Outlandish-Complicity 0x078187…1ec4ff
whale 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$538
Unrealized P&L
+$175
Hit rate
70.2%
Resolved
84
Trades
12,968
lifetime
Volume
$291.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$3.06K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 18:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
53% 62% $-490
Sports
32% 44% +$40
Politics
11% 62% $-84
Pop-Culture
4% 50% $-4
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 201 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +390 $371 96¢ $375 +$5 06-21 22:18
Will the Minnesota Lynx make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? Yes +355 $303 94¢ $334 +$31 06-29 11:17
Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +265 $192 84¢ $224 +$32 06-28 02:24
Will Lawrence Kellogg advance to the general election for WA-03? No -176 $-173 98¢ $-173 $-0 06-29 09:45
Will the Portland Fire make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? No +194 $161 88¢ $171 +$10 06-09 18:23
Will the Washington Nationals clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No +202 $168 84¢ $169 +$1 06-28 21:40
Will the New York Yankees clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +163 $155 97¢ $158 +$3 06-25 19:41
Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03? Yes -141 $-137 96¢ $-136 +$2 06-07 13:40
Will the Las Vegas Aces make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? Yes +128 $102 92¢ $118 +$16 06-07 13:22
Will the Minnesota Twins clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No +126 $100 83¢ $105 +$5 06-09 18:23
Will Adam Crum advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -105 $-99 94¢ $-99 +$0 06-30 16:45
Will Antony Barran advance to the general election for WA-03? No +98 $89 95¢ $93 +$4 06-24 20:05
Will the Los Angeles Sparks make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? No +128 $89 66¢ $84 $-5 06-27 10:09
Will the Toronto Blue Jays clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +201 $102 38¢ $77 $-24 06-26 17:51
Will the Dallas Wings make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? Yes +82 $57 86¢ $71 +$14 06-07 11:42
Will the Toronto Tempo make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? No +82 $51 82¢ $67 +$15 06-29 17:42
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026? No -66 $-76 99¢ $-65 +$10 06-15 01:45
Will the Chicago White Sox clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +126 $45 51¢ $64 +$19 06-29 17:25
Will the Houston Astros clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +181 $52 33¢ $60 +$7 06-30 01:12
Will Ariana Grande feature Nicki Minaj on Petal? No -50 $-48 98¢ $-49 $-1 06-20 15:46
Will the Atlanta Braves clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +52 $47 94¢ $49 +$1 06-08 23:58
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No +68 $48 69¢ $47 $-1 06-28 20:28
Will the Boston Red Sox clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +218 $37 18¢ $40 +$3 06-30 14:08
Will Ariana Grande feature Tyla on Petal? No +40 $37 98¢ $39 +$2 06-13 22:58
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +74 $38 51¢ $38 +$0 06-03 18:47
Will "Campfire Cooking in Another World with My Absurd Skill Season 2" win Best Isekai Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards? No +33 $25 100¢ $33 +$8 04-21 19:08
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes -60 $-34 54¢ $-33 +$1 06-30 19:30
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? No -130 $-31 25¢ $-32 $-1 06-30 09:20
Will the Miami Marlins clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +86 $7 32¢ $28 +$21 06-22 03:43
Will the Phoenix Mercury make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? Yes +96 $29 29¢ $27 $-2 06-28 13:53