Will Mike Thompson advance from the CA-04 primary election?
open
Total volume
$260
$30 in 24h
Trades
77
Unique wallets
40
Liquidity
$5,381
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-06-02
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-09 03:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-94.8¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $0
vs crowd: 95% YES on $151)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $31 | $1 | +$30 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $23 | $0 | +$23 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $52 | $7 | +$45 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $37 | $0 | +$37 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $0 | $0 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $12 | $1 | +$11 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $61 | $0 | +$61 |
| Median | 12 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| Below median | 4 | $9 | $5 | +$4 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 13 | $52 | $1 | +$51 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Youthful-Calico 0x285b…f3d3 | No | +50 | $5 | $5 | 4 | 06-03 14:08 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | +32 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 06-01 10:04 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +22 | $19 | $35 | 2 | 06-03 14:08 |
| Excited-Sorbet 0x030f…1ff6 | Yes | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-01 23:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | No | +15 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-03 14:54 |
| Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | No | +15 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-03 14:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | No | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-03 14:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | No | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-03 14:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x716d…70a8 | No | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-03 14:54 |
| Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | No | +12 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-03 14:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | No | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-03 14:54 |
| Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | +9 | $8 | $8 | 9 | 05-28 06:35 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +6 | $-2 | $2 | 3 | 06-03 14:08 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-03 03:58 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 10:45 |
| Grandiose-Layer 0x26aa…9d4d | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-03 03:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x89ea…9a44 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-01 11:03 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +4 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 06-01 12:42 |
| Delicious-Infinite 0x0174…2150 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-03 02:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 03:38:21 | (anonymous) 0xdeb2…a2d3 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xc47f6d… |
| 06-09 03:38:21 | Third-Chives 0x7dc4…a38d | No | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc47f6d… |
| 06-05 05:41:24 | Sudden-Full 0xce10…51d4 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x96dfa6… |
| 06-05 05:41:24 | Third-Chives 0x7dc4…a38d | No | SELL | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x96dfa6… |
| 06-04 18:55:48 | Closed-Dust 0xdc04…8602 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x0c4594… |
| 06-04 18:55:48 | Third-Chives 0x7dc4…a38d | No | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0c4594… |
| 06-04 02:04:10 | Minor-Dish 0x34ab…f1db | Yes | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xbdf300… |
| 06-04 02:04:10 | Third-Chives 0x7dc4…a38d | No | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbdf300… |
| 06-04 00:42:07 | Tense-Essence 0x4633…f429 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xce2dec… |
| 06-04 00:42:07 | Third-Chives 0x7dc4…a38d | No | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xce2dec… |
| 06-03 18:01:36 | Third-Chives 0x7dc4…a38d | No | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcf5f5a… |
| 06-03 18:01:36 | Heavenly-Floozie 0x3733…f5c2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xcf5f5a… |
| 06-03 14:54:43 | (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | No | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xad3cbb… |
| 06-03 14:54:43 | Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | No | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xad3cbb… |
| 06-03 14:54:43 | (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | No | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xad3cbb… |
| 06-03 14:54:43 | Third-Chives 0x7dc4…a38d | No | SELL | 94 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xad3cbb… |
| 06-03 14:54:43 | (anonymous) 0x716d…70a8 | No | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xad3cbb… |
| 06-03 14:54:43 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | No | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xad3cbb… |
| 06-03 14:54:43 | Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | No | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xad3cbb… |
| 06-03 14:54:43 | (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xad3cbb… |
| 06-03 14:08:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xd2be5e… |
