Realized P&L
+$4.06K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.36K
Hit rate
69.2%
Resolved
1,139
Trades
19,078
lifetime
Volume
$970.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$51
Open exposure
$9.03K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-23 05:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 160 days
Categories
Politics
52% 41% +$18,502
Other
45% 39% -$13,793
Crypto
2% 38% -$1,151
Pop-Culture
1% 67% +$1,818
Sports
0% 11% -$1,314
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 157 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +3,600 $591 56¢ $2.0K +$1,407 09-18 01:13
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2,313 $629 43¢ $998 +$369 07-11 06:22
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,500 $585 56¢ $840 +$255 06-14 00:23
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +1,500 $937 44¢ $660 -$277 06-20 01:21
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -513 -$133 96¢ $-495 -$361 04-29 00:47
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +1,500 $680 30¢ $457 -$222 08-21 05:35
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,500 $690 30¢ $450 -$240 08-26 17:15
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +623 $300 62¢ $389 +$89 07-06 19:46
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $515 32¢ $325 -$190 08-12 15:17
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +800 $183 34¢ $268 +$85 09-23 14:28
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $279 26¢ $255 -$24 10-23 05:03
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +780 $272 30¢ $238 -$34 08-19 00:39
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $210 70¢ $208 -$2 09-23 13:09
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +800 $332 26¢ $204 -$128 08-21 08:53
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +500 $170 38¢ $188 +$18 07-06 19:27
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +178 -$207 98¢ $175 +$382 10-21 15:11
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $117 42¢ $126 +$9 07-18 23:21
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $100 58¢ $117 +$17 09-22 17:00
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,000 $160 6¢ $117 -$43 05-26 15:40
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $96 38¢ $116 +$20 09-23 05:00
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +300 $62 35¢ $104 +$42 09-22 17:09
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +500 $90 20¢ $102 +$12 07-17 22:13
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +500 $82 15¢ $73 -$8 09-22 04:31
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -73 -$51 92¢ $-68 -$16 05-23 20:18
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +360 $189 15¢ $54 -$135 05-26 06:20
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -352 -$335 0¢ $-1 +$334 06-03 23:25