Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?
open
Total volume
$696
$3,480 in 24h
Trades
35
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$9,137
Latest YES mid
52¢
Latest NO mid
48¢
End date
2026-06-01
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-12 23:33
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $190 | $190 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $181 | $141 | +$39 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $21 | $21 |
| Median | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| Below median | 5 | $18 | $4 | +$14 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | — | $60 | $60 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 13 | $160 | $247 | $88 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qualified-Citizen 0xa80e…b94b | No | +577 | $190 | $190 | 1 | 05-12 00:08 |
| Acceptable-Tax 0x10ec…68a8 | Yes | +250 | $135 | $135 | 1 | 05-12 23:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xedc9…e105 | No | +153 | $52 | $52 | 2 | 05-12 00:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x7238…b114 | No | +74 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-12 00:08 |
| Impartial-Tatami 0x789a…1dda | No | +64 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-12 00:08 |
| Nutritious-Speaker 0xfb83…42d5 | No | +50 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-11 03:48 |
| Total-Caviar 0x9976…8b3d | Yes | +30 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 05-10 14:52 |
| Weepy-Final 0x3d8a…9a7e | No | +29 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-12 00:08 |
| Enormous-Necktie 0x6b83…f42d | Yes | +23 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 05-11 13:18 |
| Canine-Grandmom 0x01bd…06e9 | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 10:51 |
| Oval-Transcript 0x98db…bf6c | No | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 06:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a0a…3a9d | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 00:08 |
| Sleepy-University 0xc022…4fb0 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 18:47 |
| Powerless-Rhinoceros 0xfd33…b888 | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 18:47 |
| Heartfelt-Mailman 0x53ab…3af6 | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 16:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xaab0…6e3e | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 00:08 |
| Ambitious-Canopy 0x238b…2f12 | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 13:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xf963…2d2f | No | +2 | $1 | $2 | 2 | 05-12 00:08 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 23:33:08 | Acceptable-Tax 0x10ec…68a8 | Yes | BUY | 250 | 54¢ | $135 | 0xec6b44… |
| 05-12 09:47:36 | Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 56¢ | $4 | 0x21ca07… |
| 05-12 00:08:55 | Impartial-Tatami 0x789a…1dda | No | BUY | 64 | 39¢ | $25 | 0x7b2ecf… |
| 05-12 00:08:18 | (anonymous) 0xf963…2d2f | No | SELL | 2 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x236a4f… |
| 05-12 00:08:16 | (anonymous) 0xedc9…e105 | No | BUY | 36 | 34¢ | $12 | 0xb186a4… |
| 05-12 00:08:16 | (anonymous) 0x7238…b114 | No | BUY | 74 | 34¢ | $25 | 0x57407a… |
| 05-12 00:08:14 | Weepy-Final 0x3d8a…9a7e | No | BUY | 15 | 34¢ | $5 | 0xd4e8be… |
| 05-12 00:08:14 | (anonymous) 0xedc9…e105 | No | BUY | 118 | 34¢ | $40 | 0xad2de1… |
| 05-12 00:08:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 48 | 33¢ | $16 | 0x01e8cb… |
| 05-12 00:08:14 | (anonymous) 0xaab0…6e3e | No | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0xcfba3b… |
| 05-12 00:08:14 | (anonymous) 0xf963…2d2f | No | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xf1614c… |
| 05-12 00:08:14 | Weepy-Final 0x3d8a…9a7e | No | BUY | 15 | 34¢ | $5 | 0x1dca11… |
| 05-12 00:08:13 | (anonymous) 0x5a0a…3a9d | No | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x9fd5cd… |
| 05-12 00:08:13 | Qualified-Citizen 0xa80e…b94b | No | BUY | 577 | 33¢ | $190 | 0x00a161… |
| 05-11 18:47:45 | Powerless-Rhinoceros 0xfd33…b888 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 68¢ | $2 | 0x419f3c… |
| 05-11 18:47:12 | Sleepy-University 0xc022…4fb0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x11470b… |
| 05-11 16:38:42 | Heartfelt-Mailman 0x53ab…3af6 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 68¢ | $2 | 0x640b00… |
| 05-11 13:56:37 | Weekly-Convection 0x74e0…af4b | No | SELL | 50 | 32¢ | $16 | 0x02e07f… |
| 05-11 13:56:04 | Weekly-Convection 0x74e0…af4b | No | SELL | 150 | 33¢ | $50 | 0xf9fe93… |
| 05-11 13:18:51 | Enormous-Necktie 0x6b83…f42d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 55¢ | $6 | 0xad169c… |
| 05-11 13:04:23 | Ambitious-Canopy 0x238b…2f12 | No | BUY | 3 | 46¢ | $1 | 0x841481… |
| 05-11 12:29:23 | Spicy-Disease 0xa99f…b306 | No | SELL | 94 | 48¢ | $45 | 0x5e37b8… |
| 05-11 10:51:02 | Canine-Grandmom 0x01bd…06e9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x396be8… |
| 05-11 06:54:08 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 52¢ | $3 | 0xca3667… |
| 05-11 06:34:09 | Oval-Transcript 0x98db…bf6c | No | BUY | 6 | 48¢ | $3 | 0x3c253b… |
| 05-11 03:48:56 | Nutritious-Speaker 0xfb83…42d5 | No | BUY | 50 | 42¢ | $21 | 0x4a51e8… |
| 05-11 00:30:18 | (anonymous) 0x0c12…9a6b | Yes | SELL | 25 | 58¢ | $15 | 0xb5078e… |
| 05-10 14:52:15 | Total-Caviar 0x9976…8b3d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 61¢ | $6 | 0xa70d7c… |
| 05-10 13:06:49 | Total-Caviar 0x9976…8b3d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 61¢ | $6 | 0x101e2d… |
| 05-10 12:05:39 | Total-Caviar 0x9976…8b3d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 61¢ | $6 | 0xb23aa9… |
| 05-09 03:34:26 | Full-Thermals 0x7668…4562 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 57¢ | $28 | 0x69af62… |
| 05-08 09:40:47 | Frozen-Registry 0xa4de…3920 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x50767b… |
| 05-08 09:40:45 | Rundown-Rotation 0x6a85…39fc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0xf1ef3e… |
| 05-08 09:40:31 | Rundown-Rotation 0x6a85…39fc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x30f70a… |
| 05-08 04:49:51 | Enormous-Necktie 0x6b83…f42d | Yes | BUY | 13 | 66¢ | $9 | 0xd69eb9… |