Candid-Encirclement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$309

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.2%

Resolved

107

Trades

260

lifetime

Volume

$8.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 05-18 11:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

62% 40% -$101

Politics

38% 47% -$208

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	3	$412	421	0	+421	Yes	+$9	04-21 14:29
Will Cindy Burbank be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Nebraska?	12	$402	419	0	+419	Yes	+$17	04-30 14:41
Will Amy Acton win the 2026 Ohio Governor Democratic primary election?	4	$395	401	0	+401	Yes	+$6	04-25 05:17
Will David Roth be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Idaho?	3	$329	376	0	+376	Yes	+$47	04-22 03:59
Will Brinker Harding be the Republican nominee for NE-02?	10	$326	334	0	+334	Yes	+$7	04-20 13:04
Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$280	308	0	+308	Yes	+$28	04-24 22:54
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	21	$280	554	20	+534	Yes	+$275	04-26 06:44
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	20	$267	535	0	+535	No	-$267	04-26 06:44
NEC leading at halftime?	3	$249	439	0	+439	Yes	+$191	05-15 19:06
Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	4	$246	251	0	+251	Yes	+$5	05-15 00:34
Will Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?	6	$231	282	0	+282	Yes	+$51	04-28 01:22
Will Paul LePage be the Republican Nominee for ME-02?	1	$185	194	0	+194	Yes	+$8	05-14 23:41
Shanghai Shenhua FC leading at halftime?	3	$164	309	0	+309	Yes	+$145	05-18 02:22
Bayer 04 Leverkusen leading at halftime?	2	$155	260	0	+260	No	-$155	05-16 00:59
NEC vs. Go Ahead Eagles: Draw at halftime?	3	$153	439	0	+439	No	-$153	05-15 19:06
FC Bayern München leading at halftime?	1	$146	211	0	+211	Yes	+$66	05-15 12:16
Real Racing Club leading at halftime?	2	$145	280	0	+280	No	-$145	05-16 00:59
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	1	$113	135	0	+135	No	-$113	04-14 15:57
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	4	$110	167	0	+167	No	-$110	04-25 00:30
Real Racing Club vs. Real Valladolid CF: Draw at halftime?	2	$110	292	0	+292	Yes	+$182	05-16 00:59
Club Always Ready leading at halftime?	1	$108	211	0	+211	No	-$108	05-15 12:00
AZ leading at halftime?	1	$92	165	0	+165	Yes	+$73	05-14 22:49
Inter Miami CF leading at halftime?	1	$91	156	0	+156	Yes	+$65	05-14 22:49
Beijing Guoan FC leading at halftime?	1	$89	287	0	+287	No	-$89	05-15 16:46
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	2	$89	150	0	+150	Yes	+$62	04-29 13:58
Club Always Ready vs. Mirassol FC: Draw at halftime?	1	$88	204	0	+204	No	-$88	05-15 12:00
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Draw at halftime?	2	$87	278	0	+278	Yes	+$191	05-16 12:06
Qingdao Xihaian FC leading at halftime?	3	$83	278	0	+278	No	-$83	05-15 23:13
Will Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?	1	$81	82	0	+82	Yes	+$2	05-16 02:08
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV: Draw at halftime?	2	$81	263	0	+263	Yes	+$182	05-16 00:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 11:35:27	Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	36	44¢	$16	0x8e3488…
05-18 11:35:27	Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	36	51¢	$19	0x7b5c60…
05-18 03:09:44	Will CF Universidad de Chile vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	26	28¢	$7	0xf7b5a6…
05-18 03:09:44	Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	BUY	26	40¢	$10	0xf69d14…
05-18 03:09:44	Will CF Universidad de Chile win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	BUY	26	26¢	$7	0x90accd…
05-18 02:22:13	Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	182	22¢	$40	0xe0ae15…
05-18 02:22:13	Wuhan San Zhen FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	183	20¢	$37	0xd99643…
05-18 02:22:13	Shanghai Shenhua FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	178	52¢	$92	0x81ad7a…
05-17 12:13:19	Shanghai Shenhua FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	38	55¢	$21	0xde3901…
05-17 12:13:19	Wuhan San Zhen FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	39	18¢	$7	0xc89a75…
05-17 12:13:19	Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	39	21¢	$8	0xc52229…
05-17 09:58:06	Shanghai Shenhua FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	94	54¢	$51	0x2632c6…
05-17 09:58:04	Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	98	21¢	$21	0x82f169…
05-17 09:58:04	Wuhan San Zhen FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	99	19¢	$19	0x173e2e…
