Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$860

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.1%

Resolved

3,819

Trades

50,351

lifetime

Volume

$484.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-18 18:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 155 days

Categories

Other

66% 51% -$727

Politics

22% 49% -$480

Sports

7% 51% +$179

Tech

5% 58% +$112

Pop-Culture

0% 53% +$46

Crypto

0% 58% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	237	$7.2K	4,869	4,801	+68	Yes	+$1	01-24 00:48
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	416	$6.9K	5,020	4,918	+102	Yes	+$73	02-25 22:21
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	354	$6.3K	5,518	5,336	+183	Yes	+$60	03-30 08:43
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	286	$6.1K	3,853	3,712	+141	Yes	+$76	03-21 23:38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	250	$5.8K	3,818	3,970	-151	Yes	-$31	03-02 03:30
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	120	$4.3K	2,634	2,427	+207	Yes	+$43	03-17 12:48
will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	175	$4.3K	3,203	3,065	+137	Yes	-$11	03-30 10:25
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	181	$4.3K	2,692	2,720	-28	Yes	+$1	02-17 21:22
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	204	$4.2K	2,663	2,719	-56	Yes	-$22	03-22 14:33
no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	128	$4.1K	2,462	2,313	+149	Yes	+$19	03-13 14:54
will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	152	$4.0K	2,271	2,226	+44	Yes	+$10	03-13 12:34
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	113	$3.7K	1,976	1,887	+89	Yes	+$8	03-21 00:05
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	78	$3.7K	1,989	1,950	+39	Yes	+$11	01-21 10:26
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	303	$3.6K	6,174	5,729	+445	No	-$129	03-31 00:44
will zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on march 15	89	$3.6K	2,402	2,292	+110	Yes	-$22	03-13 21:54
will israel strike 3 countries in march 2026	268	$3.5K	3,401	3,566	-166	Yes	-$87	03-30 18:11
will a white spoon win season 2 of culinary class wars	58	$3.3K	1,873	1,812	+61	Yes	-$16	01-12 16:01
will indiana win the 2026 college football national championship	188	$3.2K	2,505	2,475	+30	Yes	+$10	01-19 21:32
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	251	$3.2K	3,400	3,551	-151	Yes	-$89	03-29 13:30
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	82	$3.2K	2,032	1,958	+74	Yes	+$22	03-02 12:27
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	180	$3.1K	2,552	2,524	+28	Yes	-$36	03-21 16:57
no change in the selic rate after bank of brazils january 2026 meeting	108	$3.1K	1,856	1,814	+42	Yes	-$3	01-26 13:36
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	65	$3.0K	1,612	1,612	+0	Yes	+$19	01-23 03:45
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	120	$3.0K	2,208	2,188	+20	Yes	+$34	03-22 19:28
will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	168	$2.9K	2,414	2,419	-5	Yes	-$15	03-03 10:32
will partido popular pp win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 258	87	$2.9K	1,711	1,386	+324	Yes	+$27	03-14 14:55
will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	146	$2.9K	2,510	2,376	+135	Yes	+$20	03-13 13:11
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	147	$2.8K	2,092	2,025	+67	Yes	+$2	03-08 09:29
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	206	$2.8K	3,034	3,026	+7	No	-$75	03-31 10:02
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	133	$2.8K	1,908	1,882	+26	Yes	+$28	03-31 04:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-18 18:26:18	Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	55	89¢	$49	0xc7534b…
09-09 18:59:37	Will the Republican Party win the NM-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	53	13¢	$7	0x192d50…
08-22 05:41:40	Will the Republican Party win the NM-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	14	13¢	$2	0xe7ac1d…
08-17 17:45:06	Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	95¢	$42	0x353bfa…
08-17 16:13:49	Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	93¢	$67	0x1a8106…
08-16 17:15:21	Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	36	82¢	$30	0x93c1e0…
08-16 17:15:18	Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	14	82¢	$11	0x3ace48…
08-15 13:29:25	Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0xa79f94…
08-12 18:28:28	Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	15	82¢	$13	0x5e34f4…
08-12 14:20:45	Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	15	82¢	$12	0x93f8e2…
08-12 08:03:19	Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0xe86fc8…
08-09 02:30:39	Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0x07adea…
08-08 15:18:54	Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	55	58¢	$32	0x995a1a…
08-08 03:16:00	Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0xe56242…
