Legitimate-Grandmother — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

97.7%

Resolved

127

Trades

136

lifetime

Volume

$2.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$29

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-01 02:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 100% +$4

Other

39% 98% -$18

Politics

12% 92% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No		+29	$29	100¢	$29	+$0	10-24 09:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?	3	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	05-24 00:00
will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	2	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	04-17 09:23
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	2	$35	36	0	+36	No	+$0	05-30 16:21
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	2	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	05-13 17:55
will bitcoin reach 78k on april 21	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	04-22 01:57
will danielle martin win the by election for the seat of universityrosedale in the house of commons of canada	2	$34	17	17	+0	Yes	$0	04-13 20:29
will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on april 19	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-19 03:03
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	10-24 09:58
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	04-26 15:38
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	07-26 20:25
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 440 459	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	03-04 15:58
will solana dip to 50 in january 2026	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	01-09 22:13
Will Leonard Jackson advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	06-01 16:13
will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	01-03 11:33
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	1	$26	26	0	+26	Yes	+$0	05-05 13:25
ethereum above 2500 on april 15	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	04-15 05:50
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 9?	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	10-08 18:47
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	02-10 03:29
will drake release a new album by september 30	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	09-29 17:40
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	05-28 22:21
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	03-12 18:23
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	04-23 20:57
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	07-21 10:39
will solana dip to 20 in february 2026	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	02-04 13:45
bitcoin above 66k on july 2 2026	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	06-30 22:47
bitcoin above 72k on june 25 2026	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-23 05:48
bitcoin above 70k on april 4	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	04-03 19:35
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 14-20?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	09-20 12:43
bitcoin above 62k on july 12 2026	1	$23	23	0	+23	Yes	+$0	07-11 19:48
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	1	$23	23	0	+23	Yes	+$0	07-28 20:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 02:30:54	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x7fc914…
10-24 09:58:32	Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x1d8231…
10-23 11:36:26	Will Stefan Krkobabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x69f48b…
10-17 05:05:52	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7ad24d…
10-08 18:47:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 9?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xf63bdd…
10-07 03:01:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 7?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x7de8c4…
09-29 17:40:53	will drake release a new album by september 30	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x27d816…
09-26 22:24:59	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 September 21-27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0312d7…
09-21 17:40:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0xb5a6c1…
09-20 12:43:30	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 14-20?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x197215…
09-05 07:07:34	Will The Left win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd8443b…
09-03 04:01:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 3?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x4c81e4…
08-27 09:06:25	Will Tyreek Hill play for the Philadelphia Eagles next?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x29a251…
08-19 06:47:07	bitcoin above 62k on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0b320f…
08-19 01:04:43	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x5a3e6b…
08-17 13:51:06	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x7d56e8…
08-14 10:14:13	will bitcoin reach 70k august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9a7634…
08-12 14:49:52	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x18ef6b…
08-10 02:50:15	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x736090…
08-09 08:41:49	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x1edc51…
08-02 16:27:26	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb67c71…
08-01 18:47:09	will bitcoin dip to 56k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xadc0e9…
07-31 23:21:41	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd01cab…
07-30 19:19:05	bitcoin above 62k on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x39963f…
07-28 20:29:02	Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x59f367…
07-26 20:25:22	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x2a83a7…
07-21 10:39:07	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xc27aca…
07-20 17:04:46	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x549c81…
07-18 22:02:10	will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x106ba6…
07-14 13:57:22	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe6af80…
07-12 11:24:53	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d2ddd…
07-11 19:48:08	bitcoin above 62k on july 12 2026	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xa75837…
07-10 19:03:32	Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd5e1ac…
07-10 14:00:35	bitcoin above 60k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xe999e5…
07-07 22:38:34	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc5290a…
07-06 22:15:25	bitcoin above 58k on july 8 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd57987…
07-04 18:21:17	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1bd411…
07-04 17:43:25	ethereum above 1600 on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf29d86…
07-03 06:52:22	bitcoin above 68k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x2cafce…
07-02 23:35:07	bitcoin above 54k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x769538…
07-02 13:25:55	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x9dfe4c…
06-30 22:47:32	bitcoin above 66k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xdd3de9…
06-24 20:40:53	will bitcoin reach 65k on june 24	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xba734a…
06-23 05:48:34	bitcoin above 72k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x200112…
06-22 06:25:43	bitcoin above 60k on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9340c7…
06-01 16:13:22	Will Leonard Jackson advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x95463d…
05-30 16:21:40	Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0xfdc202…
05-29 16:58:05	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xcb7b1f…
05-28 22:21:24	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6f0fb8…
05-28 17:30:33	Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x348c35…
05-27 14:50:51	Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 27?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xae199b…
05-26 19:22:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x61517d…
05-26 11:03:02	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb8cdb8…
05-25 21:06:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa79ed9…
05-25 16:33:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc85ead…
05-25 05:03:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0xab583a…
05-24 14:12:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1c5140…
05-24 00:00:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x61a18f…
05-23 11:41:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8abba2…
05-23 02:27:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 23?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x12032d…
05-22 09:26:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xd5642a…
05-22 02:41:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeac1f3…
05-21 05:42:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x6310f5…
05-20 16:14:33	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6d1a34…
05-20 00:08:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x0e2a62…
05-18 19:15:23	Will Douglas T. Muck Jr. be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x496b75…
05-18 10:46:37	Will Ken McFeeters win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x0a2faf…
05-18 05:33:01	Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbf89ab…
05-17 13:17:59	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x809ba2…
05-17 03:45:14	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x3b6478…
05-16 21:01:08	Will Gregg Kirkpatrick win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x5b4413…
05-16 03:43:16	Will Sam Stevens win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf264f0…
05-15 17:33:20	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x735534…
05-15 14:07:48	Will Serbia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x38276b…
05-14 18:39:33	Will Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x90a1bd…
05-14 07:04:38	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe2002b…
05-13 17:55:10	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x8211a4…
05-12 11:44:39	Will Cerebras' market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbfebbc…
05-12 05:20:49	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe1165f…
05-11 21:07:31	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xba98e6…
05-11 07:30:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe6b161…
05-10 20:21:52	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x26575c…
05-10 15:18:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xadcbe4…
05-09 22:04:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8a4fbb…
05-09 20:11:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x26546f…
05-09 09:00:38	Will annual inflation increase by ≤3.1% in April?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc90d5f…
05-07 17:02:05	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x926a1a…
05-06 18:21:35	Will Helen Dalton win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4391b9…
05-06 04:55:02	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa58d87…
05-05 13:25:20	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x45baf3…
05-04 18:42:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x89230d…
05-02 23:36:56	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8fe0da…
05-02 13:26:20	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe8dca4…
05-02 11:15:58	Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x0ff83b…
05-02 05:30:04	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x32e13c…
05-01 16:11:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd99a78…
05-01 11:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 1?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1e4166…
04-30 14:13:28	Will Google reach $400 in April?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x60812a…
04-28 22:02:30	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x198048…
04-27 15:59:22	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe12f42…