Dual-Cephalopod 0x460a20…26d738 Create alert
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$2.79K
Unrealized P&L
-$618
Hit rate
65.7%
Resolved (90d)
2,525
Trades (90d)
40,589
52,994 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$681.7K
$891.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$25.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 21:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 197 days
Categories
Other
55% 44% +$5,107
Politics
31% 53% -$8,920
Crypto
6% 77% +$3,662
Tech
5% 67% +$1,372
Sports
2% 52% -$739
Pop-Culture
0% 80% +$189
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3642 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +7,404 $5,057 90¢ $6.6K +$1,569 09-28 13:01
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -4,491 -$2,480 98¢ $-4394 -$1,914 05-03 21:27
Paine Lions vs. Jacksonville Dolphins Jacksonville Dolphins +5,778 $5,583 57¢ $3.3K -$2,316 10-29 16:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +3,073 $2,727 96¢ $3.0K +$223 11-04 05:46
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +4,268 $1,057 42¢ $1.8K +$757 11-04 18:06
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +1,560 $1,269 94¢ $1.5K +$190 10-02 02:27
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +1,105 $664 85¢ $939 +$275 08-02 23:40
Will the Republican Party win the FL-13 House seat? Yes +760 $506 98¢ $743 +$237 11-04 02:14
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +510 -$10 98¢ $500 +$510 11-02 01:00
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat? Yes +373 $347 98¢ $368 +$21 11-04 17:12
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -300 -$45 100¢ $-299 -$254 08-02 17:03
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +3,485 $233 8¢ $261 +$29 11-04 21:21
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? Yes +222 $74 99¢ $219 +$145 11-04 04:30
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +2,540 $202 8¢ $196 -$7 11-04 21:14
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +431 $84 36¢ $155 +$71 11-04 15:35
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,878 $134 8¢ $150 +$16 11-04 21:14
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,973 $170 8¢ $148 -$22 11-04 19:22
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes +150 $81 98¢ $147 +$66 11-04 10:48
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +125 $119 99¢ $124 +$5 10-29 17:49
Will the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat? Yes +121 $57 98¢ $119 +$62 11-04 20:45
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat? No +83 $23 99¢ $83 +$60 11-04 03:54
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +1,711 $111 3¢ $56 -$54 10-23 16:37
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +56 $50 100¢ $56 +$6 11-04 01:56
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? No +115 $25 28¢ $32 +$7 11-04 21:06
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat? Yes +167 $26 13¢ $22 -$4 11-04 19:48
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat? Yes +178 $39 11¢ $20 -$19 11-04 21:04
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +65 $246 28¢ $18 -$228 10-28 08:43
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +22 $2 72¢ $16 +$14 10-27 20:03
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -784 -$941 2¢ $-16 +$925 05-21 19:27
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? No +1,281 $1,000 1¢ $13 -$987 11-04 05:34