Tense-Fort 0x2f2660…ae0d8f
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$36.5K
Unrealized P&L
-$505
Hit rate
64.7%
Resolved
22,719
Trades
137,816
lifetime
Volume
$2.91M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$28.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-07
last 10-29 10:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 182 days
Categories
Other
76% 51% -$59,518
Sports
20% 54% +$11,076
Politics
2% 67% +$3,309
Crypto
1% 52% +$8,254
Tech
0% 58% +$1,008
Pop-Culture
0% 36% -$583
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 1382 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +6,699 $4,189 63¢ $4.2K +$4 10-29 06:03
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +7,910 $2,377 28¢ $2.2K -$202 10-29 02:32
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +7,733 $2,322 28¢ $2.1K -$195 10-29 02:32
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +6,129 $2,354 32¢ $1.9K -$424 10-29 02:44
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +1,811 $1,157 86¢ $1.6K +$409 07-07 06:08
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +3,824 $1,312 36¢ $1.4K +$84 10-23 01:37
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -1,685 -$1,068 82¢ $-1377 -$309 05-13 21:32
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +1,288 $668 100¢ $1.3K +$617 07-20 16:58
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +3,010 $1,272 32¢ $978 -$294 09-16 00:48
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +1,340 $1,088 70¢ $945 -$143 10-28 03:04
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? No +1,206 $810 68¢ $826 +$16 10-25 10:02
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +1,300 $605 61¢ $793 +$188 10-05 14:44
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,068 $698 36¢ $755 +$57 10-29 02:38
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +1,684 $670 43¢ $721 +$50 10-28 15:12
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +915 $599 78¢ $709 +$110 06-15 03:28
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +1,228 $738 57¢ $700 -$38 10-29 05:43
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +642 $528 100¢ $642 +$114 06-18 05:29
will samuel alito announce his retirement by june 30 2027 20260630164636932 777 232 No +1,101 $501 56¢ $611 +$110 07-07 08:45
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +841 $556 68¢ $572 +$16 10-25 15:13
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +5,692 $704 8¢ $484 -$220 10-27 17:43
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +742 $493 58¢ $434 -$59 10-29 12:34
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +947 $464 46¢ $431 -$33 05-17 03:14
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? No +567 $351 73¢ $414 +$63 05-13 22:11
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +2,143 $450 18¢ $375 -$75 06-20 23:45
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +545 $366 59¢ $322 -$44 10-27 11:24
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +993 $377 32¢ $313 -$64 10-22 02:04
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +1,494 $419 20¢ $291 -$128 10-27 18:13
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? No +326 $253 76¢ $249 -$3 10-27 01:47
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,617 $238 8¢ $222 -$15 10-29 02:35
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +1,011 $294 20¢ $197 -$97 10-27 15:54