Outlandish-Complicity 0x078187…1ec4ff Create alert
whale 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$357
Unrealized P&L
+$748
Hit rate
67.7%
Resolved (7d)
92
Trades (7d)
133
24,970 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$3.18K
$575.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$5.60K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-13 01:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 298 days
Categories
Other
60% 57% +$2,522
Sports
22% 61% +$1,767
Politics
15% 50% +$1,196
Pop-Culture
3% 76% +$303
Tech
0% 100% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 569 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%? No +400 $368 100¢ $399 +$32 11-04 05:58
Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +400 $376 99¢ $396 +$21 11-07 22:57
Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +403 $366 98¢ $395 +$29 11-08 01:37
Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +400 $348 90¢ $361 +$13 11-05 15:12
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 21% or more? Yes +293 $76 99¢ $290 +$213 11-03 18:02
Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? Yes +400 $186 64¢ $254 +$68 10-11 23:03
Will Oregon Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs? No +330 $222 70¢ $233 +$10 11-03 21:41
Will Florida make College Football Playoff Quarterfinals? No +238 $129 97¢ $230 +$101 10-04 18:29
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Cup? No +244 $216 92¢ $226 +$10 11-07 13:43
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +247 $225 90¢ $224 -$1 11-11 08:17
Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +218 $207 100¢ $217 +$10 09-25 09:46
Will North Korea win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? No +205 $195 99¢ $203 +$8 11-12 10:27
Will Waymo launch in Sacramento, CA by December 31 2026? No +205 $162 97¢ $199 +$37 11-11 06:34
Will Brock Bowers have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +400 $226 50¢ $198 -$28 11-04 00:12
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? Yes +399 $190 49¢ $196 +$6 09-10 15:45
Will Ohio St. Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs? No +200 $33 82¢ $163 +$130 09-07 19:04
Will Davi Alcolumbre be the next President of the Brazilian Senate? Yes +267 $143 56¢ $151 +$7 11-12 10:41
Will Mina the Hollower win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes +402 $133 34¢ $135 +$2 09-21 17:58
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 18% or more? Yes +127 -$3 98¢ $124 +$127 11-05 06:32
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026? No +379 $41 31¢ $116 +$75 11-03 21:41
Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards? No +181 $128 60¢ $109 -$20 10-07 11:14
Will Sóstenes Cavalcante be the next President of Brazil's Chamber of Deputies? No +104 $95 96¢ $100 +$6 11-10 14:03
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +400 $248 25¢ $100 -$148 11-04 00:02
Will Saquon Barkley have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +106 $86 84¢ $90 +$3 11-02 16:52
Will The Great Divide (Noah Kahan) be nominated for Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? No +173 $50 50¢ $86 +$36 11-11 01:34
Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat? Yes +87 $22 99¢ $86 +$64 10-26 00:58
Will Inter Milan finish top 8 in UCL league phase? Yes +399 $82 22¢ $86 +$4 11-03 18:38
Will Tereza Cristina be the next President of the Brazilian Senate? No +115 $91 72¢ $83 -$8 11-11 17:06
Will Justin Jefferson have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +125 $60 60¢ $76 +$15 11-03 22:25
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +400 $148 18¢ $74 -$74 11-10 10:22