Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
185
lifetime
Volume
$1.36K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$117
17 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 06-08 02:44
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
58%
Other
38%
Crypto
3%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -88 $-37 48¢ $-42 $-5 05-29 02:41
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -43 $-19 43¢ $-19 +$1 05-29 02:40
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -46 $-22 32¢ $-15 +$7 05-29 02:41
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -82 $-5 12¢ $-10 $-5 06-08 02:44
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30? Yes -171 $-5 $-5 $-1 05-30 16:47
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? Yes -126 $8 $-4 $-13 06-01 08:02
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -11 $-6 38¢ $-4 +$2 05-29 02:40
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? Yes -4 $-4 99¢ $-4 +$0 06-01 06:32
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? Yes -26 $-5 12¢ $-3 +$1 05-30 03:03
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? Yes -16 $-10 18¢ $-3 +$7 05-30 17:57
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30? Yes -58 $-6 $-3 +$3 05-30 16:47
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes -68 $-6 $-2 +$4 05-30 16:46
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30? Yes -32 $3 $-1 $-4 06-01 08:01
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes +4 $2 24¢ $1 $-1 06-02 07:49
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? Yes +3 $1 15¢ $1 $-0 05-30 19:50
Meta "Mango" model released by June 30? Yes -0 $1 12¢ $-0 $-1 05-30 16:47
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30? Yes +0 $5 $0 $-5 06-07 03:25