Crisp-Circumference — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

+$29

Hit rate

66.9%

Resolved

Trades

77,921

lifetime

Volume

$35.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$52

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-19 04:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

45% 51% +$20

Crypto

42% 12% $-23

Politics

10% 28% +$16

Sports

2% 100% +$2

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 631 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	-1,688	$-80	3¢	$-51	+$28	06-06 11:04
Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	+61	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	07-19 04:57
Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	+110	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	07-18 09:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	89	$5.4K	8,405	8,087	+318	open	—	04-29 17:08
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	33	$2.4K	1,447	1,447	+0	open	—	04-09 11:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	79	$1.2K	43,313	59,993	-16,679	open	—	04-30 11:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	5	$1.1K	606	606	+0	open	—	04-24 14:40
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	42	$1.1K	6,360	6,360	+0	open	—	03-29 04:58
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	3	$1.0K	547	547	+0	open	—	03-26 02:14
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	36	$467	221,188	221,128	+60	open	—	06-27 11:00
will mrbeasts next video get between 57 and 59 million views on day 4	44	$317	7,263	7,856	-593	open	—	03-11 18:17
Netanyahu out by April 30?	174	$289	40,225	160,383	-120,159	open	—	04-29 19:52
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	17	$241	666	666	+0	open	—	03-06 16:32
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	222	$232	4,216	109,096	-104,880	open	—	04-27 05:51
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	14	$207	100,347	100,347	+0	open	—	06-10 05:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	67	$200	22,244	174,503	-152,259	open	—	04-30 18:05
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	276	$166	51,078	56,547	-5,469	open	—	06-17 23:41
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	489	$165	77,919	81,814	-3,895	open	—	04-19 13:47
Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	807	$158	57,041	52,027	+5,014	open	—	04-26 06:31
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	58	$156	41,320	41,328	-8	open	—	06-14 17:22
fact check maduro capture staged	12	$145	6,117	5,768	+349	open	—	04-01 00:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	353	$133	35,505	37,738	-2,232	open	—	04-22 07:59
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	291	$128	58,697	32,172	+26,525	open	—	05-27 10:50
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	306	$124	59,099	59,799	-700	open	—	04-19 13:47
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	26	$123	11,687	55,866	-44,179	open	—	03-06 19:28
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	193	$111	51,130	51,130	+0	open	—	06-28 00:53
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	239	$107	66,794	31,338	+35,456	open	—	04-23 13:19
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	321	$107	53,493	25,109	+28,384	open	—	04-20 00:09
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	557	$103	40,267	34,124	+6,142	open	—	04-18 14:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	346	$100	36,116	36,072	+44	open	—	04-26 19:33
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	26	$98	8,193	12,195	-4,002	open	—	03-31 05:16
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	294	$98	46,137	46,386	-249	open	—	04-19 13:47
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	15	$90	3,376	3,376	+0	open	—	06-06 11:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 04:57:18	Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0x889593…
07-18 17:28:58	Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x2df44a…
07-18 13:04:48	Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xbf9df0…
07-18 09:32:43	Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x8523c1…
07-18 09:32:37	Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x27ad04…
07-14 21:09:37	Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x48f5dc…
07-14 04:45:35	Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x0353eb…
07-04 19:04:22	Will Beyoncé release a new song in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xad79c9…
07-04 14:57:56	Will Lil Uzi Vert release a new song in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x27a60c…
07-03 02:53:13	Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x547a0b…
07-03 02:52:55	Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x1c61f8…
07-03 02:29:34	Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	Yes	SELL	69	0¢	$0	0xed0876…
07-03 02:26:43	Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x1f28f1…
07-03 02:24:28	Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xb95397…
07-02 22:59:11	Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x1844df…
07-02 21:57:43	Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xf3fe52…
07-02 21:30:34	Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x5347c5…
07-02 15:56:19	Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x24a0f7…
07-02 15:30:37	Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	Yes	SELL	129	0¢	$0	0x0bf23b…
07-02 15:29:43	Will Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	666	0¢	$1	0x28a13c…
07-02 15:23:49	Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xb5b90b…
07-02 15:10:50	Will Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x73931a…
07-02 14:29:25	Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xa38a2d…
07-02 07:42:13	Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x21a512…
07-02 06:50:47	Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x56520d…
07-02 06:37:01	Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x4d0459…
07-02 05:52:14	Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x4a8890…
