Fickle-Embarrassment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10.4K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.3%

Resolved

12,347

Trades

88,695

lifetime

Volume

$33.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 17:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 302 days

Categories

Other

59% 31% +$5,443

Politics

27% 62% +$3,783

Crypto

8% 30% +$375

Sports

6% 25% +$720

Pop-Culture

1% 77% +$111

Tech

0% 37% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Italy vs USA - Completed match?	10	$362	474	361	+114	Yes	+$355	04-30 09:12
SC Bastia vs. Le Mans FC: O/U 1.5	46	$336	1,595	662	+933	Over	+$350	05-15 16:18
will ryanair say on time or on time during earnings call	26	$221	287	305	-18	Yes	+$139	01-26 19:39
bun hei hof 2026 03 07 halftime result home	3	$178	125	179	-54	No	+$122	03-07 15:20
Sweeny vs. Wu: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	25	$134	324	355	-32	Over	+$26	04-21 07:33
will trump say fuck or fucking or fucked in january	81	$129	605	501	+104	No	+$89	02-01 06:50
will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	811	$108	3,487	4,625	-1,138	Yes	+$34	03-24 04:49
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	310	$105	4,778	4,420	+357	No	+$69	01-19 03:30
T20 Hong Kong Tri-Series, Women: China vs Hong Kong, China - Most Sixes China Winner	4	$101	372	98	+274	Yes	+$94	05-08 08:01
will trump deport 250000 500000 people	145	$101	502	693	-191	Yes	+$50	02-19 03:13
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	3	$100	100	100	+0	No	+$98	04-28 19:39
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	239	$97	7,704	7,563	+141	Yes	+$27	03-03 21:33
will ryanair say union during earnings call	24	$90	134	162	-29	No	+$90	01-26 15:42
den kob lyn 2026 07 26 corners team home 3pt5	4	$89	89	89	+0	Over	+$87	07-26 15:27
lol g2 fox1 2026 03 20 game2 kill over 31pt5	4	$86	190	85	+105	Over	+$87	03-20 14:32
will missouri qualify for the ncaa tournament 849	6	$79	1,059	80	+978	Yes	+$76	03-15 23:03
lol g2 fox1 2026 03 20 game2 kill over 32pt5	9	$78	530	175	+355	Over	+$97	03-20 14:45
codmw g2m lat1 2026 03 28 game2	3	$77	702	77	+626	G2 Minnesota	+$98	03-28 19:03
lol ig1 nip 2026 03 01 game4 kill over 27pt5	11	$77	951	89	+862	Under	+$73	03-01 14:48
will trump say million or billion or trillion 12 times during oil executive meetings on friday	52	$77	3,921	1,323	+2,598	Yes	+$10	01-09 21:59
Will the US strike Syria next?	181	$76	1,814	1,992	-178	Yes	+$31	01-10 21:50
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	361	$75	1,968	2,646	-678	Yes	-$37	02-03 20:25
will elon and doge cut less than 50b in federal spending in 2025	346	$75	1,173	2,166	-993	Yes	+$49	02-19 04:18
will trump shake hands with aleksandar vui at the world economic forum	48	$74	1,732	1,036	+696	No	+$63	01-24 05:08
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	380	$73	2,785	3,827	-1,042	Yes	+$27	01-29 23:43
will trump and netanyahu only be photographed together by february 13 2026	185	$73	1,367	2,142	-775	Yes	+$44	02-14 05:07
will trump and machado not shake hands	217	$72	4,180	3,113	+1,068	Yes	+$19	01-17 06:50
will zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the world economic forum	352	$70	2,712	3,980	-1,268	No	+$26	01-23 10:14
lol wb nip 2026 04 09 game2 both teams destroy inhibitors	4	$69	100	68	+32	No	+$99	04-09 11:05
O/U 2.5 Rounds	2	$67	30	68	-38	Under	+$66	05-09 23:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 19:23:36	Will Paul Terrett win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0x5d923f…
10-29 17:49:02	Counter-Strike: Arena Pro vs BARCA (BO3) - FiReSPORTS Last Chance Group A	Arena Pro	BUY	61	0¢	$0	0xc8c80c…
10-29 17:36:16	Will Paul Terrett win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x0d20c9…
10-29 17:36:14	Will Paul Terrett win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x50fac2…
10-29 17:35:23	Will Paul Terrett win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0x6c3c95…
10-29 17:30:23	Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)	Al Riyadh Saudi Club	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x82e455…
10-29 16:31:05	Will Paul Terrett win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xb5c33e…
10-29 16:31:05	Will Paul Terrett win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x125f5c…
10-29 16:15:26	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x213f83…
10-29 15:04:19	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election by 30% or more?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x82325d…
10-29 14:57:14	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October?	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0x9b6eae…
10-29 14:41:29	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x1f33ab…
10-29 13:10:44	Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x046b91…
10-29 12:49:05	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xd4dd95…
10-29 12:03:17	Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 8.5% to 9.5%?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xa96cff…
10-29 12:03:10	Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) <6.5%?	Yes	BUY	147	0¢	$0	0x7d2064…
10-29 12:03:05	Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 6.5% to 7.5%?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xfeef72…
10-29 12:02:47	Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 7.5% to 8.5%?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x5ae425…
10-29 12:02:14	Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) <6.5%?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xdf5f2e…
10-29 12:01:29	Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) <6.5%?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xa87488…
10-29 12:01:29	Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 8.5% to 9.5%?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x771351…
10-29 12:01:29	Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 7.5% to 8.5%?	No	BUY	24	2¢	$0	0x080dd4…
10-29 12:01:28	Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 6.5% to 7.5%?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xe5d927…
10-29 11:58:19	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x84752b…
10-29 09:08:35	Graham Platner divorce by October 31?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x987da4…
10-29 08:35:44	Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x4df96a…
10-29 08:27:11	Spread: ASD Pineto Calcio (-2.5)	ASD Pineto Calcio	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0xd49de9…
10-29 08:00:07	Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x271942…
10-29 07:27:19	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-09 House election by 0%-10%?	Yes	SELL	23	3¢	$1	0x15c404…
10-29 07:24:35	Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "vibe"?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xf46377…
10-29 07:24:31	Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "vibe"?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x8b8485…
10-29 07:24:25	Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "vibe"?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xd03d92…
10-29 01:53:34	Will Trump meet with Andy Burnham by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0x0eb11f…
10-29 00:16:17	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 116m by October 31?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x49a3e4…