05-16 19:29:28	Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?	Yes	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x09565d…
05-16 19:29:28	Will Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?	Yes	BUY	16	34¢	$5	0x005a70…
05-16 17:37:22	Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?	Yes	BUY	43	86¢	$36	0xee93be…
05-16 17:37:21	Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m?	Yes	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0xef94a1…
05-16 16:32:08	Will Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?	Yes	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x858635…
05-16 16:32:06	Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?	Yes	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0x45f6fe…
05-16 14:38:12	Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x130ab9…
05-16 12:55:44	Molde FK vs. Kristiansund BK: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	149	35¢	$53	0xb4ba57…
05-16 12:55:44	Molde FK leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	147	54¢	$80	0xa34a29…
05-16 12:06:58	Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	33	34¢	$11	0x9d9c78…
05-16 02:31:45	Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	18¢	$8	0xf6f502…
05-16 02:31:45	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0xb1746d…
05-16 02:19:30	Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0xc4a3a0…
05-16 02:19:30	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	32	80¢	$26	0x0eb9d3…
05-16 02:08:49	Will Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?	Yes	BUY	82	98¢	$81	0x87b202…
05-16 00:59:44	Real Racing Club vs. Real Valladolid CF: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	147	38¢	$56	0xcdd465…
05-16 00:59:44	Real Racing Club leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	142	52¢	$74	0xbb9f46…
05-16 00:59:42	Bayer 04 Leverkusen leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	84	61¢	$52	0xea4eb0…
05-16 00:59:42	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	85	30¢	$25	0x0f8fc6…
05-15 23:13:30	Qingdao Xihaian FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x34cf1e…
05-15 19:06:15	FC Utrecht leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	148	52¢	$77	0x87b609…
05-15 19:06:15	FC Utrecht vs. Fortuna Sittard: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	149	36¢	$54	0x6e8e0c…
05-15 19:06:14	Real Racing Club vs. Real Valladolid CF: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	145	37¢	$54	0xe212c6…
05-15 19:06:14	NEC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	119	56¢	$67	0xb6291d…
05-15 19:06:14	NEC vs. Go Ahead Eagles: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	119	37¢	$44	0x554035…
05-15 19:06:14	Real Racing Club leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	138	52¢	$72	0x08fced…
05-15 18:36:18	Qingdao Xihaian FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	51	31¢	$16	0xd730c4…
05-15 16:46:54	Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	245	31¢	$76	0xe91697…
05-15 16:46:54	Qingdao Xihaian FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	228	30¢	$67	0x570536…
05-15 16:46:50	Beijing Guoan FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	287	31¢	$89	0x7a51cf…
05-15 12:16:45	FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	219	25¢	$54	0xc88326…
05-15 12:16:45	FC Bayern München leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	211	69¢	$146	0x9b7a22…
05-15 12:16:45	Hannover 96 leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	148	53¢	$79	0x3efbf2…
05-15 12:16:45	Hannover 96 vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	149	36¢	$54	0x0143d2…
05-15 12:05:32	NEC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	157	57¢	$89	0x7fc114…
05-15 12:05:32	NEC vs. Go Ahead Eagles: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	157	35¢	$55	0x7ace53…
05-15 12:00:24	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	178	31¢	$55	0x7fa612…
05-15 12:00:24	Club Always Ready leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	211	51¢	$108	0x5b35a7…
05-15 12:00:24	Club Always Ready vs. Mirassol FC: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	204	43¢	$88	0x3e16c8…
05-15 12:00:24	Bayer 04 Leverkusen leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	175	59¢	$104	0x086ab0…
05-15 00:55:36	CSD Colo-Colo vs. CD Ñublense: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	124	47¢	$58	0xce6ff4…
05-15 00:55:36	CSD Colo-Colo leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	124	44¢	$55	0x44d09b…
