Tense-Fort 0x2f2660…ae0d8f
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$6.02K
Unrealized P&L
+$70
Hit rate
62.1%
Resolved
1,264
Trades
81,774
lifetime
Volume
$1.70M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$5.67K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-07
last 07-12 18:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
69% 44% $-5,005
Sports
29% 52% $-449
Crypto
1% — —
Politics
0% 67% $-568
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2164 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +1,811 $1,157 82¢ $1.5K +$319 07-07 06:08
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +1,377 $1,117 84¢ $1.1K +$33 07-03 14:47
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +889 $582 72¢ $645 +$62 06-15 03:28
Will the Portland Fire make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? No +659 $446 88¢ $583 +$137 06-02 06:50
Will the New York Liberty make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? Yes +260 $186 89¢ $231 +$45 06-07 13:38
Will the Las Vegas Aces make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? Yes +240 $166 92¢ $222 +$56 06-07 13:41
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? No +308 $130 46¢ $140 +$10 06-18 11:16
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +466 $157 28¢ $128 $-29 07-11 04:27
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027? No +109 $80 85¢ $93 +$12 06-22 22:02
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms? No +90 $72 90¢ $81 +$9 06-10 19:41
Will the New York Yankees clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes -82 $-76 94¢ $-77 $-1 06-04 11:41
Will the Dallas Wings make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? Yes +82 $57 90¢ $74 +$16 06-07 13:38
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +82 $65 89¢ $73 +$8 06-09 15:40
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +64 $46 99¢ $63 +$17 06-23 09:27
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +66 $44 92¢ $61 +$17 06-11 05:58
Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes -74 $-57 76¢ $-56 +$1 06-20 02:00
Will the Toronto Tempo make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? Yes +372 $745 15¢ $54 $-691 06-24 19:31
Will Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? Yes -69 $-17 70¢ $-48 $-32 06-11 11:24
Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No +106 $59 45¢ $48 $-11 07-11 13:27
Will GCR appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? No +43 $41 98¢ $42 +$2 06-10 17:20
Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +56 $38 75¢ $42 +$4 07-09 16:15
Will John Ratcliffe leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +55 $33 73¢ $40 +$7 06-17 05:36
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +50 $10 75¢ $38 +$27 06-04 06:52
Will the Detroit Tigers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +133 $26 28¢ $37 +$11 07-08 01:23
Benedict Wong as Wong? Yes -45 $-36 78¢ $-35 +$1 06-22 00:04
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? Yes -44 $-34 76¢ $-34 +$0 06-23 04:54
Will Jared Goff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +31 $22 99¢ $31 +$9 06-12 18:32
Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez? Yes +44 $16 61¢ $27 +$11 07-12 02:43
Another US debt downgrade before 2027? Yes -108 $-44 20¢ $-21 +$23 06-22 04:53
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? Yes +100 $24 19¢ $19 $-5 06-08 20:38