10-28 22:11:32	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xe81685…
10-28 21:24:14	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x30a576…
10-28 20:47:22	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xecf44f…
10-28 20:18:26	Spread: 1. FC Nürnberg (-2.5)	1. FC Nürnberg	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xa5dc47…
10-28 20:18:25	Spread: 1. FC Nürnberg (-2.5)	1. FC Nürnberg	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0xae0a67…
10-28 19:23:34	Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Envy (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group B	Luminosity	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x904ab8…
10-28 18:41:20	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: Bayer 04 Leverkusen O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	31	14¢	$4	0xc9b37e…
10-28 18:20:31	Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-3.5) vs Envy (+3.5)	Envy	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x062694…
10-28 18:11:59	Spread: Pisa SC (-4.5)	Pisa SC	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xac5c32…
10-28 18:11:59	Spread: US Avellino 1912 (-3.5)	US Avellino 1912	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x527fe7…
10-28 18:11:59	US Avellino 1912 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x3a0fd4…
10-28 18:11:59	US Avellino 1912 vs. Pisa SC: Pisa SC O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	28	1¢	$0	0x1a516c…
10-28 18:11:59	US Avellino 1912 vs. Pisa SC: US Avellino 1912 O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x017efd…
10-28 17:36:43	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0xcbcc69…
10-28 16:55:56	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-09 House election by 0%-10%?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xae2d52…
10-28 16:55:56	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-09 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x5ae8ab…
10-28 16:55:56	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-09 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x09f16e…
10-28 16:55:52	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-09 House election by 0%-10%?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xac374d…
10-28 16:55:52	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-09 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x822326…
10-28 16:55:50	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-09 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xf863ac…
10-28 16:54:46	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x0eacd5…
10-28 15:02:28	Will Trump meet with Dario Amodei by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x950365…
10-28 15:02:22	Will Trump meet with Sam Altman by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x0fa9c4…
10-28 14:55:49	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0xd87f15…
10-28 14:47:01	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: Bayer 04 Leverkusen O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x29eedc…
10-28 14:41:01	Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 9.5%+?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xa94f64…
10-28 14:32:46	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 122m by October 31?	Yes	SELL	37	0¢	$0	0xe96e5f…
10-28 14:16:07	Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0xb4181a…
10-28 14:06:08	Will Trump meet with Dario Amodei by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xa51951…
10-28 13:41:32	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in October?	Yes	SELL	94	2¢	$2	0x176b26…
10-28 13:13:53	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x0301cc…
10-28 13:04:31	Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 9.5%+?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x57df46…
10-28 13:04:29	Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 9.5%+?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x0f3091…
10-28 12:19:16	Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x33e34d…
10-28 12:01:22	Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xf8c58f…
10-28 12:01:22	Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xbdc36a…
10-28 07:00:16	cwbb lehi ucla 2026 11 02	Lehigh Mountain Hawks	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xa4399b…
10-28 07:00:16	cwbb lehi ucla 2026 11 02	Lehigh Mountain Hawks	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x8d2cdb…
10-28 03:32:10	Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 18?	No	SELL	38	2¢	$1	0x4ff954…
10-28 01:44:53	Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 18?	No	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x8762d6…
10-28 00:06:09	Will Trump meet with Sam Altman by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x754517…
10-27 22:26:39	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xcf6bdf…
10-27 22:13:32	Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x8c05ad…
10-27 22:01:08	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by October 31?	Yes	BUY	58	0¢	$0	0x0a2ee2…
10-27 20:54:21	Will Trump meet with Sam Altman by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0x3a7e4c…
10-27 20:44:26	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xd8c440…
10-27 20:40:00	Will CRB be runner-up in the 2026 Brazil Série B?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x5af098…
10-27 18:28:53	Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 8?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xfac36a…
10-27 16:18:38	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xbe9da7…
10-27 16:18:38	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8b5989…
10-27 14:08:35	Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "slop"?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xf2e836…
10-27 13:10:30	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-09 House election by 0%-10%?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x7e60a0…
10-27 12:44:00	Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x5bf19c…
10-27 11:18:48	Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: Al Hilal Saudi Club O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x6e8ffa…
10-27 11:18:41	Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: Al Hilal Saudi Club O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0xaf71e5…
10-27 11:18:41	Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: Al Hilal Saudi Club O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x4beb58…
10-27 11:18:39	Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xe042a4…
10-27 11:18:36	Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xf4c51b…
10-27 10:51:47	Will Cryocells play for Leviatán Esports in 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x505442…
10-27 10:39:59	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x911e3f…
10-27 10:12:02	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xf7ae9c…
10-27 09:53:54	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xcaa796…
10-27 09:53:54	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x8bf120…
10-27 09:53:53	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xb93e7b…
10-27 07:46:14	Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?	Yes	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x5cc99d…
10-27 06:34:17	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October?	No	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xe87129…