| 06-03 14:08:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0xd2be5e… |
| 06-03 14:08:27 | Youthful-Calico 0x285b…f3d3 | No | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xd2be5e… |
| 06-03 03:58:10 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7edc56… |
| 06-03 03:58:10 | Minor-Dish 0x34ab…f1db | Yes | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x7edc56… |
| 06-03 03:58:10 | Grandiose-Layer 0x26aa…9d4d | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7edc56… |
| 06-03 02:06:59 | Yellowish-Pinstripe 0xfb88…171b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x14d5b2… |
| 06-03 02:06:59 | Delicious-Infinite 0x0174…2150 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x14d5b2… |
| 06-03 02:06:59 | Youthful-Calico 0x285b…f3d3 | No | SELL | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x14d5b2… |
| 06-02 09:04:20 | Sudden-Full 0xce10…51d4 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 98¢ | $21 | 0x7e934b… |
| 06-02 09:04:20 | Youthful-Calico 0x285b…f3d3 | No | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7e934b… |
| 06-02 09:04:20 | Little-Lining 0xaf19…dbdb | Yes | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x7e934b… |
| 06-02 09:04:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7e934b… |
| 06-01 23:01:14 | Excited-Sorbet 0x030f…1ff6 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xc4d8c4… |
| 06-01 23:01:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc4d8c4… |
| 06-01 20:34:36 | (anonymous) 0xdeb2…a2d3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xf7c38e… |
| 06-01 20:34:36 | Youthful-Calico 0x285b…f3d3 | No | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf7c38e… |
| 06-01 12:42:01 | Closed-Dust 0xdc04…8602 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x1cb6bb… |
| 06-01 12:42:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x1cb6bb… |
| 06-01 11:03:33 | Yellowish-Pinstripe 0xfb88…171b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xb539e3… |
| 06-01 11:03:33 | (anonymous) 0x89ea…9a44 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xb539e3… |
| 06-01 11:03:33 | White-Selling 0x2110…d4fb | Yes | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xb539e3… |
| 06-01 11:03:33 | Closed-Dust 0xdc04…8602 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xb539e3… |
| 06-01 10:45:56 | Little-Lining 0xaf19…dbdb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x84a7ec… |
| 06-01 10:45:56 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x84a7ec… |
| 06-01 10:04:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xc939e7… |
| 06-01 10:04:24 | White-Selling 0x2110…d4fb | Yes | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xc939e7… |
| 06-01 10:04:24 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc939e7… |
| 05-31 04:27:29 | Tense-Essence 0x4633…f429 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xf57d04… |
| 05-31 04:27:29 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf57d04… |
| 05-29 22:47:54 | Frozen-Airbag 0x0e31…ed82 | No | SELL | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7c7cd7… |
| 05-29 22:47:54 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7c7cd7… |
| 05-29 16:42:11 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x61342a… |
| 05-29 16:42:11 | Frozen-Airbag 0x0e31…ed82 | No | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x61342a… |
| 05-28 06:35:13 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xe0d349… |
| 05-28 06:35:13 | Merry-Dark 0x539d…9c99 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xe0d349… |
| 05-28 06:35:09 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x050e3f… |
| 05-28 06:35:09 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x6d492c… |
| 05-28 06:35:09 | Variable-Penguin 0xed59…236a | Yes | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x050e3f… |
| 05-28 06:35:09 | Impractical-Substance 0xf887…4d20 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x6d492c… |
| 05-28 06:35:09 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0xc000cf… |
| 05-28 06:35:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xc000cf… |
| 05-28 06:35:09 | Trusty-Chives 0x77b4…2f3e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xc000cf… |
| 05-28 06:35:07 | Firm-Class 0x6d7e…b94f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xb5eaca… |
| 05-28 06:35:07 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xb5eaca… |
| 05-28 06:35:06 | Dangerous-Patrimony 0x9381…b770 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x3850af… |
| 05-28 06:35:06 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x3850af… |
| 05-28 06:35:04 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x01e3ae… |
| 05-28 06:35:04 | Hideous-Pause 0x0d72…a5fe | Yes | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x01e3ae… |
| 05-28 06:34:46 | Harmonious-Gelatin 0xffe4…ad00 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x6dbf29… |
| 05-28 06:34:46 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x6dbf29… |
| 05-28 06:34:46 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xe48a53… |
| 05-28 06:34:46 | Joint-Almanac 0xcb39…8a33 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xe48a53… |
| 05-28 06:34:46 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x1e10d8… |
| 05-28 06:34:46 | Drab-Heartwood 0x6a2a…bea1 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x1e10d8… |
| 05-27 21:48:28 | Heavenly-Floozie 0x3733…f5c2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xe9f073… |
| 05-27 21:48:28 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe9f073… |