Outlandish-Complicity 0x078187…1ec4ff
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$5.44K
Unrealized P&L
+$709
Hit rate
73.9%
Resolved
3,580
Trades
23,555
lifetime
Volume
$538.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$2.10K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 23:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 280 days
Categories
Other
59% 56% +$1,046
Sports
23% 61% +$1,782
Politics
15% 55% +$2,302
Pop-Culture
3% 76% +$303
Tech
0% 100% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 177 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +400 $376 96¢ $382 +$6 10-26 18:33
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +400 $344 92¢ $368 +$24 09-16 15:54
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +400 $346 86¢ $346 +$0 09-13 15:28
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +400 $245 64¢ $258 +$13 10-25 03:53
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +400 $220 60¢ $242 +$22 10-26 20:58
Blue wave in 2026? No +400 $55 15¢ $60 +$5 10-14 22:15
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +400 $52 15¢ $58 +$6 10-25 23:58
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes +394 $60 15¢ $57 -$3 10-26 18:38
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +400 $52 14¢ $56 +$4 09-11 04:59
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +400 $52 14¢ $54 +$2 10-25 23:18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +400 $20 6¢ $26 +$6 10-24 22:57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +400 $20 6¢ $26 +$6 10-25 04:03
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? No +26 -$142 84¢ $22 +$164 09-24 05:06
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +421 $16 5¢ $20 +$4 10-25 19:43
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? Yes +23 -$92 83¢ $19 +$112 09-21 19:26
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +17 -$187 100¢ $17 +$205 10-18 22:00
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +503 $2 3¢ $16 +$14 10-21 18:38
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? Yes +80 $15 16¢ $13 -$2 10-26 15:17
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +13 $8 100¢ $13 +$5 09-21 23:21
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +11 $3 96¢ $10 +$7 10-03 08:51
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? Yes +12 -$70 84¢ $10 +$80 10-26 08:35
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +7 $6 99¢ $7 +$1 08-23 17:03
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? No +37 $15 14¢ $5 -$10 10-26 00:45
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? Yes +85 -$22 5¢ $5 +$26 09-28 19:54
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +243 $2 1¢ $3 +$2 10-24 19:43
Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +3 -$11 100¢ $3 +$14 10-17 14:47
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +57 -$1 4¢ $2 +$3 10-25 23:45
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +412 $1 1¢ $2 +$2 09-19 00:44
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +1 $16 100¢ $1 -$15 07-19 17:35
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? Yes +17 -$6 5¢ $1 +$7 10-11 02:06