Excited-Sorbet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$93

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.9%

Resolved

425

Trades

436

lifetime

Volume

$9.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-29

last 07-21 03:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Crypto

42% 96% -$23

Other

42% 96% -$59

Politics

14% 91% +$16

Tech

1% 100% +$4

Sports

1% 33% -$30

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	2	$174	90	90	+0	open	—	06-16 07:02
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 1?	1	$100	101	0	+101	Yes	+$1	06-01 13:23
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 1?	1	$100	106	0	+106	No	+$6	06-01 14:23
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	1	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$2	05-31 11:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	1	$100	102	0	+102	Yes	+$2	06-01 14:00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 31?	1	$99	102	0	+102	Yes	+$3	05-31 13:49
Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?	3	$93	48	48	+0	Yes	-$2	07-21 03:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on June 1?	1	$87	90	0	+90	No	+$3	06-02 01:00
Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?	1	$82	83	0	+83	No	+$1	06-01 21:01
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	2	$79	42	42	+0	open	—	06-16 06:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?	1	$77	77	0	+77	No	+$0	06-01 03:23
Will the Democratic Party win 10 or fewer upper-level local government races?	1	$75	80	0	+80	No	+$5	06-02 23:23
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 31?	1	$71	71	0	+71	Yes	+$0	05-31 13:50
Will Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?	1	$70	71	0	+71	No	+$1	06-01 21:01
Will the People Power Party win 4 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?	1	$63	64	0	+64	Yes	-$63	06-02 21:23
Will the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?	2	$60	31	31	+0	No	-$1	07-16 12:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	1	$59	60	0	+60	No	+$1	05-31 15:23
Will the People Power Party win 5 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?	1	$59	59	0	+59	No	+$1	06-02 22:23
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 25-31?	1	$59	59	0	+59	No	+$0	06-01 03:23
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	1	$57	57	0	+57	No	+$0	06-01 09:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on June 1?	1	$57	58	0	+58	No	+$1	06-02 02:23
bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	1	$50	56	0	+56	Yes	+$6	06-04 13:54
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 1?	1	$49	50	0	+50	No	+$0	06-01 13:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 31?	1	$49	50	0	+50	No	+$0	05-31 15:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 1?	1	$48	49	0	+49	No	+$1	06-01 14:00
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	1	$48	52	0	+52	No	+$4	05-31 23:23
spy closes above 760 on june 4 2026	1	$48	49	0	+49	No	+$1	06-04 17:00
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	1	$47	48	0	+48	Yes	+$1	06-01 09:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 31?	1	$46	47	0	+47	Yes	+$1	05-31 15:23
Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?	1	$45	46	0	+46	Yes	+$1	06-01 21:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 03:30:43	Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?	Yes	SELL	43	95¢	$41	0xff1931…
07-16 12:06:38	Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xa8ab8e…
07-16 12:06:37	Will the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?	No	SELL	31	96¢	$30	0xc0021d…
07-16 12:06:37	Will the Ethiopian Citizens for Social Justice (EZEMA) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?	No	SELL	18	89¢	$16	0x040967…
06-21 16:27:50	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	21	93¢	$20	0x45002a…
06-21 16:27:47	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xf317e2…
06-18 17:30:52	googl close above 375 on june 18 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x04dacb…
06-18 17:30:47	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 19	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xa37c76…
06-18 16:43:37	spy closes above 740 on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2c5235…
06-18 15:44:01	meta close above 590 on june 18 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4e9bc0…
06-18 15:44:01	msft close above 370 on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x3ca846…
06-18 15:43:49	aapl close above 300 on june 18 2026	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xe01d49…
06-18 14:49:31	amzn close above 255 on june 18 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x12b2a3…
06-18 14:49:31	googl close above 380 on june 18 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0ffc30…
06-18 14:49:23	msft close above 400 on june 18 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xeaa83f…
06-18 14:49:22	amzn close above 235 on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x67ae66…
06-18 14:49:20	tsla close above 400 on june 18 2026	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x223be9…
06-18 14:01:20	amzn close above 245 on june 18 2026	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x7b885c…
06-18 14:01:19	spy closes above 755 on june 18 2026	No	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0x06895c…
06-18 14:01:17	meta close above 580 on june 18 2026	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x83188c…
06-18 14:01:16	Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?	Yes	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x30043c…
06-18 13:49:31	aapl close above 290 on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x981fa3…
06-18 13:49:20	aapl close above 305 on june 18 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x672bd7…
06-18 13:49:19	googl close above 370 on june 18 2026	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x839365…
06-18 12:49:23	will a new gemini flagship be released by june 19 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xfbd945…
06-18 12:49:22	Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x5e01d1…
06-18 12:49:19	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x6449ae…
06-18 12:49:17	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x7d73d4…
06-18 10:50:47	xrp above 1pt2 on june 18 2026	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x96c501…
06-18 09:50:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 18	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc9d97f…
06-18 09:50:44	solana above 70 on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x8c69a8…
06-18 07:50:35	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 18?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x7d772e…
06-18 06:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C or higher on June 18?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x846be6…
06-18 05:50:28	xrp above 1pt1 on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb6f475…
