Third-Chives — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.94K

Unrealized P&L

-$31

Hit rate

71.5%

Resolved

498

Trades

2,089

lifetime

Volume

$46.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$689

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-19 09:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Politics

40% 56% +$2,264

Sports

32% 63% +$86

Other

26% 45% +$547

Tech

2% 100% +$115

Crypto

0% 0% -$69

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-19).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes		+1,000	$586	46¢	$465	-$121	06-08 04:42
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No		+419	$134	54¢	$224	+$90	06-03 23:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	23	$934	1,524	114	+1,410	Yes	+$108	06-05 01:36
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	13	$812	944	454	+490	No	+$302	06-01 22:15
will the orlando magic make the nba playoffs 794	30	$728	723	374	+349	Yes	-$241	04-17 06:06
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	7	$720	1,419	0	+1,419	open	—	06-08 04:42
will the phoenix suns make the nba playoffs 557	35	$664	460	419	+41	Yes	-$17	04-17 04:51
Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	12	$655	1,013	195	+818	No	-$92	06-08 08:57
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	45	$589	1,504	128	+1,376	Yes	-$11	06-08 07:47
will the golden state warriors make the nba playoffs 223	44	$586	400	400	+0	No	+$37	04-15 14:29
Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?	21	$583	1,586	24	+1,562	Yes	+$449	06-01 11:55
will the milwaukee bucks make the nba playoffs 572	17	$541	328	323	+5	No	+$1	03-16 15:47
Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?	12	$511	400	136	+264	No	+$4	05-19 18:28
Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	3	$509	1,110	0	+1,110	No	-$154	06-04 13:36
Will Victoria Mboko win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	5	$502	726	0	+726	No	+$6	05-29 15:22
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	7	$481	959	279	+680	Yes	+$169	05-26 15:59
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	5	$477	800	400	+400	No	+$59	05-26 15:56
will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by march 31	25	$459	550	369	+181	No	+$76	03-15 04:10
nba 2025 26 3pm leader luka doncic	19	$456	519	327	+192	Yes	+$188	04-11 02:44
Will Patrick Schmidt be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?	7	$455	449	54	+395	No	+$45	05-25 08:18
will sarah adlakha be the republican nominee for senate from mississippi	5	$449	227	227	+0	No	+$2	03-10 19:43
will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	3	$444	296	296	+0	No	-$29	02-10 02:56
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	8	$439	544	21	+523	No	+$32	05-29 06:08
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?	16	$436	884	46	+838	Yes	+$71	06-06 00:14
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	3	$429	421	21	+400	No	+$12	05-15 06:41
will the philadelphia 76ers make the nba playoffs 553	21	$426	714	297	+417	Yes	-$119	04-13 20:11
Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	4	$417	243	205	+38	No	+$29	05-01 02:34
will the charlotte hornets make the nba playoffs 311	24	$414	580	219	+361	No	-$121	04-15 06:14
will the los angeles clippers make the nba playoffs	23	$407	532	155	+377	No	-$219	04-12 09:19
will fernando mendoza be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	6	$392	400	0	+400	No	+$8	04-04 21:13
will the portland trail blazers make the nba playoffs 772	23	$389	310	310	+0	Yes	-$72	04-15 04:25
will the seattle kraken make the nhl playoffs	8	$389	400	0	+400	No	+$11	04-07 03:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 09:51:49	Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?	No	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x87b923…
06-11 11:50:15	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	748	1¢	$5	0x214a1e…
06-09 03:38:21	Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xc47f6d…
06-08 08:57:54	Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$39	0xac0015…
06-08 08:04:52	Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	BUY	104	20¢	$20	0xc60814…
06-08 07:47:16	Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	169	4¢	$6	0x3cfb10…
06-08 07:31:10	Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	55	3¢	$2	0xa4bcac…
06-08 04:42:54	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0xcdfe01…
06-08 04:42:04	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0xd47914…
06-07 23:04:12	Will Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	163	2¢	$4	0x48b31f…
06-07 22:35:46	Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x0bf215…
06-07 22:34:28	Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x5deb89…
06-07 21:36:10	Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x9bd2f2…
06-07 21:23:01	Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xc12366…
06-07 21:21:52	Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xf0dbdf…
06-07 21:21:00	Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x68c067…
06-07 21:20:25	Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xa46749…
06-07 15:08:28	Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x75b1aa…
06-07 10:40:39	Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xf89e98…
06-07 10:18:03	Will Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 NL Central title?	No	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x0fd3a3…
06-07 07:18:58	Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0x767cbc…
06-07 06:41:42	Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xc49ed4…
06-07 06:40:03	Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	BUY	23	23¢	$5	0xe40b8b…
06-07 06:39:27	Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	BUY	23	23¢	$5	0xd2451e…
06-07 06:39:16	Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xf7709e…
06-07 01:03:42	Will Jake Merrick win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe96280…
06-07 00:29:40	Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x3148a0…
06-06 23:28:12	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	200	32¢	$65	0xee4836…
06-06 17:23:55	Will Sam McCown be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x73cd00…
06-06 14:47:55	Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	1,362	0¢	$1	0x370062…
06-06 14:47:40	Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	400	0¢	$1	0x83c544…
06-06 14:38:58	Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	1,761	1¢	$26	0xff691b…
