Realized P&L
-$85
Unrealized P&L
-$115
Hit rate
51.2%
Resolved
52
Trades
151,536
lifetime
Volume
$480.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$426
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 20:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
60% 18% $-25
Politics
23% 23% $-68
Sports
11% 67% +$16
Tech
5%
Crypto
1% 0% $-8
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 3694 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +1,277 $78 $91 +$13 06-09 18:06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes +948 $205 $76 $-129 06-09 12:58
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No +412 $24 $38 +$15 06-08 06:04
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes -179 $-18 19¢ $-35 $-16 06-01 23:36
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? No +1,009 $19 $27 +$8 06-09 20:00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes +1,108 $41 $26 $-15 06-09 20:19
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? Yes +1,431 $-6 $20 +$26 06-04 08:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? Yes +1,990 $23 $17 $-6 06-08 16:05
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? Yes +251 $13 $13 +$0 06-08 10:14
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +683 $26 $12 $-14 06-02 12:47
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? Yes +1,021 $15 $10 $-6 06-09 09:56
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30? Yes +746 $8 $10 +$2 06-08 19:17
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? Yes +712 $22 $9 $-13 06-05 04:02
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? No +1,381 $6 $9 +$3 06-09 14:22
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No +107 $0 $6 +$5 06-09 17:41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Yes +339 $8 $4 $-4 06-08 23:57
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes +184 $5 $3 $-2 06-01 11:32
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026? No -15 $-3 18¢ $-3 +$0 06-09 06:45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? Yes -154 $-9 $-2 +$7 06-07 17:07
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2026? No +809 $2 $2 $-0 06-08 12:11
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June? Yes +1,321 $5 $2 $-3 06-01 13:37
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? Yes +207 $1 $2 +$1 06-04 08:03
Russian strike on Poland by June 30? Yes -100 $-2 $-2 $-0 06-03 00:35
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? Yes -267 $-2 $-2 +$1 06-05 16:01
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? Yes -52 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-06 17:15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? Yes +79 $-8 $1 +$9 06-08 16:31
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026? Yes -232 $-3 $-1 +$2 06-03 01:04
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30? Yes +17 $0 $0 +$0 06-09 08:16
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026? Yes +14 $0 $0 +$0 06-03 14:36
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? No +28 $-1 $0 +$2 06-01 17:01