Realized P&L
-$85
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
66.4%
Resolved
7,322
Trades
40,187
lifetime
Volume
$44.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$320
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-28
last 10-28 10:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 100 days
Categories
Other
82% 90% +$60
Politics
10% 86% -$122
Sports
7% 21% -$2
Crypto
1% 91% +$11
Tech
0% 58% -$29
Pop-Culture
0% 82% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes -38 -$13 90¢ $-34 -$21 05-01 00:27
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -66 -$4 45¢ $-29 -$25 04-30 09:00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -41 -$20 70¢ $-29 -$9 05-02 17:55
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +50 $12 48¢ $24 +$11 04-30 09:00
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +23 $20 94¢ $22 +$2 05-02 17:54
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +23 $10 92¢ $21 +$11 05-01 00:26
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +16 $14 99¢ $16 +$2 04-30 08:48
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -43 -$16 24¢ $-11 +$6 05-02 17:55
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 04-30 21:49
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -16 -$12 52¢ $-8 +$3 04-30 08:49
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +9 $5 86¢ $7 +$2 07-22 07:51
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +8 $5 78¢ $6 +$1 09-03 19:43
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes -8 -$6 78¢ $-6 $0 05-05 13:16
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +9 $5 70¢ $6 +$1 05-02 16:08
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes -9 -$5 70¢ $-6 -$1 05-02 16:08
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +8 $5 76¢ $6 +$1 05-01 09:47
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +9 $4 70¢ $6 +$2 04-30 05:32
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes -9 -$4 70¢ $-6 -$2 04-30 08:31
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? No +31 $4 19¢ $6 +$2 04-29 18:09
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -6 -$3 91¢ $-6 -$2 05-10 15:17
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +6 $5 91¢ $6 +$1 05-10 15:16
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +8 $5 68¢ $6 +$1 05-11 21:29
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes -8 -$5 68¢ $-6 -$1 05-11 21:30
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes -12 -$5 46¢ $-6 -$1 05-01 18:33
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +12 $5 45¢ $5 +$1 05-01 18:32
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +20 $4 26¢ $5 +$2 05-11 10:25
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes -20 -$4 26¢ $-5 -$1 05-11 10:26
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 04-30 06:36
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 05-01 07:55
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? Yes -5 -$5 97¢ $-5 $0 05-01 07:56