06-06 14:32:46	Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	Yes	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0x2979e5…
06-06 14:30:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x38ef7c…
06-06 11:00:07	Will the Republican Party win the NH-02 House seat?	No	BUY	34	83¢	$28	0xbda99a…
06-06 07:45:12	Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x506cd4…
06-06 01:28:01	Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	34	8¢	$3	0x105aad…
06-06 01:27:49	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x552328…
06-06 01:26:10	Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0xe5813d…
06-06 01:25:55	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x600447…
06-06 01:23:30	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0xa43714…
06-06 00:14:04	Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xe658b2…
06-06 00:07:51	Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?	Yes	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x7f4669…
06-06 00:01:39	Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?	Yes	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x488944…
06-05 23:55:25	Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?	Yes	BUY	77	73¢	$56	0xe1d7fc…
06-05 23:16:03	Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?	Yes	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x9b4783…
06-05 23:14:22	Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?	Yes	BUY	32	67¢	$21	0x2361ce…
06-05 23:11:19	Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xa7c33b…
06-05 23:09:48	Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?	Yes	BUY	40	66¢	$26	0xc44546…
06-05 20:20:31	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	103	25¢	$26	0xc566ac…
06-05 18:12:25	Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?	Yes	BUY	32	20¢	$6	0x58266a…
06-05 15:22:58	Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x075f61…
06-05 14:45:54	Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?	Yes	BUY	34	20¢	$7	0x36e5a7…
06-05 10:24:43	Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x5dee26…
06-05 09:40:34	Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	Yes	BUY	110	39¢	$43	0x1c478f…
06-05 09:26:33	Will Chris Swanson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	51	5¢	$2	0xd85f2e…
06-05 09:03:40	Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	Yes	BUY	23	68¢	$16	0x7b12d4…
06-05 09:01:58	Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	Yes	BUY	36	67¢	$24	0xc4a067…
06-05 08:51:09	Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	Yes	BUY	17	68¢	$12	0x66587e…
06-05 05:41:24	Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	No	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x96dfa6…
06-05 02:54:04	Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0xc36b6a…
06-05 01:36:52	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	151	99¢	$150	0x251792…
06-05 01:35:10	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	151	99¢	$150	0x6ed8e5…
06-05 01:32:04	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0x4e6559…
06-05 00:49:58	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?	No	BUY	138	52¢	$72	0xa19430…
06-05 00:47:52	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?	No	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x2068f6…
06-04 18:55:48	Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	No	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x0c4594…
06-04 17:36:57	Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	28	12¢	$3	0x5db9dd…
06-04 13:36:36	Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	BUY	755	22¢	$167	0x949e8b…
06-04 12:16:09	Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xad2bfd…
06-04 12:14:30	Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xd20368…
06-04 12:02:19	Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x62c27d…
06-04 11:53:09	Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xf32f06…
06-04 09:09:25	Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x7f4e6b…
06-04 05:52:01	Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x0f296d…
06-04 02:43:27	Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	106	5¢	$5	0x5ab8bc…
06-04 02:04:10	Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	No	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xbdf300…
06-04 01:19:48	Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xed4d07…
06-04 00:42:07	Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	No	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xce2dec…
06-04 00:04:37	Will Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?	Yes	BUY	72	64¢	$46	0x8990b2…
06-03 23:38:10	Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	377	96¢	$362	0xb8321f…
06-03 23:06:43	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	383	32¢	$123	0x87695b…
06-03 23:05:25	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	36	31¢	$11	0x98b12b…
06-03 22:37:30	Will Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?	Yes	BUY	27	65¢	$18	0x3b0713…
06-03 22:15:48	Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x5cbb0e…
06-03 22:12:45	Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x77ef9e…
06-03 21:59:52	Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0x86cff1…
06-03 20:51:13	Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0x6bdcd6…
06-03 19:22:30	Will Jasmeet Bains advance from the CA-22 Primary?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x5ff092…
06-03 19:14:13	Will Randy Villegas advance from the CA-22 Primary?	Yes	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x737582…
06-03 19:14:01	Will Jasmeet Bains advance from the CA-22 Primary?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x453ed3…
06-03 18:25:48	Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?	No	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0x0a9dd6…
06-03 18:22:45	Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?	No	BUY	64	22¢	$14	0x11ded8…
06-03 18:15:22	Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x503968…
06-03 18:05:34	Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?	No	BUY	257	20¢	$52	0xd7a031…
06-03 18:01:36	Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xcf5f5a…
06-03 17:35:58	Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	Yes	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0xe9c156…
06-03 17:19:52	Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x499319…
06-03 17:08:25	Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x1f7d66…
06-03 16:19:58	Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xfdb3b1…