Realized P&L
-$85
Unrealized P&L
-$358
Hit rate
51.2%
Resolved
52
Trades
151,803
lifetime
Volume
$480.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$247
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-26 06:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
60% 18% $-25
Politics
23% 23% $-68
Sports
11% 67% +$16
Tech
5%
Crypto
1% 0% $-8
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 1657 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +1,277 $78 $67 $-11 06-09 18:06
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes -179 $-18 28¢ $-50 $-32 06-01 23:36
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? Yes +525 $30 $31 +$2 06-24 13:41
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +632 $25 $19 $-6 06-23 07:22
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? Yes +424 $19 $18 $-1 06-25 10:04
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? Yes -222 $-16 $-12 +$4 06-23 21:00
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? Yes +152 $11 $12 +$1 06-25 15:13
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +930 $2 $6 +$3 06-26 03:11
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election? Yes +865 $8 $4 $-3 06-23 04:38
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? Yes +2,027 $-4 $3 +$7 06-24 13:52
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30? Yes +1,476 $9 $3 $-6 06-26 05:45
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026? No -15 $-3 16¢ $-2 +$0 06-09 06:45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? Yes +1,990 $23 $2 $-21 06-08 16:05
Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30? Yes +957 $6 $2 $-4 06-25 02:39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? Yes +1,751 $18 $2 $-17 06-23 07:05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes +1,636 $42 $2 $-41 06-26 06:43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes +948 $205 $1 $-204 06-09 12:58
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June? Yes +1,321 $5 $1 $-4 06-01 13:37
Russian strike on Poland by June 30? Yes +734 $-0 $1 +$1 06-24 23:15
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Yes +500 $1 $1 +$0 06-25 14:04
French election called by June 30, 2026? Yes +896 $4 $1 $-3 06-23 19:32
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? Yes -52 $-1 $-1 +$1 06-06 17:15
Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30? Yes +421 $1 $1 $-0 06-26 04:10
Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30? Yes +377 $1 $1 $-0 06-26 06:00
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? Yes +712 $22 $1 $-22 06-05 04:02
Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026? Yes +346 $1 $1 $-1 06-24 12:49
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes +638 $1 $1 $-1 06-25 03:46
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? Yes +48 $-0 $1 +$1 06-25 17:40
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026? Yes -232 $-3 $-0 +$3 06-03 01:04
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes +184 $5 $0 $-5 06-01 11:32