Tense-Essence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$35

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

42.7%

Resolved

Trades

2,246

lifetime

Volume

$19.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-19

last 07-05 09:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

79% — —

Politics

16% 50% $-35

Other

5% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 189 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No		-7	$-3	60¢	$-4	$-2	06-04 00:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	14	$709	1,190	1,190	+0	open	—	05-01 07:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$669	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	05-02 00:08
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	8	$619	450	450	+0	open	—	04-30 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	3	$484	663	268	+395	open	—	04-27 06:02
btc updown 15m 1774253700	5	$411	227	226	+1	open	—	03-23 08:25
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	2	$391	200	200	+0	open	—	04-30 08:32
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	2	$323	50	550	-500	open	—	04-27 05:24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$312	600	600	+0	open	—	05-02 05:10
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	4	$306	235	235	+0	open	—	04-27 22:15
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	2	$288	800	800	+0	open	—	05-02 07:18
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on April 24?	2	$277	300	300	+0	open	—	04-24 11:06
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	6	$267	200	250	-50	Yes	$-35	04-28 07:38
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$253	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	04-29 21:19
btc updown 15m 1774699200	1	$236	429	0	+429	open	—	03-28 11:58
btc updown 15m 1774698300	3	$233	262	246	+15	open	—	03-28 11:56
btc updown 15m 1777032900	2	$224	133	131	+2	open	—	04-24 12:28
eth updown 15m 1774404900	2	$215	300	0	+300	open	—	03-25 02:27
btc updown 15m 1773967500	15	$208	211	208	+3	open	—	03-20 00:57
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	2	$199	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	04-28 04:58
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$176	100	100	+0	open	—	04-25 10:00
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	2	$176	200	200	+0	open	—	04-30 04:50
btc updown 15m 1774691100	2	$171	129	128	+2	open	—	03-28 09:47
btc updown 15m 1774141200	2	$167	138	136	+2	open	—	03-22 01:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	2	$162	200	200	+0	open	—	04-25 13:55
btc updown 15m 1774190700	3	$155	102	100	+2	open	—	03-22 14:53
btc updown 15m 1775345400	4	$147	98	96	+2	open	—	04-04 23:45
btc updown 15m 1774670400	3	$142	177	26	+151	open	—	03-28 04:09
btc updown 15m 1774696500	3	$130	153	0	+153	open	—	03-28 11:27
btc updown 15m 1774374300	1	$128	217	0	+217	open	—	03-24 17:45
btc updown 15m 1775300400	3	$127	111	108	+3	open	—	04-04 11:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 09:55:34	btc updown 15m 1783244700	Up	SELL	28	98¢	$28	0x3c52b3…
07-05 09:45:08	btc updown 15m 1783244700	Up	BUY	28	57¢	$16	0xc5a7c8…
07-05 09:30:08	btc updown 15m 1783243800	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x650198…
07-05 09:15:08	btc updown 15m 1783242900	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xbc2250…
07-05 09:00:11	btc updown 15m 1783242000	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xbecacd…
07-05 08:59:56	btc updown 15m 1783241100	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x9fe281…
07-05 08:45:08	btc updown 15m 1783241100	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1dd442…
07-05 08:30:08	btc updown 15m 1783240200	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x81bbdc…
07-05 08:15:17	btc updown 15m 1783239300	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x7f11d3…
07-05 08:15:01	btc updown 15m 1783238400	Down	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0x4cfc4c…
07-05 08:00:20	btc updown 15m 1783238400	Down	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0xb9450a…
07-05 07:45:14	btc updown 15m 1783237500	Down	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x99dac5…
07-05 07:15:16	btc updown 15m 1783235700	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xac66f9…
07-05 07:14:11	btc updown 15m 1783234800	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xb36a78…
07-05 07:00:13	btc updown 15m 1783234800	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x176fd8…
07-05 06:45:23	btc updown 15m 1783233900	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x09d4da…
07-05 06:42:28	btc updown 15m 1783233000	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x1859a8…
07-05 06:30:07	btc updown 15m 1783233000	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6fd5d4…
07-05 06:18:10	btc updown 15m 1783232100	Up	SELL	16	57¢	$9	0xa28be3…
07-05 06:15:13	btc updown 15m 1783232100	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xa40c3a…
07-05 06:00:23	btc updown 15m 1783231200	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xbc8acc…
07-05 05:45:50	btc updown 15m 1783230300	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc0f5af…
07-05 05:38:11	btc updown 15m 1783229400	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xbea129…
07-05 05:38:11	btc updown 15m 1783229400	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x0e295b…
07-05 05:30:20	btc updown 15m 1783229400	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xf38c50…
07-05 05:30:20	btc updown 15m 1783229400	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x766434…
07-05 05:18:04	btc updown 15m 1783228500	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbb5b63…
07-05 05:18:04	btc updown 15m 1783228500	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x05d235…
07-05 05:16:05	btc updown 15m 1783228500	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc68c7c…
07-05 05:12:38	btc updown 15m 1783227600	Down	BUY	88	99¢	$87	0x2e4c4f…
07-05 05:01:31	btc updown 15m 1783227600	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xd644dc…
07-05 04:30:44	btc updown 15m 1783225800	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa4c24a…
07-05 04:15:43	btc updown 15m 1783224900	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd0cabd…
07-05 04:04:52	btc updown 15m 1783224000	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1c8250…
07-05 04:00:49	btc updown 15m 1783224000	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x262797…
