Realized P&L
+$10.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$19
Hit rate
94.9%
Resolved
8,460
Trades
305,792
lifetime
Volume
$24.8M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$81
Open exposure
$660
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 03:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 159 days
Categories
Other
53% 88% +$39,688
Sports
24% 92% +$10,340
Politics
21% 89% +$9,222
Tech
2% 73% -$50,027
Pop-Culture
1% 89% +$136
Crypto
0% 89% +$1,091
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 349 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -564 -$479 55¢ $-310 +$169 06-23 14:13
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -562 -$76 39¢ $-220 -$144 06-23 14:13
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +50 $37 91¢ $45 +$8 10-25 20:20
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +50 $20 38¢ $19 -$1 10-25 17:44
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -25 -$13 54¢ $-14 -$1 10-22 15:04
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -54 -$10 24¢ $-13 -$3 10-23 12:22
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +9 $8 98¢ $9 +$1 10-25 10:35
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -1,870 -$6 0¢ $-8 -$3 10-24 21:13
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +50 $14 9¢ $5 -$9 10-26 06:29
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 68¢ $3 -$2 10-25 21:54
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +4 $2 84¢ $3 +$1 10-23 19:23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 64¢ $3 +$1 10-26 21:25
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -1,870 -$4 0¢ $-3 +$1 10-24 10:16
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -456 -$2 0¢ $-2 +$0 10-26 18:18
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 36¢ $2 +$1 10-23 21:36
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $1 16¢ $1 +$0 10-23 19:35
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $0 7¢ $0 +$0 10-26 20:57
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +9 $4 2¢ $0 -$4 10-24 00:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +1 $2 34¢ $0 -$1 10-25 23:01
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 69¢ $0 +$0 10-26 23:07
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +0 -$1 87¢ $0 +$1 10-25 21:35
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 10-26 21:29
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +0 -$1 66¢ $0 +$1 10-25 18:51
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +0 -$3 34¢ $0 +$3 10-26 16:43
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +0 $0 26¢ $0 $0 10-26 03:31
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +0 -$1 13¢ $0 +$1 10-25 20:55
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +0 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 10-27 03:21