Neighboring-Cucumber 0x16fe6f…be1ddc Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$107
Unrealized P&L
-$42
Hit rate
66.3%
Resolved
7,414
Trades
40,199
lifetime
Volume
$44.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$228
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-28
last 11-04 04:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 103 days
Categories
Other
82% 89% +$46
Politics
10% 84% -$130
Sports
7% 21% -$2
Crypto
1% 91% +$12
Tech
0% 58% -$29
Pop-Culture
0% 82% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -66 -$4 59¢ $-39 -$34 04-30 09:00
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes -38 -$13 88¢ $-34 -$21 05-01 00:27
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +50 $12 60¢ $30 +$17 04-30 09:00
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +23 $10 89¢ $20 +$10 05-01 00:26
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +16 $14 99¢ $16 +$2 04-30 08:48
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -16 -$12 40¢ $-7 +$5 04-30 08:49
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +6 $5 94¢ $6 +$1 05-10 15:16
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -6 -$3 94¢ $-6 -$3 05-10 15:17
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +8 $5 72¢ $6 +$1 09-03 19:43
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 04-30 06:36
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 04-30 11:49
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 04-30 06:34
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +20 $4 24¢ $5 +$1 10-24 07:09
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes -6 -$5 79¢ $-5 +$0 04-30 16:59
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? No +6 $3 78¢ $5 +$2 04-29 08:34
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +6 $5 78¢ $5 $0 04-30 16:58
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +13 $5 32¢ $4 -$1 04-28 20:44
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +5 $5 73¢ $4 -$1 04-29 09:52
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -5 -$5 72¢ $-4 +$1 04-29 09:52
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -13 -$4 28¢ $-4 +$1 04-28 21:29
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes -31 -$17 11¢ $-3 +$14 05-01 11:02
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? No +20 $4 16¢ $3 -$1 10-30 08:01
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? Yes -6 -$3 46¢ $-3 $0 04-29 08:34
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +16 $10 12¢ $2 -$8 05-01 11:01
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +66 $30 2¢ $1 -$28 04-30 07:40
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? No +20 $0 4¢ $1 +$1 08-28 23:46
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +8 $3 6¢ $1 -$2 04-29 18:29
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? No +20 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 09-13 02:06
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -66 -$1 1¢ $-0 +$0 04-30 09:00
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -6 -$1 6¢ $-0 +$1 04-29 18:05