Worried-Fear — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$120

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.1%

Resolved

Trades

364

lifetime

Volume

$4.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 05-24 11:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

62% 38% $-5

Politics

24% 25% $-14

Crypto

10% 40% $-101

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	2	$237	122	122	+0	open	—	01-15 22:16
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	20	$142	152	152	+0	open	—	05-11 07:32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	3	$138	100	200	-100	open	—	05-07 15:51
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	9	$137	164	164	+0	Yes	$-1	05-11 09:23
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	7	$117	121	121	+0	open	—	05-14 10:49
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?	4	$102	100	100	+0	open	—	05-21 09:15
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	12	$102	108	108	+0	open	—	05-14 14:01
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	6	$102	109	109	+0	open	—	05-14 13:41
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	6	$96	100	100	+0	open	—	05-17 22:22
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$91	100	100	+0	open	—	05-22 13:03
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	5	$90	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 17:49
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	4	$90	100	100	+0	open	—	05-14 20:31
will trump say unbelievable or fantastic or incredible 10 times during panthers visit	7	$88	4,860	735	+4,125	open	—	01-18 00:03
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	3	$88	50	100	-50	open	—	05-12 20:42
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	7	$84	265	179	+86	open	—	02-01 20:46
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	5	$79	100	100	+0	open	—	05-24 07:25
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	4	$77	120	4	+115	open	—	05-22 05:31
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	22	$74	55	55	+0	open	—	04-12 20:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	6	$68	50	50	+0	Yes	$-1	05-08 01:00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$67	100	100	+0	open	—	05-17 22:22
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	4	$67	53	53	+0	open	—	05-16 01:31
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$65	100	100	+0	open	—	05-07 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	13	$65	935	0	+935	Down	$-65	05-07 13:08
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	2	$62	50	50	+0	open	—	05-08 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	7	$57	82	82	+0	Up	+$7	05-07 12:58
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	2	$56	50	50	+0	open	—	05-14 00:26
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	4	$50	62	62	+0	open	—	05-13 21:22
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	2	$50	100	0	+100	open	—	05-18 13:51
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$49	50	50	+0	open	—	05-11 13:56
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	2	$48	50	50	+0	open	—	05-15 05:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 11:52:10	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xd74298…
05-24 11:41:37	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3e0052…
05-24 11:40:37	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xbabce2…
05-24 11:40:37	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xbabce2…
05-24 10:27:28	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x088bf1…
05-24 07:25:20	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	39	46¢	$18	0xddc146…
05-24 03:59:54	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x411077…
05-24 02:37:10	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x599486…
05-24 00:05:05	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x8a1775…
05-22 18:34:10	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0xe609c7…
05-22 15:55:44	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x34aec1…
05-22 13:30:15	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x0588fd…
05-22 13:03:11	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	100	46¢	$46	0xb8393a…
05-22 10:39:33	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x6467d8…
05-22 05:31:33	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	SELL	4	61¢	$3	0x516031…
05-22 04:44:39	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xcc3faf…
05-22 02:48:39	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0x9b9393…
05-21 23:22:09	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xf024c0…
05-21 18:26:54	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x81d738…
05-21 18:04:12	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0xa986bb…
05-21 17:19:57	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x76813e…
05-21 17:11:11	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x7ffbfc…
05-21 16:35:30	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0xa375a9…
05-21 16:23:00	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x942f2b…
05-21 13:09:28	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x2d6b16…
05-21 09:15:58	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0x19657c…
05-21 08:05:37	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0xdc31dd…
05-19 15:55:59	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x068189…
05-19 14:40:26	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xbaf256…
05-18 19:19:01	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xd91cf0…
05-18 13:51:08	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x34842f…
05-18 13:51:03	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x040be3…
05-18 13:47:34	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x2c2e62…
05-18 06:52:35	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xbd839c…
05-18 00:48:14	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x76f101…
05-17 23:27:02	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x089796…
05-17 22:22:51	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x6be659…
05-17 22:22:47	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	No	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0xa7eac1…
05-17 22:22:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0xf66b1a…
05-17 17:10:09	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x70542f…
05-16 01:31:10	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x57ac60…
05-15 15:33:57	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x598975…
05-15 14:23:33	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	No	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x188685…
05-15 14:20:11	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	Yes	SELL	4	68¢	$2	0x69662c…
05-15 14:20:06	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x20e4e8…
05-15 14:18:18	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	Yes	SELL	45	68¢	$31	0xe5e804…
05-15 13:45:31	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0xeaf168…
05-15 08:16:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x133cd9…
05-15 08:10:06	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x809eac…
05-15 05:36:04	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	No	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0xa6b1ad…
05-15 02:35:12	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x92d3c7…
05-14 21:42:13	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	80¢	$5	0xc4605e…
05-14 20:31:17	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	No	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0xb40ed5…
05-14 20:16:49	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	No	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x412d42…
05-14 14:01:29	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x3e9f51…
05-14 13:41:58	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0xa5a223…
05-14 12:38:25	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xcf11fb…
05-14 11:55:11	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xbdd43f…
05-14 10:49:06	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xec9575…
05-14 10:49:04	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x75bfb8…
05-14 10:23:10	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x5d6181…
05-14 09:28:51	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x7096d2…
05-14 09:17:52	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x013fba…
05-14 08:47:46	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	No	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0xfc03c4…
05-14 08:15:49	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x4c3428…
05-14 08:15:35	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	Yes	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x8581da…
05-14 08:06:10	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	No	SELL	49	51¢	$25	0xd9afde…
05-14 07:50:39	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	49	50¢	$24	0xca23a5…
05-14 06:44:32	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x5ffe79…
05-14 06:08:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x7cceca…
05-14 05:52:39	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	Yes	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0xf564f8…
05-14 05:42:02	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xc9ce23…
05-14 00:26:00	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0x59e28f…
05-13 22:41:53	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xb072b0…
05-13 22:38:46	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xae8619…
05-13 22:37:29	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x9b4801…
05-13 21:22:54	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	SELL	12	38¢	$5	0x36b2ed…
05-13 21:02:57	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xcc48ae…
05-13 20:27:38	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0xaad4e9…
05-13 20:26:12	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x4556b5…
05-13 19:11:14	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?	No	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xb7aa95…
05-13 19:05:14	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?	No	SELL	48	30¢	$14	0xdd4a54…
05-13 18:43:48	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x88f2db…
05-13 18:26:19	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x97cb39…
05-13 18:26:16	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0xe31de2…
05-13 18:05:56	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?	No	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xd16b82…
05-13 18:00:13	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xc79963…
05-13 16:38:42	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x114532…
05-13 16:06:58	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xa3976d…
05-13 15:51:23	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xa8ecb3…
05-13 14:57:47	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x570ded…
05-13 13:03:08	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	49¢	$24	0x2b4b75…
05-13 12:37:57	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	78¢	$10	0xaee0a5…
05-13 11:38:20	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xdbfa07…
05-12 21:03:59	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x3826e1…
05-12 20:42:01	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0xe9507c…
05-12 20:13:33	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x16e641…
05-12 15:09:28	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	No	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0xf79f53…
05-12 14:56:03	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0xf78f08…
05-12 10:13:36	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	No	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xae42c9…