Realized P&L
-$505
Unrealized P&L
+$109
Hit rate
80.1%
Resolved
74
Trades
113,620
lifetime
Volume
$2.00M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$386
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-24 17:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
82% 82% $-648
Sports
14% 75% +$34
Crypto
2%
Politics
1% 70% +$109
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 399 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -1,316 $-124 $-88 +$36 06-14 10:09
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year? Yes -80 $-76 99¢ $-79 $-3 06-24 14:36
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes -71 $-47 62¢ $-44 +$2 06-24 07:37
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -107 $-36 27¢ $-29 +$7 06-24 17:53
California voter ID referendum passes? Yes -59 $-32 48¢ $-28 +$4 06-21 07:49
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes -26 $-23 88¢ $-23 +$0 06-07 17:09
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -79 $-28 26¢ $-21 +$7 06-12 19:45
Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop? Yes -29 $-21 52¢ $-15 +$6 06-18 14:19
Will Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? Yes -24 $-6 50¢ $-12 $-6 06-11 11:29
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? Yes -56 $-17 16¢ $-9 +$8 06-24 12:54
Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027? Yes -60 $-18 14¢ $-8 +$9 06-23 06:24
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027? Yes -155 $-24 $-6 +$18 06-17 15:09
Will Brian Armstrong appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? Yes -79 $-20 $-6 +$15 05-31 11:16
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? Yes -23 $-5 22¢ $-5 +$0 06-21 23:59
Benedict Wong as Wong? Yes -5 $-4 82¢ $-4 $-0 06-22 00:04
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? Yes -48 $-5 $-3 +$2 06-10 03:06
Another US debt downgrade before 2027? Yes -13 $-4 18¢ $-2 +$2 06-22 04:38
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026? Yes -14 $-3 16¢ $-2 +$1 06-21 23:59
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes -6 $-2 26¢ $-2 +$1 06-16 08:28
Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -0 $-0 55¢ $-0 $-0 05-29 06:31