Realized P&L
+$29.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$302
Hit rate
67.3%
Resolved
17,438
Trades
114,814
lifetime
Volume
$2.04M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$2.73K
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 07:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 193 days
Categories
Other
82% 56% +$23,420
Sports
14% 56% +$10,945
Politics
2% 51% -$831
Crypto
2% 54% -$4,026
Tech
0% 50% -$1,008
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$1,296
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,303 -$1,290 97¢ $-1265 +$25 10-08 04:29
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes -284 -$240 88¢ $-251 -$12 06-21 17:48
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes -446 -$214 36¢ $-163 +$52 10-26 20:53
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes -188 -$82 84¢ $-157 -$75 07-26 20:56
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? Yes -188 -$127 64¢ $-121 +$6 06-15 22:00
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes -130 -$116 86¢ $-112 +$4 05-27 02:39
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -230 -$122 43¢ $-99 +$23 05-07 03:31
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No -250 -$102 36¢ $-91 +$11 10-04 20:43
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes -666 -$238 14¢ $-90 +$148 06-16 08:28
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -1,331 -$125 7¢ $-88 +$37 06-14 10:09
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -137 -$47 35¢ $-48 -$1 06-24 17:53
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -133 -$49 36¢ $-47 +$2 05-02 20:31
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes -60 -$13 58¢ $-35 -$22 04-28 21:45
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? Yes -60 -$49 57¢ $-34 +$14 05-20 05:20
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes -405 -$86 8¢ $-34 +$52 07-15 07:08
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? No -29 -$22 70¢ $-20 +$2 10-21 17:46
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes -21 -$3 89¢ $-19 -$16 05-05 02:51
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes -71 -$47 15¢ $-11 +$36 06-24 07:37
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -21 -$2 43¢ $-9 -$7 06-10 19:34
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes -45 -$12 18¢ $-8 +$4 05-06 09:51
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes — -11 -$8 70¢ $-8 +$0 07-25 12:17
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? No +10 $8 73¢ $7 $0 05-12 19:56
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? Yes -24 -$8 24¢ $-6 +$2 05-11 05:49
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes -6 -$4 78¢ $-5 $0 06-26 10:13
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? No -39 -$10 10¢ $-4 +$6 05-19 20:50
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -50 -$15 2¢ $-1 +$14 07-07 18:09
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -3 -$1 34¢ $-1 +$0 05-07 00:56
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes +10 $2 7¢ $1 -$1 05-10 15:16
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -13 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 06-01 21:09