Sudden-Full — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$43

Unrealized P&L

-$30

Hit rate

89.7%

Resolved

277

Trades

440

lifetime

Volume

$25.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

$327

1 position

First seen

2026-02-17

last 08-27 09:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Other

34% 95% +$113

Politics

33% 84% -$182

Crypto

30% 64% +$105

Tech

2% 100% +$8

Sports

0% 67% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes		-345	-$297	95¢	$-327	-$30	05-12 03:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	2	$1.7K	976	963	+13	No	+$94	04-08 02:25
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	3	$1.1K	595	595	+0	No	+$81	03-30 00:48
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	2	$441	250	250	+0	No	+$41	07-22 16:19
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?	2	$428	465	465	+0	No	+$28	06-03 23:06
will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026 812	2	$416	222	222	+0	No	+$16	07-11 15:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	5	$410	225	225	+0	No	+$10	05-30 11:53
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 10	2	$403	207	207	+1	No	+$4	04-10 08:56
will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	2	$340	250	250	+0	No	+$140	08-20 06:00
Will Zach Wahls be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?	5	$302	156	156	+0	No	+$2	06-03 02:29
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	1	$297	0	345	-345	open	—	05-12 03:09
will bitcoin dip to 62k july 27 august 2 2026	3	$262	205	205	+0	No	+$74	08-01 12:44
bitcoin above 70k on april 8	1	$250	287	0	+287	Yes	+$37	04-08 02:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$203	104	104	+0	No	+$3	07-24 06:14
Will Michael BlackWolf be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana?	3	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	06-03 02:29
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on June 5?	3	$201	102	102	+0	No	+$1	06-05 05:37
Will Paloma Valencia win between 25% and 30% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?	3	$201	101	101	+0	No	+$1	06-01 04:44
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?	3	$201	103	103	+0	No	+$1	05-30 16:14
Will Iván Cepeda win less than 30% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?	4	$201	104	104	+0	No	+$1	05-31 12:28
will wti reach 105 by june 1 2026	3	$201	103	103	+0	No	+$1	06-05 03:30
Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	3	$200	104	104	+0	Yes	+$0	06-02 15:27
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	3	$200	101	101	+0	No	+$0	05-30 11:53
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	3	$200	103	103	+0	No	+$0	05-31 12:28
Will Iván Cepeda win between 50% and 55% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?	3	$195	102	102	+0	No	-$5	05-31 12:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?	1	$150	500	0	+500	Yes	-$150	06-02 15:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 June 1-7?	1	$150	273	0	+273	Yes	-$150	06-02 06:53
Will Strong Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	3	$149	107	54	+54	No	+$3	06-01 12:02
Will Josh Turek be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?	4	$148	105	53	+52	Yes	+$0	06-01 09:04
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?	2	$129	294	294	+0	No	+$29	06-02 07:04
will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	2	$128	185	185	+0	Yes	+$28	06-05 14:07
will bitcoin dip to 60k july 6 12 2026	2	$117	68	68	+0	No	+$17	07-11 15:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-27 09:02:52	Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	85	94¢	$80	0xa76967…
08-27 09:02:46	Will Jeromie Whalen be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x6aec5d…
08-26 09:02:25	Will Frank Klingebiel win the next Salzgitter mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xdaf687…
08-25 21:50:16	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	No	BUY	160	62¢	$100	0xe7671b…
08-25 09:02:16	Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x597ec9…
08-24 09:02:00	Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	No	BUY	82	92¢	$75	0x34b109…
08-22 09:01:46	Will Dan McKee win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x6c5326…
08-22 09:01:42	will tido parties win a majority in the 2026 swedish parliamentary elections 20260603233725849	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x1e53e8…
08-22 09:01:37	Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	109	91¢	$100	0x96e5c7…
08-21 09:02:22	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xa1615e…
08-21 09:02:16	Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xbb570c…
08-21 09:02:12	Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xe27afb…
08-20 09:02:45	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x384ad9…
08-20 09:02:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x828321…
08-20 09:02:33	Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xdb83f7…
08-20 09:02:28	Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xa5cc96…
08-20 09:02:22	Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x256627…
08-20 06:00:49	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	No	SELL	250	96¢	$240	0x11a3d0…
08-15 09:01:34	Will Dan Franzese be the FL-25 Republican nominee?	No	BUY	48	93¢	$45	0xb3c627…
08-15 09:01:30	Will Respublica win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x276228…
08-14 09:20:12	Will Tim Wilkins be the FL-11 Republican nominee?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xc8b43a…
08-14 09:20:06	Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?	Yes	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xd5583b…
08-14 09:20:00	Will Evan Power be the FL-02 Republican nominee?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xa4b522…
08-14 09:19:57	Will Adam Crum advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x166141…
08-08 09:02:16	Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x1ab604…
08-07 09:02:49	Will Michael Alfonso be the WI-07 Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	48	93¢	$45	0xca14bb…
08-07 09:02:39	Will Belinda Keiser be the FL-22 Republican nominee?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x244ecd…
08-06 09:02:12	Will Ken Welch win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xa79d9f…
08-06 09:02:06	Will Bale Dalton be the FL-07 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x8148d1…
08-06 09:02:00	Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?	Yes	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x5760ef…
08-06 09:01:53	Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?	Yes	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0xc79287…
08-05 08:14:27	Will Kaela Berg be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x84512e…
08-05 08:14:21	Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x210029…
08-04 09:02:30	Will Péter Bárándy be the next President of Hungary?	No	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0xce3be2…
