Realized P&L
+$2.69K
Unrealized P&L
-$928
Hit rate
59.9%
Resolved
14,981
Trades
158,299
lifetime
Volume
$961.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$9.52K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 17:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 289 days
Categories
Crypto
54% 53% +$11,346
Other
29% 64% -$5,267
Politics
13% 60% -$300
Sports
4% 49% -$3,038
Tech
1% 68% -$57
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 426 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,163 $1,996 92¢ $2.0K -$18 10-25 07:33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,574 $2,584 36¢ $1.7K -$916 10-20 10:12
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,597 $1,478 92¢ $1.5K -$17 10-26 06:18
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +929 $600 76¢ $705 +$105 10-26 16:53
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +800 $692 82¢ $657 -$35 10-26 16:34
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +601 $424 92¢ $550 +$126 10-26 06:19
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +539 $485 92¢ $493 +$8 10-21 08:06
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +395 $387 94¢ $369 -$18 10-23 07:56
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +319 $314 100¢ $318 +$4 10-26 10:06
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +694 $250 36¢ $247 -$3 10-26 16:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? Yes +251 $147 50¢ $124 -$23 10-21 20:30
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +125 $120 96¢ $120 $0 10-25 02:14
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +117 $115 96¢ $112 -$2 10-02 17:51
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +4,167 $150 3¢ $106 -$44 07-20 16:40
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -114 -$81 86¢ $-98 -$18 05-11 05:56
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? No +84 $59 88¢ $74 +$16 10-01 11:11
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +3,000 $102 2¢ $68 -$35 07-16 08:49
Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +83 $50 74¢ $62 +$12 10-26 16:44
Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +75 $50 76¢ $57 +$7 10-26 16:43
will solana dip to 50 by december 31 2026 from june 8 No +56 $49 94¢ $53 +$4 08-22 04:37
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -55 -$43 85¢ $-46 -$4 05-11 05:57
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -45 -$21 80¢ $-36 -$15 05-11 05:57
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +4,200 $105 1¢ $36 -$69 07-16 18:54
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +36 $35 98¢ $35 +$0 06-17 21:41
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No -10 -$10 94¢ $-9 +$0 05-04 16:05
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 91¢ $9 +$1 08-22 06:22
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +7 $6 100¢ $7 +$1 10-26 17:45
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $4 64¢ $6 +$2 06-17 00:21
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No -25 -$7 22¢ $-5 +$2 05-11 05:57
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No -5 -$5 100¢ $-5 $0 05-04 16:05