Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$1.08K
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
0
19,195 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$0
$467.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$4.89K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-09 15:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 204 days
Categories
Politics
59% 52% -$4,051
Other
39% 58% +$613
Tech
2% 45% +$182
Pop-Culture
0% 57% -$29
Sports
0% 40% +$6
Crypto
0% 36% -$120
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -1,370 -$921 94¢ $-1282 -$361 05-07 21:34
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -469 -$281 94¢ $-439 -$157 04-29 05:04
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -400 -$180 81¢ $-325 -$145 05-25 05:46
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -310 -$273 98¢ $-304 -$32 05-07 21:41
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -283 -$215 98¢ $-278 -$63 05-24 08:06
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No -266 -$234 98¢ $-261 -$27 05-23 08:58
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -210 -$195 99¢ $-207 -$12 05-24 08:07
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -196 -$167 98¢ $-193 -$26 05-07 07:16
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No -197 -$137 92¢ $-181 -$43 05-25 05:47
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -180 -$162 98¢ $-177 -$15 04-29 09:17
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -128 -$121 98¢ $-126 -$5 05-02 06:56
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -124 -$108 98¢ $-122 -$14 05-01 04:27
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -255 -$20 48¢ $-121 -$101 07-03 18:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -120 -$98 98¢ $-118 -$20 05-08 18:56
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No -109 -$88 98¢ $-106 -$18 05-25 05:48
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -100 -$88 96¢ $-97 -$8 05-25 07:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -100 -$73 92¢ $-91 -$18 07-20 23:13
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? No -84 -$58 91¢ $-77 -$19 05-25 14:15
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No -55 -$50 98¢ $-54 -$4 05-25 14:16
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? No -68 -$54 73¢ $-49 +$5 05-25 14:15
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -47 -$32 97¢ $-46 -$13 05-15 18:54
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No -45 -$36 93¢ $-42 -$6 07-03 19:53
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No -41 -$35 96¢ $-39 -$4 05-27 17:29
EU dissolves before 2027? No -24 -$23 99¢ $-24 $0 05-22 00:34
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? No -25 -$23 93¢ $-23 -$1 07-03 20:11
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? No -25 -$23 92¢ $-23 +$0 05-27 17:32
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -23 -$6 98¢ $-23 -$17 05-15 20:44
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -22 -$19 99¢ $-22 -$3 04-30 22:13
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No -20 -$16 98¢ $-20 -$4 07-03 20:11
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -400 -$72 4¢ $-18 +$54 05-25 07:15