Realized P&L
-$10.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
39.0%
Resolved
3,103
Trades
173,568
lifetime
Volume
$550.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$846
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-13 16:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 226 days
Categories
Other
59% 22% -$13,284
Politics
26% 20% -$301
Sports
10% 26% +$2,791
Tech
5% 28% +$434
Crypto
1% 28% -$419
Pop-Culture
0% 20% -$84
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 797 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes -179 -$18 79¢ $-142 -$123 06-01 23:36
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -108 -$27 97¢ $-105 -$78 04-28 14:04
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +3,333 $20 1¢ $45 +$25 04-28 13:41
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -260 -$55 15¢ $-40 +$15 07-07 16:23
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes -60 -$30 60¢ $-36 -$7 10-05 19:39
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -260 -$13 13¢ $-34 -$21 07-07 22:52
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? Yes -1,161 -$22 3¢ $-33 -$11 05-03 06:43
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,306 $28 2¢ $32 +$4 10-04 01:44
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,550 -$33 2¢ $-31 +$2 08-18 02:29
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -196 -$30 15¢ $-29 +$1 09-26 18:06
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,582 $25 2¢ $26 +$1 07-07 17:41
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,000 $20 3¢ $26 +$6 04-28 13:41
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -1,698 -$15 2¢ $-25 -$10 09-24 11:28
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +249 $41 9¢ $22 -$19 10-05 09:16
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes -1,565 -$58 1¢ $-20 +$38 09-22 08:15
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -449 -$25 4¢ $-19 +$6 06-01 15:46
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,573 -$14 1¢ $-18 -$4 10-06 20:33
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +901 $13 2¢ $18 +$5 10-05 19:16
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -106 -$24 16¢ $-17 +$7 10-02 13:15
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -396 -$21 4¢ $-16 +$5 09-27 23:51
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? Yes +280 $9 5¢ $14 +$5 08-23 18:43
Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +762 $10 2¢ $14 +$4 09-23 22:14
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +87 -$39 15¢ $13 +$53 09-04 18:08
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -260 -$12 5¢ $-13 -$1 07-09 12:32
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +400 $11 3¢ $12 +$1 07-08 02:22
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,279 $4 1¢ $10 +$6 07-22 08:42
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +168 $9 6¢ $10 +$1 10-13 16:52
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -260 -$7 4¢ $-9 -$2 09-19 07:32
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -2,941 -$81 0¢ $-9 +$72 06-22 05:01
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes -1,333 -$25 1¢ $-9 +$16 09-23 02:21