Outlandish-Complicity 0x078187…1ec4ff
whale 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$538
Unrealized P&L
+$111
Hit rate
70.2%
Resolved
84
Trades
12,119
lifetime
Volume
$273.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$2.01K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 23:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
52% 62% $-490
Sports
32% 44% +$40
Politics
11% 62% $-84
Pop-Culture
5% 50% $-4
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 140 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Minnesota Lynx make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? Yes +364 $307 86¢ $315 +$8 06-07 12:07
Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election? Yes -257 $-250 72¢ $-186 +$64 06-06 13:32
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026? No +198 $180 92¢ $183 +$3 06-10 05:57
Will the Portland Fire make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? No +194 $161 76¢ $148 $-13 06-09 18:23
Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03? Yes -141 $-137 97¢ $-136 +$1 06-07 13:40
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No -144 $-110 79¢ $-114 $-4 06-03 05:05
Will Suzzanna V. Tanner advance to the general election for WA-03? No -109 $-108 96¢ $-105 +$3 06-09 09:10
Will the Las Vegas Aces make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? Yes +128 $102 82¢ $104 +$2 06-07 13:22
Will the Minnesota Twins clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No +126 $100 78¢ $98 $-1 06-09 18:23
Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +116 $78 69¢ $80 +$2 06-10 06:08
Will the Dallas Wings make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? Yes +82 $57 82¢ $67 +$10 06-07 11:42
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? Yes +311 $37 21¢ $65 +$28 06-09 16:50
Will the Atlanta Braves clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +52 $47 91¢ $47 $-0 06-08 23:58
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +74 $38 62¢ $46 +$9 06-03 18:47
Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season? No +43 $41 97¢ $42 +$1 05-29 21:33
Will Antony Barran advance to the general election for WA-03? No +47 $45 84¢ $39 $-5 06-09 09:08
Will the St. Louis Cardinals clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +119 $32 31¢ $36 +$5 06-09 08:24
Will "Campfire Cooking in Another World with My Absurd Skill Season 2" win Best Isekai Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards? No +33 $25 100¢ $33 +$8 04-21 19:08
Will the Washington Nationals clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No +37 $32 88¢ $32 +$1 06-09 21:08
Will Sharon Brown advance from the CA-04 primary election? No +33 $30 95¢ $31 +$1 06-09 15:24
Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad? No +22 $21 98¢ $22 +$0 06-08 19:13
Will Will Sawin win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +20 $17 90¢ $18 +$1 06-03 05:07
Will Ariana Grande feature Nicki Minaj on Petal? No -12 $-11 95¢ $-11 $-0 06-09 19:30
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03? No +87 $9 12¢ $11 +$1 06-08 11:47
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? No -31 $-8 34¢ $-10 $-3 06-05 16:10
Will the Detroit Tigers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +54 $10 16¢ $9 $-1 06-10 03:23
Will "Phoebe Bridgers" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album? No +15 $13 59¢ $9 $-4 06-09 12:23
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day? No +22 $10 22¢ $5 $-5 06-09 03:40
Will the New York Liberty make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? Yes +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$0 06-07 09:37
Will the Indiana Fever make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? Yes +5 $4 79¢ $4 +$0 06-07 09:37