07-05 03:45:58	btc updown 15m 1783223100	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x293312…
07-05 03:45:31	btc updown 15m 1783223100	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xd832f4…
07-05 03:45:29	btc updown 15m 1783223100	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc34518…
07-05 03:45:20	btc updown 15m 1783223100	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xf63808…
07-05 03:30:19	btc updown 15m 1783222200	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd53e3b…
07-05 03:17:25	btc updown 15m 1783221300	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x27a4f4…
07-05 03:17:17	btc updown 15m 1783221300	Up	BUY	1	43¢	$1	0xcff6c1…
07-05 03:15:50	btc updown 15m 1783221300	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x7ef772…
07-05 03:00:37	btc updown 15m 1783220400	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x4e3778…
07-05 02:45:23	btc updown 15m 1783219500	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x16022b…
07-05 02:45:22	btc updown 15m 1783219500	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x908483…
07-05 02:45:22	btc updown 15m 1783219500	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x05e1c1…
07-05 02:45:17	btc updown 15m 1783219500	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe1938b…
07-05 02:32:32	btc updown 15m 1783218600	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x776aff…
07-05 02:32:32	btc updown 15m 1783218600	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x746f0a…
07-05 02:30:16	btc updown 15m 1783218600	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x98b936…
07-05 02:15:46	btc updown 15m 1783217700	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x62e4b5…
07-05 02:15:25	btc updown 15m 1783217700	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9256cb…
07-05 02:02:05	btc updown 15m 1783216800	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xce71ac…
07-05 02:02:05	btc updown 15m 1783216800	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2388b7…
07-05 02:00:26	btc updown 15m 1783216800	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x9b5aaa…
07-05 01:47:17	btc updown 15m 1783215900	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1dab74…
07-05 01:45:17	btc updown 15m 1783215900	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc541d1…
07-05 01:30:17	btc updown 15m 1783215000	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xac3bce…
07-04 18:24:38	btc updown 15m 1783188900	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xbff659…
07-04 18:15:08	btc updown 15m 1783188900	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x1bbe98…
07-04 18:00:41	btc updown 15m 1783188000	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xd71128…
07-04 16:12:40	btc updown 15m 1783180800	Down	SELL	29	98¢	$29	0x8d5dda…
07-04 16:00:11	btc updown 15m 1783180800	Down	BUY	29	55¢	$16	0x097348…
07-04 15:45:10	btc updown 15m 1783179900	Down	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x07df5d…
07-04 15:30:11	btc updown 15m 1783179000	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xf57e14…
07-04 15:15:26	btc updown 15m 1783178100	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xbfb3b7…
07-04 06:42:04	btc updown 15m 1783146600	Up	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xcde114…
07-04 06:30:08	btc updown 15m 1783146600	Up	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0x957807…
07-04 06:15:31	btc updown 15m 1783145700	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x1ad5ac…
07-04 06:00:10	btc updown 15m 1783144800	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x3acb85…
07-04 05:55:46	btc updown 15m 1783143900	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xd8124d…
07-04 05:45:23	btc updown 15m 1783143900	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xa051b8…
07-04 05:44:26	btc updown 15m 1783143000	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x797642…
07-04 05:30:16	btc updown 15m 1783143000	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xf2c956…
07-04 05:15:17	btc updown 15m 1783142100	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xa0da0c…
07-04 05:09:37	btc updown 15m 1783141200	Down	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0xa5461a…
07-04 05:00:16	btc updown 15m 1783141200	Down	BUY	29	56¢	$16	0x90d2b1…
07-04 04:45:10	btc updown 15m 1783140300	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xad0593…
07-04 04:30:07	btc updown 15m 1783139400	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x3a2bea…
07-04 04:15:07	btc updown 15m 1783138500	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x3ea935…
07-04 04:11:13	btc updown 15m 1783137600	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x2f2e0e…
07-04 04:00:13	btc updown 15m 1783137600	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x04a386…
07-04 03:56:07	btc updown 15m 1783136700	Down	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0xebd8ba…
07-04 03:45:07	btc updown 15m 1783136700	Down	BUY	32	51¢	$16	0xb2377a…
07-04 03:30:07	btc updown 15m 1783135800	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xc774e8…
07-04 03:15:07	btc updown 15m 1783134900	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xb8e8a1…
07-04 03:00:08	btc updown 15m 1783134000	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x390164…
07-03 11:50:13	btc updown 5m 1783079400	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x520b2b…
07-03 11:15:37	btc updown 5m 1783077300	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0x8bfa82…
07-03 10:52:20	btc updown 5m 1783075800	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x685452…
07-03 10:20:59	btc updown 5m 1783074000	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x39b7df…
07-02 13:15:23	btc updown 5m 1782998100	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1d22b8…
07-02 12:31:44	btc updown 5m 1782995400	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$2	0xdcddcc…
07-02 11:13:14	btc updown 5m 1782990600	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x05a109…
07-02 11:01:01	btc updown 5m 1782990000	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x138444…
07-02 10:43:28	btc updown 5m 1782988800	Up	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0x2cf48c…
07-02 10:06:58	btc updown 5m 1782986700	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x0520f7…
07-02 03:42:31	btc updown 5m 1782963600	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x7df904…
07-02 03:23:08	btc updown 5m 1782962400	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xd35ed8…