07-15 03:07:25	Will the Republican Party win the TN-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	30	89¢	$27	0xd4f4b3…
06-11 15:22:49	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-17 House seat?	Yes	SELL	23	14¢	$3	0x71dae7…
05-29 02:51:45	Will the Democratic Party win the SC-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0xaa6873…
05-25 23:28:05	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-17 House seat?	Yes	SELL	27	14¢	$4	0xef449a…
05-18 01:33:15	Will Justin McNeal be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota?	Yes	SELL	24	7¢	$2	0x50462c…
05-05 07:54:52	Will Jordan Wood be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?	Yes	SELL	34	16¢	$5	0x3061bf…
04-29 16:21:30	Will Jordan Wood be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x45c083…
04-28 19:08:46	Will Rio Phillips be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0xf1b6c6…
04-28 05:34:34	Will Thornton Cooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0x9dcfa3…
04-25 21:26:28	Will Rio Phillips be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	SELL	71	1¢	$0	0x2bb865…
04-20 13:06:02	Will Steven Boston be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?	Yes	SELL	33	2¢	$0	0xb68123…
04-20 08:54:26	Will Dan Frei be the Republican nominee for NE-02?	Yes	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0x4f91ac…
04-19 11:11:56	Will Greg Joswiak be the next CEO of Apple?	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0xbcec98…
04-19 11:11:46	Will Greg Joswiak be the next CEO of Apple?	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x5af210…
04-19 11:11:36	Will Greg Joswiak be the next CEO of Apple?	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0xce5f1c…
04-19 11:11:16	Will Greg Joswiak be the next CEO of Apple?	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x3b0ef8…
04-19 10:59:00	Will Greg Joswiak be the next CEO of Apple?	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x14c914…
04-19 10:56:44	Will Greg Joswiak be the next CEO of Apple?	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0xc9edeb…
04-19 10:56:10	Will Greg Joswiak be the next CEO of Apple?	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x788e18…
04-19 10:56:08	Will Greg Joswiak be the next CEO of Apple?	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x1f7b46…
04-19 10:55:56	Will Greg Joswiak be the next CEO of Apple?	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x61d7c3…
04-19 10:53:20	Will Greg Joswiak be the next CEO of Apple?	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0xa10a6d…
04-19 10:51:46	Will Greg Joswiak be the next CEO of Apple?	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0xe8363a…
04-18 08:01:32	Will Gabriel Caceres be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x0e2d4e…
04-17 16:12:10	Will Elena Rybakina win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	3¢	$1	0x760370…
04-15 23:28:56	Will Joe Johnson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xfb66e5…
04-15 14:05:56	Will Welsh Conservatives win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0xffee1a…
04-15 13:05:20	Will Joe Johnson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xca4f84…
04-15 05:27:48	Will Shannon Lundgren be the Republican Nominee for IA-02?	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0x928e56…
04-14 13:23:05	Will Nottm Forest finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	207	1¢	$1	0x5a684b…
04-14 07:29:19	Will Jason Cass be the Democratic Nominee for PA-10?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x44c294…
04-14 01:43:21	Will Thierno Barry be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x7235d5…
04-14 01:43:17	Will Evanilson be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x96fc59…
04-13 23:35:17	Will Mateusz Gamrot fight Paddy Pimblett next?	Yes	SELL	21	8¢	$2	0xa6e6d3…
04-13 15:55:09	Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0x0bff84…
04-13 13:29:47	Will Thierno Barry be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x0c8e80…
04-13 09:48:25	Will Rayan Cherki be the player with the most assists in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x1b29ea…
04-13 03:41:23	Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	SELL	27	71¢	$19	0x826348…
04-13 03:08:15	Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xd682e3…
04-12 15:47:17	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0x37e5d1…
04-12 13:32:05	Will Elena Rybakina win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	3¢	$1	0x6dfd48…
04-12 12:27:39	Will the Los Angeles Kings win the Pacific Division?	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0x03015b…
04-12 10:54:33	Will Bruno Fernandes be the player with the most assists in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	98	98¢	$96	0x3e2139…
