Outlandish-Complicity 0x078187…1ec4ff
whale 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$538
Unrealized P&L
+$317
Hit rate
70.2%
Resolved
84
Trades
13,510
lifetime
Volume
$301.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$4.63K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 18:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
52% 62% $-490
Sports
33% 44% +$40
Politics
11% 62% $-84
Pop-Culture
4% 50% $-4
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 201 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lawrence Kellogg advance to the general election for WA-03? No -400 $-392 98¢ $-392 $-0 07-12 02:15
Will the Minnesota Lynx make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? Yes +400 $345 95¢ $380 +$35 07-07 22:22
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes -383 $-354 98¢ $-377 $-23 07-13 13:21
Will the Toronto Tempo make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? No +400 $334 89¢ $356 +$22 07-12 11:47
Will the Washington Nationals clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No +391 $326 88¢ $342 +$16 07-18 22:17
Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +400 $299 81¢ $324 +$25 07-08 15:43
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +271 $240 98¢ $265 +$25 07-18 13:46
Will the Portland Fire make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? No +234 $197 90¢ $211 +$14 07-15 14:16
Will the Athletics clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No +222 $153 95¢ $211 +$57 07-20 05:31
Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03? Yes -200 $-195 98¢ $-197 $-2 07-11 11:05
Will Suzzanna V. Tanner advance to the general election for WA-03? No -165 $-170 99¢ $-162 +$7 07-19 02:17
Will the Las Vegas Aces make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? Yes +153 $126 99¢ $151 +$25 07-17 13:56
Will Adam Crum advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -140 $-132 95¢ $-133 $-1 07-16 12:16
Will the Cincinnati Reds clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No +124 $117 97¢ $120 +$3 07-13 03:06
Will the Phoenix Mercury make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? No +133 $101 90¢ $120 +$19 07-12 15:02
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes -116 $-81 99¢ $-114 $-33 07-13 10:50
Will the Detroit Tigers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +352 $80 30¢ $104 +$23 07-12 07:32
Will the Los Angeles Sparks make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? No +118 $83 73¢ $86 +$3 07-12 05:55
Will the Dallas Wings make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? Yes +82 $57 91¢ $75 +$17 06-07 11:42
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31? No +82 $33 87¢ $71 +$38 07-15 15:25
Will the Golden State Valkyries make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? Yes +71 $67 92¢ $65 $-2 07-18 07:11
Will the Connecticut Sun make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? No +59 $57 100¢ $59 +$2 07-10 08:02
Will Antony Barran advance to the general election for WA-03? No -58 $-63 96¢ $-55 +$7 07-14 20:07
Will Ariana Grande feature Nicki Minaj on Petal? No -50 $-48 98¢ $-49 $-1 06-20 15:46
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? Yes +400 $40 11¢ $44 +$4 07-07 23:33
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +151 $22 26¢ $40 +$18 07-18 19:27
Will Ariana Grande feature Tyla on Petal? No +40 $37 98¢ $39 +$2 06-13 22:58
Will "Campfire Cooking in Another World with My Absurd Skill Season 2" win Best Isekai Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards? No +33 $25 100¢ $33 +$8 04-21 19:08
Will Ariana Grande feature Billie Eilish on Petal? No +28 $18 98¢ $28 +$10 06-20 11:55
California voter ID referendum passes? No +52 $24 48¢ $25 +$1 07-15 10:16