Realized P&L
-$37
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
33.9%
Resolved
39
Trades
7,564
lifetime
Volume
$14.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$8
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-19
last 07-01 00:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
51% 33% +$7
Politics
37% 43% +$25
Sports
8% 0% $-58
Crypto
4% 41% $-12
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 291 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -15 $-3 16¢ $-2 +$1 06-16 21:27
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No -2 $-2 100¢ $-2 $-0 06-15 17:56
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +4 $2 42¢ $2 $-0 06-16 10:26
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -21 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-17 14:45
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? Yes +32 $3 $0 $-3 06-15 23:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +14 $1 $0 $-1 06-20 22:56
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +27 $6 $0 $-6 06-15 00:24
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +19 $0 $0 $-0 06-18 16:40
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes -8 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-29 23:51
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? Yes -1 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-29 23:51