04-11 20:21:17	Will the Los Angeles Kings win the Pacific Division?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0xde1b55…
04-11 20:01:37	j2100 fco kam 2026 04 18 fco	Yes	SELL	54	2¢	$1	0x35fb49…
04-11 18:33:35	Will Mateusz Gamrot fight Paddy Pimblett next?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x50e9b4…
04-10 11:56:03	Will Justin Douglas be the Democratic Nominee for PA-10?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x83cf9a…
04-10 04:15:37	Will Thierno Barry be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	39	1¢	$0	0xaf3e25…
04-09 16:25:39	Will Rebecca Scriven win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x2473eb…
04-09 16:21:33	Will Rebecca Scriven win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	Yes	SELL	25	18¢	$4	0x3fcde5…
04-09 16:21:07	Will Rebecca Scriven win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	Yes	SELL	18	18¢	$3	0xdee46f…
04-09 16:20:45	Will Rebecca Scriven win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	Yes	SELL	25	18¢	$4	0x46dece…
04-09 16:20:21	Will Rebecca Scriven win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	Yes	SELL	25	18¢	$4	0xf2f525…
04-09 16:19:51	Will Rebecca Scriven win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	Yes	SELL	25	18¢	$4	0x052072…
04-09 16:18:53	Will Rebecca Scriven win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	Yes	SELL	25	18¢	$4	0x80f792…
04-09 16:18:25	Will Rebecca Scriven win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	Yes	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0x23f904…
04-08 23:56:33	Will the San Jose Sharks win the Pacific Division?	Yes	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0x66b262…
04-08 15:02:15	Will the San Jose Sharks win the Pacific Division?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb87dab…
04-08 10:04:09	Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	45	0¢	$0	0xa9b01b…
04-07 22:37:39	Will Dan Hooker fight Paddy Pimblett next?	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x6efbcf…
04-07 10:52:19	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x8508dd…
04-07 09:59:45	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xf91dfb…
04-07 09:59:43	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x8bc2c2…
04-07 09:59:39	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xe39b24…
04-07 07:59:03	will the san antonio spurs finish with the best record in the nba	Yes	SELL	117	1¢	$1	0x00f262…
04-06 23:08:19	Will the Dallas Stars win the Central Division?	Yes	SELL	220	0¢	$1	0x5ae21b…
04-06 22:02:41	j2100 fco kam 2026 04 18 fco	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0xd3695e…
04-06 13:42:47	Will Dan Frei be the Republican nominee for NE-02?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0xe573b5…
04-06 03:00:45	Will Greg Joswiak be the next CEO of Apple?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x6fa709…
04-05 17:53:41	will the san antonio spurs finish as the 1 seed in the 20252026 nba western conference	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xe8f2c0…
04-05 12:04:57	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	73	0¢	$0	0xf296ab…
04-05 08:08:33	Will the Welsh Green Party win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x6c2131…
04-05 07:10:35	will jhon ariel rioja win the 2026 cochabamba gubernatorial election 386	Yes	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0x54444a…
04-04 22:51:07	will otto ritter win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 232	Yes	SELL	63	37¢	$24	0x5e8584…
04-04 08:38:15	Will Travis Terrell be the Democratic Nominee for IA-01?	Yes	SELL	92	2¢	$1	0x269b97…
04-04 06:17:29	j2100 fco kam 2026 04 18 kam	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x954430…
04-04 05:28:11	Will Joe Johnson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xff9d81…
04-04 05:22:11	Will Joe Johnson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x2dce9a…
04-04 05:21:31	Will Joe Johnson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x3621a5…
04-03 19:47:47	will the 2026 mens ncaa basketball national champion come from the big ten conference	Yes	SELL	24	54¢	$13	0x6e18b2…
04-03 19:07:17	will aj dybantsa win the 2025 2026 naismith mens college player of the year award	Yes	SELL	34	1¢	$0	0xed2d64…
04-03 17:36:11	Will Arman Tsarukyan fight Paddy Pimblett next?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x08cfa2…
04-03 12:34:45	will the 2026 mens ncaa basketball national champion come from the big ten conference	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xc65ab9…
04-03 12:31:17	Will Christina Bohannan be the Democratic Nominee for IA-01?	Yes	SELL	43	90¢	$39	0x193488…
04-03 11:58:27	will the 2026 mens ncaa basketball national champion come from the big ten conference	Yes	SELL	56	54¢	$30	0x8e469d…
04-03 05:26:23	Will Benoît Saint Denis fight Paddy Pimblett next?	Yes	SELL	28	54¢	$15	0xdba93c…