Neighboring-Cucumber 0x16fe6f…be1ddc
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Realized P&L (90d)
+$19
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
66.7%
Resolved (90d)
100
Trades (90d)
43
40,188 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$57
$44.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$319
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-28
last 10-30 08:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 101 days
Categories
Other
82% 90% +$60
Politics
10% 86% -$122
Sports
7% 21% -$2
Crypto
1% 91% +$12
Tech
0% 58% -$29
Pop-Culture
0% 82% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes -38 -$13 90¢ $-34 -$21 05-01 00:27
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -41 -$20 72¢ $-30 -$10 05-02 17:55
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -66 -$4 44¢ $-29 -$24 04-30 09:00
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +50 $12 46¢ $23 +$11 04-30 09:00
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +23 $20 96¢ $22 +$2 05-02 17:54
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +23 $10 92¢ $21 +$11 05-01 00:26
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +16 $14 99¢ $16 +$2 04-30 08:48
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 04-30 21:49
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -43 -$16 22¢ $-10 +$7 05-02 17:55
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -16 -$12 54¢ $-9 +$3 04-30 08:49
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +9 $5 86¢ $7 +$2 07-22 07:51
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes -8 -$6 82¢ $-7 $0 05-05 13:16
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +9 $5 74¢ $6 +$1 05-02 16:08
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes -9 -$5 74¢ $-6 -$1 05-02 16:08
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +8 $5 78¢ $6 +$1 05-01 09:47
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes -8 -$5 74¢ $-6 -$1 05-11 21:30
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +8 $5 74¢ $6 +$1 05-11 21:29
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +9 $4 70¢ $6 +$2 04-30 05:32
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes -9 -$4 70¢ $-6 -$2 04-30 08:31
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +6 $5 92¢ $6 +$1 05-10 15:16
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +8 $5 74¢ $6 +$1 09-03 19:43
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -6 -$3 91¢ $-6 -$2 05-10 15:17
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +7 $5 82¢ $5 +$0 05-05 13:16
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -11 -$3 48¢ $-5 -$3 04-30 08:31
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? Yes -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 05-01 07:56
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 05-01 07:55
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 04-30 06:36
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes -20 -$4 26¢ $-5 -$1 05-11 10:26
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 04-30 11:49
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 04-30 06:30