Neighboring-Cucumber 0x16fe6f…be1ddc Create alert
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Realized P&L (90d)
+$19
Unrealized P&L
-$20
Hit rate
66.7%
Resolved (90d)
100
Trades (90d)
43
40,188 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$57
$44.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$317
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-28
last 10-30 08:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 101 days
Categories
Other
82% 90% +$60
Politics
10% 86% -$122
Sports
7% 21% -$2
Crypto
1% 91% +$12
Tech
0% 58% -$29
Pop-Culture
0% 82% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes -38 -$13 92¢ $-35 -$22 05-01 00:27
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -41 -$20 76¢ $-31 -$11 05-02 17:55
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -66 -$4 36¢ $-23 -$19 04-30 09:00
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +23 $20 94¢ $22 +$2 05-02 17:54
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +23 $10 94¢ $21 +$11 05-01 00:26
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +50 $12 38¢ $19 +$6 04-30 09:00
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +16 $14 99¢ $16 +$2 04-30 08:48
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -16 -$12 62¢ $-10 +$1 04-30 08:49
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 04-30 21:49
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -43 -$16 18¢ $-8 +$8 05-02 17:55
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +9 $5 86¢ $8 +$3 07-22 07:51
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +8 $5 82¢ $7 +$2 05-01 09:47
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +20 $4 32¢ $6 +$3 05-11 10:25
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +9 $4 74¢ $6 +$3 04-30 05:32
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes -20 -$4 32¢ $-6 -$2 05-11 10:26
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes -8 -$6 78¢ $-6 $0 05-05 13:16
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes -9 -$4 72¢ $-6 -$2 04-30 08:31
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes -12 -$5 52¢ $-6 -$1 05-01 18:33
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +12 $5 52¢ $6 +$2 05-01 18:32
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +9 $5 72¢ $6 +$1 05-02 16:08
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes -9 -$5 72¢ $-6 -$1 05-02 16:08
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +6 $5 95¢ $6 +$1 05-10 15:16
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -6 -$3 95¢ $-6 -$3 05-10 15:17
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -11 -$3 56¢ $-6 -$3 04-30 08:31
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes -8 -$5 72¢ $-6 -$1 05-11 21:30
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +8 $5 72¢ $6 +$1 05-11 21:29
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +8 $5 67¢ $5 +$0 09-03 19:43
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +7 $5 80¢ $5 +$0 05-05 13:16
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 05-01 07:55
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 04-30 06:36