07-02 05:50:05	Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xa7283d…
07-02 05:48:32	Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x7740c9…
07-02 05:47:13	Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x4ff197…
07-02 05:12:19	Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	Yes	SELL	124	0¢	$0	0x688a3b…
07-02 05:04:28	Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	Yes	BUY	64	0¢	$0	0x6488b5…
07-02 05:03:05	Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0xed22c1…
07-02 02:42:52	Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x4947bd…
07-01 04:53:44	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	78	0¢	$0	0xc0a808…
07-01 04:50:10	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,063	0¢	$1	0x92b4f4…
07-01 02:25:29	Will Santander fail by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xe456d0…
07-01 00:25:37	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	0¢	$0	0x9a82e8…
06-30 20:42:05	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?	Yes	SELL	159	0¢	$0	0x22ff4d…
06-30 19:37:02	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,925	0¢	$2	0x89c780…
06-30 18:19:13	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x99d273…
06-30 16:49:56	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,403	0¢	$1	0x61560b…
06-30 16:00:05	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$3	0xde4630…
06-30 13:19:49	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	180	0¢	$0	0x5ff373…
06-30 12:41:52	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x8d6805…
06-30 12:29:28	Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xa5d8d1…
06-30 12:05:37	Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x1488f8…
06-30 12:01:46	Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x2a8f79…
06-30 11:57:19	Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x189d5c…
06-30 10:54:37	Will Meta acquire TikTok?	Yes	SELL	1,116	0¢	$1	0x4d9185…
06-30 10:54:32	Will Amazon acquire TikTok?	Yes	SELL	788	0¢	$1	0xfa1d19…
06-30 10:54:25	Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?	Yes	SELL	1,305	0¢	$1	0x74397d…
06-30 10:17:01	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	463	0¢	$0	0x441f7a…
06-30 10:16:04	NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x7d9f76…
06-30 07:36:38	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xfdb211…
06-30 07:27:05	NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x793cf3…
06-30 06:56:17	Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x559e5c…
06-30 06:17:35	Will Marco Rubio be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	SELL	29	0¢	$0	0x18eeb5…
06-30 06:12:50	NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x9a25af…
06-30 05:34:01	Will Meta acquire TikTok?	Yes	SELL	216	0¢	$0	0xc3af9d…
06-30 05:15:50	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xd2a924…
06-30 04:32:49	Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x793cc5…
06-30 03:54:56	NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xc996de…
06-30 03:19:55	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x088f0a…
06-30 02:08:43	XRP all time high by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	583	0¢	$1	0x99501d…
06-30 01:26:47	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x0a5331…
06-30 01:15:50	Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,500	0¢	$2	0x15662f…
06-30 00:29:43	Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?	Yes	SELL	27	0¢	$0	0xcac390…
06-30 00:22:55	NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x08a837…
06-29 23:49:16	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x11d4f2…
06-29 23:18:47	Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xef7431…
06-29 23:05:16	Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x282337…
06-29 22:41:16	Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xe099de…
06-29 22:32:11	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xc649fc…
06-29 22:18:13	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x010af3…
06-29 22:15:29	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x99f839…
06-29 22:14:35	Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	204	0¢	$0	0xf23cca…
06-29 21:53:58	Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?	Yes	SELL	1,138	0¢	$2	0x52fd68…
06-29 21:53:16	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8,789	0¢	$9	0x8fa5a1…
06-29 21:25:19	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x44f9bd…
06-29 21:25:14	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xb7a7c1…
06-29 21:25:10	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x2f0c70…
06-29 21:25:01	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xfb9d27…
06-29 20:44:35	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x86bea8…
06-29 20:30:52	Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?	Yes	SELL	340	0¢	$1	0x0e6258…
06-29 20:17:38	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0x362574…
06-29 20:04:43	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xbc101b…
06-29 20:02:41	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x95b178…
06-29 20:00:55	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x76c55c…
06-29 19:47:56	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x6decac…
06-29 19:16:50	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x2cc101…
06-29 19:00:53	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x258599…
06-29 18:49:53	Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x655b64…
06-29 18:49:01	Will Malaysia recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x47a20a…
06-29 18:42:47	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3,984	0¢	$4	0xdb16bc…
06-29 18:37:01	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xbaf453…
06-29 18:34:41	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x09630b…
06-29 18:32:10	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x5c0053…
06-29 18:24:55	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x67e78d…
06-29 18:13:23	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xa7c3e9…