08-04 09:02:15	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x79355f…
08-01 16:49:42	Will Jamie Hill be the MI-02 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xdb6cd4…
08-01 16:49:32	Will Tukaka George Tamarua Ama win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xe2c125…
08-01 16:49:21	Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x5dce1a…
08-01 16:49:14	Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x7b0c92…
08-01 12:57:29	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	No	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x27d956…
08-01 12:44:23	will bitcoin dip to 62k july 27 august 2 2026	No	SELL	205	82¢	$168	0x2c15ba…
08-01 12:05:24	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0xb02541…
07-31 14:20:44	will bitcoin dip to 62k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	152	46¢	$70	0x624741…
07-31 14:19:53	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 31 2026 20260714210303209	No	SELL	54	99¢	$54	0x91405b…
07-31 14:19:44	andrii sybiha appointed as ukrainian minister of foreign affairs by july 31 20260716170642931	No	SELL	54	99¢	$54	0xb7007c…
07-31 14:19:21	will bitcoin dip to 62k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	53	46¢	$24	0xfa8c45…
07-31 09:02:08	Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x774794…
07-30 09:04:57	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x21b754…
07-30 09:04:56	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in July?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xef252a…
07-29 09:01:51	Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xe94481…
07-28 11:09:38	Will Emily Berge be the WI-03 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x6dddc4…
07-25 09:02:13	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xdc27cf…
07-25 09:02:09	Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x836815…
07-24 09:02:07	Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	96	94¢	$90	0x799188…
07-24 09:01:57	Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xf63387…
07-24 06:14:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0x07e9da…
07-23 09:01:52	will trump speak to xi jinping in july 20260626154217426	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x52cc76…
07-23 09:01:48	Will Joan VonDras be the MO-02 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x82d75f…
07-23 09:01:43	andrii sybiha appointed as ukrainian minister of foreign affairs by july 31 20260716170642931	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x547257…
07-23 09:01:37	Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x82706c…
07-23 09:01:30	Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x505b97…
07-22 16:19:07	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	SELL	250	96¢	$241	0x4b22af…
07-22 16:18:52	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	No	BUY	150	67¢	$100	0x65ad81…
07-22 09:04:22	Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xde4855…
07-22 09:04:18	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 31 2026 20260714210303209	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x2d664c…
07-22 09:04:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xf6b768…
07-20 09:01:48	Will Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x0a3441…
07-18 09:01:49	will vucic officially leave office by july 31 20260629165804201	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xd45127…
07-17 09:01:42	israeli forces enter choukine by july 31	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x6c287e…
07-17 09:01:37	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xb8afd7…
07-16 09:02:29	Will Katherine Haley be the Arizona State Treasurer Republican nominee?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x37d7b6…
07-16 09:02:26	Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	Yes	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x2458d1…
07-15 09:02:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xcdf427…
07-13 09:02:08	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in June?	Yes	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xb6af44…
07-13 09:02:07	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.7% in June?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xa8f26b…
07-13 09:02:05	Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x4a18cf…
07-12 10:16:08	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x7dfde4…
07-12 10:16:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x0154d9…
07-12 09:03:19	Will Marlene Galán-Woods be the AZ-01 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x743fef…
07-12 09:03:16	Will Alexander Kolodin be the Arizona Secretary of State Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x091fdc…
07-12 09:03:14	Will Warren Petersen be the Arizona Attorney General Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x9b43f9…
07-12 09:03:13	Will Kai Newkirk be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x4b4a98…
07-12 09:03:05	Will Nito Abreu win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x2101ef…
07-11 15:18:01	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0x897f67…
07-11 15:06:58	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026 812	No	SELL	222	97¢	$216	0x5ab328…
07-11 15:06:56	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	68	99¢	$67	0x34746a…
07-11 14:24:23	Will Chris James be the AZ-05 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xee04c4…
07-07 06:02:08	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x1359e9…
07-06 09:02:29	Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x6196e5…
07-06 09:02:28	Will Beth Jones win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xafd2ae…
07-05 09:02:37	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x5bdc80…
07-04 09:03:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 5?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x5d4b08…
07-04 09:02:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 5?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x699aeb…
07-04 09:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 5?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x557eac…
07-03 20:53:01	will bitcoin reach 63k on july 3	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xe608af…
07-03 20:10:35	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 3	No	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0x3732fe…
07-03 17:17:37	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026	No	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x35dd09…
07-03 16:53:13	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 3	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x6fa6f2…
07-03 09:03:29	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 4?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x101d64…
07-03 09:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 4?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x8e8070…