Realized P&L
-$437
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
52.5%
Resolved
2,722
Trades
9,402
lifetime
Volume
$17.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$110
23 positions
First seen
2026-03-19
last 10-06 14:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 169 days
Categories
Other
54% 54% -$469
Politics
34% 46% +$165
Sports
8% 42% -$117
Crypto
4% 61% -$9
Tech
1% 44% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 161 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -20 -$14 96¢ $-19 -$5 04-29 14:56
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -18 -$11 86¢ $-15 -$4 05-04 18:59
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No -17 -$10 71¢ $-12 -$2 04-30 14:44
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -12 -$8 92¢ $-11 -$3 05-04 18:51
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -10 -$9 95¢ $-9 $0 05-04 18:28
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -8 -$7 96¢ $-8 -$1 05-04 18:59
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes -9 -$5 70¢ $-6 -$1 05-04 16:44
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -5 -$4 92¢ $-4 $0 05-04 18:59
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -5 -$3 78¢ $-4 -$1 05-04 18:57
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes -3 -$3 86¢ $-3 $0 05-04 18:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -3 -$2 97¢ $-3 -$1 05-04 18:34
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes -186 -$4 1¢ $-3 +$2 05-04 18:46
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -2 -$2 96¢ $-2 $0 05-04 18:36
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -9 -$3 24¢ $-2 +$1 05-04 16:48
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -2 -$2 92¢ $-2 $0 05-04 18:37
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5 -$2 39¢ $-2 $0 05-04 18:36
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 05-04 18:30
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? No -1 -$1 96¢ $-1 $0 05-04 18:53
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -5 -$3 20¢ $-1 +$2 05-04 18:16
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes -6 -$3 8¢ $-0 +$3 05-04 16:51
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -6 -$2 6¢ $-0 +$2 05-04 18:33
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 -$2 6¢ $-0 +$1 05-04 18:30
Weed rescheduled by December 31? Yes -2 -$1 8¢ $-0 +$1 05-04 18:37