Realized P&L
-$505
Unrealized P&L
+$108
Hit rate
80.1%
Resolved
74
Trades
113,627
lifetime
Volume
$2.00M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$288
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-14 09:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
82% 82% $-648
Sports
14% 75% +$34
Crypto
2%
Politics
1% 70% +$109
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -1,316 $-124 $-85 +$39 06-14 10:09
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes -71 $-47 59¢ $-42 +$5 06-24 07:37
California voter ID referendum passes? Yes -59 $-32 51¢ $-30 +$2 06-21 07:49
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -79 $-28 30¢ $-24 +$4 06-12 19:45
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -107 $-36 20¢ $-22 +$14 06-24 17:53
Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop? Yes -29 $-21 73¢ $-21 +$0 06-18 14:19
Will Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? Yes -24 $-6 77¢ $-18 $-13 06-11 11:29
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? Yes -56 $-17 16¢ $-9 +$8 06-24 12:54
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027? Yes -155 $-24 $-8 +$16 06-17 15:09
Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027? Yes -60 $-18 12¢ $-7 +$10 06-23 06:24
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? Yes -23 $-5 24¢ $-5 $-0 06-21 23:59
Will Brian Armstrong appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? Yes -79 $-20 $-5 +$15 05-31 11:16
Benedict Wong as Wong? Yes -5 $-4 64¢ $-3 +$1 06-22 00:04
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? Yes -48 $-5 $-3 +$1 06-10 03:06
Another US debt downgrade before 2027? Yes -13 $-4 18¢ $-2 +$2 06-22 04:38
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026? Yes -14 $-3 12¢ $-2 +$1 06-21 23:59
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes -6 $-2 12¢ $-1 +$2 06-16 08:28
Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -0 $-0 60¢ $-0 $-0 05-29 06:31