05-15 00:55:34	SE Palmeiras vs. Cruzeiro EC: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	126	44¢	$56	0x5f6c8f…
05-15 00:55:34	SE Palmeiras leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	126	43¢	$55	0x350e12…
05-15 00:34:10	Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xadb30f…
05-15 00:25:07	Will Cory Booker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Jersey?	Yes	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x33385c…
05-14 23:41:48	Will Paul LePage be the Republican Nominee for ME-02?	Yes	BUY	194	96¢	$185	0xf3723b…
05-14 23:41:48	Will James Clark be the Republican Nominee for ME-02?	Yes	BUY	203	3¢	$5	0x97eb04…
05-14 22:49:52	Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	156	33¢	$52	0x7a04da…
05-14 22:49:52	NEC vs. Go Ahead Eagles: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	163	33¢	$55	0x6837ab…
05-14 22:49:52	Inter Miami CF leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	156	58¢	$91	0x39895c…
05-14 22:49:52	NEC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	163	57¢	$92	0x0b4dc6…
05-14 22:49:50	AZ leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	165	56¢	$92	0x7600e5…
05-14 22:49:50	AZ vs. NAC Breda: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	163	33¢	$55	0x11294c…
05-14 22:17:03	Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x7eb2f3…
05-14 22:11:57	Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	57	99¢	$56	0x45cd8d…
04-30 19:36:46	Will Pete Ricketts be the Republican nominee for Senate in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x959203…
04-30 16:19:38	Will Pete Ricketts be the Republican nominee for Senate in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x107505…
04-30 16:14:36	Will Pete Ricketts be the Republican nominee for Senate in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	32	99¢	$31	0x1e3f48…
04-30 14:41:50	Will Cindy Burbank be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xf84641…
04-30 14:36:42	Will Cindy Burbank be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5f0116…
04-29 19:28:06	Will Cindy Burbank be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x05da21…
04-29 13:58:04	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	49	78¢	$38	0x9a35d4…
04-29 13:58:04	Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	51	14¢	$7	0x8d7c01…
04-28 01:22:44	Will Caroline Woodley win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	37	15¢	$6	0x8550ed…
04-28 01:22:44	Will Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	34	81¢	$27	0x4a364f…
04-28 00:52:08	Will Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	34	81¢	$27	0x79e8aa…
04-28 00:52:06	Will Caroline Woodley win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	36	16¢	$6	0xa83121…
04-26 20:04:48	Will Denise Powell be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	Yes	BUY	42	80¢	$34	0xe0a5b7…
04-26 20:04:48	Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	Yes	BUY	44	15¢	$7	0x705397…
04-26 06:44:26	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	91	54¢	$50	0xcdf4b4…
04-26 06:44:26	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	91	44¢	$40	0x8ba896…
04-26 06:33:18	Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	136	97¢	$132	0x2f2db8…
04-25 17:33:40	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xc058e6…
04-25 17:33:40	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x378771…
04-25 17:00:26	Will Cindy Burbank be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x5d2339…
04-25 16:54:58	Will Cindy Burbank be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x47238e…
04-25 16:44:48	Will Cindy Burbank be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x9441b3…
04-25 16:39:42	Will Cindy Burbank be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x4f826b…
04-25 16:26:40	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x928543…
04-25 16:26:40	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x4a1a24…
04-25 16:21:30	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xcb4644…
04-25 16:21:30	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x23e623…
04-25 12:06:34	Will Jim Baird be the Republican nominee for IN-04?	Yes	BUY	70	90¢	$63	0xf4f921…
04-25 12:06:34	Will Craig Haggard be the Republican nominee for IN-04?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xb778db…
04-25 05:17:26	Will Amy Acton win the 2026 Ohio Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	133	98¢	$131	0x921957…