Junior-Burn 0xc77bc7…a6a526
whale cold 3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.48K
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
8.6%
Resolved
26
Trades
14,837
lifetime
Volume
$411.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$513
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 23:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
59% 27% $-2,797
Other
40% 55% +$319
Tech
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 188 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No -47 $-39 86¢ $-40 $-2 07-03 19:53
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No -42 $-39 92¢ $-39 $-0 07-03 19:53
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No -35 $-35 98¢ $-34 +$0 07-03 19:53
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027? No -36 $-31 86¢ $-31 $-0 07-03 19:53
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No -27 $-26 96¢ $-26 $-0 07-03 20:11
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? No -25 $-23 97¢ $-24 $-2 07-03 20:11
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No -25 $-24 98¢ $-24 $-0 07-03 20:11
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -23 $-22 96¢ $-22 $-0 07-03 20:11
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -25 $-18 78¢ $-20 $-2 07-03 20:11
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -35 $-21 55¢ $-19 +$2 07-03 19:53
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No -20 $-16 88¢ $-18 $-2 07-03 20:11
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -20 $-17 88¢ $-18 $-0 07-03 20:11
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -18 $-16 90¢ $-16 $-0 07-03 20:11
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? No -17 $-15 93¢ $-16 $-1 07-03 20:24
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -15 $-13 89¢ $-13 $-1 07-03 20:37
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -15 $-13 86¢ $-13 $-1 07-03 20:24
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -69 $-14 19¢ $-13 +$1 07-03 18:20
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -28 $-13 46¢ $-13 +$0 07-03 20:11
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No -15 $-13 89¢ $-13 +$0 07-03 20:37
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -13 $-12 88¢ $-11 +$0 07-03 20:37
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes -31 $-12 36¢ $-11 +$1 07-03 19:53
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -13 $-11 86¢ $-11 $-1 07-03 20:37
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes -94 $-14 11¢ $-10 +$4 07-03 18:20
Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027? No -10 $-9 94¢ $-9 +$0 07-03 20:37
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -27 $-10 34¢ $-9 +$1 07-03 20:11
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-6 88¢ $-9 $-2 07-03 20:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -153 $-8 6¢ $-8 $-0 07-10 16:33
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -63 $-8 12¢ $-8 $-0 07-03 19:53
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -7 $-7 94¢ $-7 $-0 07-03 20:47
Will S.O.S. Romania (SOS) be included in the next Romanian government? No -6 $-6 99¢ $-6 $-0 07-03 20:47