 $5,057 90¢ $6.6K +$1,569 09-28 13:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +3,073 $2,727 97¢ $3.0K +$245 11-04 05:46
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +5,217 $1,456 44¢ $2.3K +$813 11-06 01:37
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +1,560 $1,269 94¢ $1.5K +$205 10-02 02:27
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +1,105 $664 94¢ $1.0K +$369 08-02 23:40
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? No +3,125 $396 15¢ $469 +$73 11-06 03:24
Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027? Yes +1,102 $509 40¢ $441 -$68 11-04 18:12
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat? Yes +426 $346 90¢ $381 +$35 11-06 03:20
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +1,389 $326 23¢ $324 -$2 11-05 23:34
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -300 -$45 100¢ $-300 -$255 08-02 17:03
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31? Yes +1,575 $302 17¢ $268 -$35 11-06 01:29
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" at Cape Canaveral? No +260 $246 96¢ $249 +$4 11-06 01:53
Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? No +261 $183 83¢ $217 +$34 11-05 06:32
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +8,000 $448 2¢ $192 -$256 11-05 23:21
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +7,593 $387 2¢ $182 -$205 11-05 16:44
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +502 $109 35¢ $176 +$67 11-04 22:30
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over +400 $176 44¢ $174 -$2 11-06 02:23
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +168 $161 98¢ $165 +$4 11-06 03:39
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes +150 $81 99¢ $149 +$68 11-04 10:48
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? Yes +1,020 $214 12¢ $120 -$93 10-26 17:18
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026? No +110 -$6 92¢ $102 +$108 11-04 23:52
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? No +100 $97 98¢ $98 +$1 11-05 01:16
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.65% in November? No +103 $85 88¢ $91 +$5 11-05 16:12
Will Export-control chip security become law this year? No +155 $91 57¢ $89 -$2 11-05 02:29
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? Yes +298 $84 28¢ $82 -$2 11-06 02:04
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.08% in November? No +100 $65 71¢ $71 +$6 11-05 22:36
Will Chris Van Hollen be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes +1,343 $147 5¢ $70 -$77 11-06 01:50
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +3,012 $176 2¢ $56 -$121 11-05 20:16
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,947 $155 2¢ $55 -$101 11-06 03:57
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +1,711 $111 3¢ $53 -$58 10-23 16:37