Realized P&L
-$6.02K
Unrealized P&L
-$348
Hit rate
62.1%
Resolved
1,264
Trades
62,577
lifetime
Volume
$1.22M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$4.58K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-07
last 06-22 12:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
61% 44% $-5,005
Sports
37% 52% $-449
Crypto
1%
Politics
1% 67% $-568
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 2164 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +1,324 $1,078 80¢ $1.1K $-19 06-14 14:31
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +889 $582 77¢ $685 +$102 06-15 03:28
Will the Portland Fire make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? No +659 $446 82¢ $544 +$98 06-02 06:50
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot? No +1,317 $631 34¢ $454 $-177 06-18 14:18
Will the Toronto Tempo make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? Yes +1,759 $942 21¢ $369 $-572 05-31 04:31
Will the New York Liberty make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? Yes +260 $186 88¢ $228 +$42 06-07 13:38
Will the Las Vegas Aces make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? Yes +240 $166 86¢ $205 +$39 06-07 13:41
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? No +308 $130 50¢ $152 +$23 06-18 11:16
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms? No +90 $72 88¢ $79 +$7 06-10 19:41
Will the New York Yankees clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes -82 $-76 94¢ $-77 $-0 06-04 11:41
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +82 $65 88¢ $73 +$8 06-09 15:40
Will the Dallas Wings make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? Yes +82 $57 86¢ $71 +$14 06-07 13:38
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027? No +81 $60 79¢ $64 +$4 06-16 21:41
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +66 $44 83¢ $55 +$11 06-11 05:58
Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes -74 $-57 74¢ $-54 +$3 06-20 02:00
Will Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? Yes -69 $-17 70¢ $-48 $-32 06-11 11:24
Benedict Wong as Wong? Yes -45 $-36 82¢ $-37 $-0 06-22 00:04
Will John Ratcliffe leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +55 $33 65¢ $36 +$3 06-17 05:36
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes -81 $-30 40¢ $-33 $-3 06-16 17:50
Will GCR appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? No +43 $41 75¢ $32 $-8 06-10 17:20
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +50 $10 64¢ $32 +$22 06-04 06:52
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? Yes -30 $-29 96¢ $-29 +$0 06-22 00:00
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? Yes +100 $24 26¢ $26 +$2 06-08 20:38
Will Jared Goff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +31 $22 82¢ $25 +$3 06-12 18:32
Another US debt downgrade before 2027? Yes -108 $-44 22¢ $-23 +$21 06-22 04:53
Will the Detroit Tigers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +128 $25 17¢ $22 $-3 06-16 14:34
Halle Berry as Storm? Yes +36 $10 47¢ $17 +$7 06-21 11:34
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? Yes -784 $-59 $-17 +$42 06-12 06:01
Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5 Under +16 $14 100¢ $16 +$3 06-01 01:25
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? Yes -102 $-31 16¢ $-16 +$15 05-27 20:09