Superior-Format 0x7ab6ac…cdfa77
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$85
Unrealized P&L
-$42
Hit rate
51.2%
Resolved
52
Trades
154,504
lifetime
Volume
$488.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$223
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-10 08:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
61% 18% $-25
Politics
22% 23% $-68
Sports
11% 67% +$16
Tech
5% — —
Crypto
1% 0% $-8
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 765 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +1,591 $89 4¢ $68 $-22 07-08 11:45
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes -179 $-18 24¢ $-43 $-25 06-01 23:36
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? Yes +525 $30 7¢ $35 +$5 06-24 13:41
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +700 $21 2¢ $16 $-5 07-08 15:23
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? Yes -286 $-21 5¢ $-15 +$6 07-07 15:13
Trump goes to space in 2026? Yes +700 $8 2¢ $12 +$3 07-09 16:31
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026? No +71 $3 14¢ $10 +$7 07-09 12:02
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? Yes +522 $22 2¢ $9 $-14 07-05 23:21
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? Yes +152 $11 5¢ $8 $-3 06-25 15:13
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? Dune 3 -66 $-11 3¢ $-2 +$9 07-09 02:41
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026? Yes +48 $2 3¢ $2 $-0 07-06 19:33
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 50¢ $1 $-1 07-06 15:33
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? Yes +88 $4 2¢ $1 $-3 07-07 05:51
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? Yes -52 $-1 2¢ $-1 +$1 06-06 17:15
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? Yes +16 $1 3¢ $1 $-1 07-08 09:05
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No -1 $-0 50¢ $-0 $-0 06-06 07:19
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 50¢ $0 +$0 07-06 14:03