Will Helen Dalton win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
No won
Total volume
$1,719
Trades
20
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 06:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $316 | $316 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 11 | — | $152 | $152 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $77 | $77 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 10 | — | $152 | $152 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $1.5K | $1.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | +1,226 | $1,224 | $1,224 | 3 | 05-07 21:20 |
| Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe | No | +226 | $226 | $226 | 2 | 05-07 21:14 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 2 | 05-07 21:14 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-08 06:54 |
| Familiar-Robotics 0xacf1…ae01 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-06 05:34 |
| Ultimate-Memorial 0x914e…088c | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-07 08:33 |
| Gaseous-Bassoon 0x7350…f391 | No | +19 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-06 05:55 |
| Fruitful-Gemsbok 0x26dd…548a | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-06 02:28 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-07 23:16 |
| Pushy-Cloudburst 0xab0e…ecb7 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-06 15:42 |
| Ideal-Coverall 0xffc9…1676 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-07 14:19 |
| Sympathetic-Amazon 0xf8c5…ac64 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-06 01:03 |
| Anguished-Symmetry 0x9c02…94d0 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-07 09:27 |
| Irresponsible-Study 0x7c30…dfb6 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-06 01:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 06:54:23 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xe0f1c4… |
| 05-08 03:41:17 | Frightened-Kitsch 0x58fd…43a6 | Yes | SELL | 3,000 | 0¢ | $3 | 0x511598… |
| 05-08 03:36:33 | Firm-Tailbud 0x92bb…1afb | Yes | SELL | 6,876 | 0¢ | $7 | 0xea3274… |
| 05-07 23:16:42 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x1789f4… |
| 05-07 21:20:04 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 1,146 | 100¢ | $1,145 | 0xb1a6dc… |
| 05-07 21:14:58 | Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe | No | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $200 | 0x391459… |
| 05-07 21:14:58 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 70 | 100¢ | $70 | 0xb5793b… |
| 05-07 21:14:58 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x6f7da3… |
| 05-07 21:11:21 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x24f82d… |
| 05-07 21:11:16 | Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe | No | BUY | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0x3b0c53… |
| 05-07 21:11:16 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xffc3ff… |
| 05-07 14:19:08 | Ideal-Coverall 0xffc9…1676 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x74235b… |
| 05-07 09:27:33 | Anguished-Symmetry 0x9c02…94d0 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xd7611a… |
| 05-07 08:33:25 | Ultimate-Memorial 0x914e…088c | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x8659f7… |
| 05-06 15:42:02 | Pushy-Cloudburst 0xab0e…ecb7 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x4eda1b… |
| 05-06 05:55:04 | Gaseous-Bassoon 0x7350…f391 | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x66de05… |
| 05-06 05:34:14 | Familiar-Robotics 0xacf1…ae01 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x17e630… |
| 05-06 02:28:10 | Fruitful-Gemsbok 0x26dd…548a | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x5d9520… |
| 05-06 01:09:46 | Irresponsible-Study 0x7c30…dfb6 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x3cfef0… |
| 05-06 01:03:34 | Sympathetic-Amazon 0xf8c5…ac64 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xe012a4… |