Confused-Dead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

56.0%

Resolved

Trades

219

lifetime

Volume

$1.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 18:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 47% +$4

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 216 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner	REKONIX		+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	05-05 14:57
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes		+6	$4	60¢	$4	$-0	05-05 18:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	8	$47	90	+90	open	—	05-05 08:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	5	$45	75	+75	open	—	05-05 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	5	$43	75	+75	open	—	05-05 09:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	6	$41	85	+85	open	—	05-05 10:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	5	$41	75	+75	open	—	05-05 11:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	5	$40	73	+73	Up	+$3	05-05 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	4	$35	60	+60	open	—	05-05 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	4	$34	59	+59	open	—	05-05 09:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	5	$33	62	+62	Down	+$12	05-05 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	3	$27	45	+45	open	—	05-05 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$27	30	+30	open	—	05-05 12:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	3	$26	45	+45	Down	$-26	05-05 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	3	$26	45	+45	Up	$-11	05-05 05:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	3	$26	45	+45	open	—	05-05 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	3	$25	45	+45	Up	+$5	05-05 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	4	$25	50	+50	Up	$-10	05-05 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	3	$25	45	+45	Down	+$5	05-05 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	3	$25	45	+45	open	—	05-05 07:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	3	$25	44	+44	open	—	05-05 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	3	$25	45	+45	open	—	05-05 07:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	3	$24	42	+42	Up	+$3	05-05 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	3	$24	45	+45	open	—	05-05 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$22	47	+47	open	—	05-05 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$21	30	+30	Up	+$9	05-05 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$21	30	+30	open	—	05-05 07:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	5	$19	40	+40	Up	+$20	05-05 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$19	30	+30	open	—	05-05 10:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	2	$19	30	+30	Up	+$11	05-05 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$19	30	+30	open	—	05-05 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$18	30	+30	Up	$-18	05-05 01:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 18:43:50	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x2cce94…
05-05 17:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x9c69d6…
05-05 17:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0xe5a7d2…
05-05 16:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x590458…
05-05 16:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0xcbd0ea…
05-05 16:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x63661e…
05-05 15:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x8945e3…
05-05 15:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x84932d…
05-05 15:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x66f071…
05-05 14:57:22	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner	REKONIX	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x635460…
05-05 14:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x2c1f3b…
05-05 14:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xa118f7…
05-05 13:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x507536…
05-05 13:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0x08bdf1…
05-05 13:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x2f6be5…
05-05 13:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x9bc35b…
05-05 13:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0xa9d02b…
05-05 13:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x50e6a9…
05-05 13:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x70e40e…
05-05 13:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xd390ed…
05-05 13:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xbbdb6e…
05-05 13:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xb896e7…
05-05 13:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xd77b64…
05-05 13:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x6fd7bf…
05-05 12:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0xea0a8b…
05-05 12:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x14d4ae…
05-05 12:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0x55175d…
05-05 12:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0x678977…
05-05 12:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xe39f50…
05-05 12:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x12e710…
05-05 12:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x2848d6…
05-05 12:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x8c91a8…
05-05 12:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x1de6dc…
05-05 12:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x01e89d…
05-05 11:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x97b0e8…
05-05 11:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x13b95d…
05-05 11:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x79866f…
05-05 11:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xb05cfd…
05-05 11:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0xc8b2f3…
05-05 11:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x587d95…
05-05 11:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x3f42a1…
05-05 11:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x7d0280…
05-05 11:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x3732b7…
05-05 11:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xd9fb27…
05-05 11:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xd7c7e4…
05-05 11:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x1abc21…
05-05 11:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x04dd34…
05-05 11:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x162869…
05-05 11:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x604ec4…
05-05 10:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x52a529…
05-05 10:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0xd9ef2f…
05-05 10:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xaf3c5c…
05-05 10:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x8a6398…
05-05 10:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x2d0326…
05-05 10:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0xd18ea7…
05-05 10:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x43ddc2…
05-05 10:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x5d0c60…
05-05 10:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0xd28303…
05-05 10:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xeed891…
05-05 10:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x543c2a…
05-05 10:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x378ee6…
05-05 10:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xbd09aa…
05-05 10:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xc2be11…
05-05 10:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0xbbc76f…
05-05 10:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x6b8bbc…
05-05 10:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x68878e…
05-05 10:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x62e82d…
05-05 09:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x639e78…
05-05 09:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x998db9…
05-05 09:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0xa7d169…
05-05 09:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0xaae3d8…
05-05 09:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xf1ecc3…
05-05 09:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x1d58ec…
05-05 09:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x4b152c…
05-05 09:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0xf71ab7…
05-05 09:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x52099c…
05-05 09:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x360c12…
05-05 09:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x78b0c6…
05-05 09:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xb66aa9…
05-05 09:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x268a04…
05-05 09:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x281d0e…
05-05 09:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x880a4c…
05-05 08:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x4f496f…
05-05 08:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0xc1256e…
05-05 08:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x995d8c…
05-05 08:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4168b1…
05-05 08:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x55d348…
05-05 08:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xaa9c2f…
05-05 08:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0xd62071…
05-05 08:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0x78680f…
05-05 08:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x736c5c…
05-05 08:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0xfd58a7…
05-05 08:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0xb46a56…
05-05 08:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x4bffe8…
05-05 08:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x0d197f…
05-05 08:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x3c26b6…
05-05 08:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x00a8e1…
05-05 08:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xf1cb8c…
05-05 08:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x8e9ad9…
05-05 08:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xfc26ad…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	106	$13.3K	567	05-05 17:49
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	102	$5.40K	497	05-05 17:49
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	101	$5.53K	498	05-05 17:49
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	95	$16.5K	536	05-05 17:47
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	95	$7.06K	406	05-05 17:47
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	95	$6.88K	400	05-05 17:47
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	95	$1.01K	250	05-05 17:47
Babyish-Cribbage 0x2a6c…0b42	89	$1.12K	324	05-05 17:47