06-18 04:31:16	bitcoin above 62k on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x324bab…
06-18 03:32:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 18?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x7945fd…
06-18 00:35:49	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on June 18?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xcc48d0…
06-17 20:30:14	jefferson lerma 20260609175657518	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9445a2…
06-17 19:30:28	meta close above 610 on june 17 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x204a6c…
06-17 19:30:26	amzn close above 240 on june 17 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd5ada2…
06-17 18:30:26	tsla close above 410 on june 17 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x455d0f…
06-17 18:30:25	Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1.5% and 2%?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x3ddc1b…
06-17 18:30:23	spy closes above 755 on june 17 2026	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x1c8575…
06-17 17:30:22	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xff21f5…
06-17 17:01:29	googl close above 360 on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf576f6…
06-17 17:01:28	kobbie mainoo 20260609175104694	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xc1ac19…
06-17 17:01:25	Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be above 2%?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x45a2e0…
06-17 16:31:04	googl close above 380 on june 17 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x117630…
06-17 16:30:53	will solana reach 85 on june 17	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x866468…
06-17 16:30:52	will bitcoin reach 69k on june 17	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x25fef9…
06-17 16:30:50	will solana dip to 70 on june 17	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x277d29…
06-17 16:30:49	will xrp dip to 1pt15 on june 17	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa5859e…
06-17 16:30:46	will xrp reach 1pt3 on june 17	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9ab395…
06-17 16:30:44	will ethereum reach 1900 on june 17	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xef8f60…
06-17 16:30:43	msft close above 380 on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9ae868…
06-17 16:30:41	tsla close above 390 on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xfdb30c…
06-17 16:30:40	will warsh say rate or cut during june press conference 20260608181156651	Yes	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xe67ef6…
06-17 16:30:29	will ethereum dip to 1700 on june 17	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x601a22…
06-17 16:30:28	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x29b3b3…
06-17 16:30:26	will bitcoin dip to 64k on june 17	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x184887…
06-17 14:30:47	meta close above 570 on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd05513…
06-17 14:30:46	googl close above 375 on june 17 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9f3a51…
06-17 14:30:44	nvda close above 215 on june 17 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x79f948…
06-17 14:30:41	msft close above 400 on june 17 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2469a5…
06-17 14:30:40	aapl close above 290 on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x668a28…
06-17 14:30:38	amzn close above 235 on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7ae230…
06-17 14:30:37	aapl close above 295 on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x69f1a3…
06-17 14:30:35	aapl close above 305 on june 17 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x92b938…
06-17 14:30:34	meta close above 600 on june 17 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x9fca6a…
06-17 13:30:38	msft close above 410 on june 17 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x613bd4…
06-17 13:30:28	spy closes above 760 on june 17 2026	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xbdf473…
06-17 13:30:25	spy closes above 740 on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x9c16a2…
06-17 12:30:22	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 17?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x2492ce…
06-17 10:32:19	bitcoin above 66k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x2f1afa…
06-17 08:32:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 17	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x9ef4ec…
06-17 05:31:58	solana above 70 on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xbb2f5f…
06-17 04:37:17	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 17?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xcee57f…
06-17 04:37:16	bitcoin above 64k on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x714fe3…
06-17 04:37:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 17?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x9e87a9…
06-16 22:35:13	will ethereum dip to 1750 on june 16	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xf996aa…
06-16 22:35:11	Will two people dissent the June Fed decision?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xa0e557…
06-16 20:01:38	lionel messi 20260609174518093	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x370f03…
06-16 19:35:58	nicolas tagliafico 20260609174518086	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xfb2fe5…
06-16 19:35:56	msft close above 390 on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x9cee43…
06-16 19:35:53	will bitcoin reach 67k on june 16	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x131930…
06-16 18:36:02	will xrp dip to 1pt15 on june 16	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2b4cb6…
06-16 18:36:02	will solana dip to 70 on june 16	No	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0x1745b7…
06-16 18:36:01	will xrp reach 1pt3 on june 16	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x292bc2…
06-16 18:35:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x650659…
06-16 17:01:47	will bitcoin dip to 64k on june 16	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xf55605…
06-16 17:01:47	kylian mbappe 20260609174813075	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd95ed8…
06-16 16:36:02	jules kounde 20260609174813070	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xe181c0…
06-16 16:36:01	will ethereum reach 1850 on june 16	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x732777…
06-16 14:35:41	tsla close above 390 on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc80f8b…
06-16 14:35:40	nvda close above 205 on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe6aa62…
06-16 14:35:38	msft close above 400 on june 16 2026	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xd7fb83…
06-16 14:35:37	googl close above 365 on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x03bd00…
06-16 14:01:32	googl close above 360 on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x14a02e…
06-16 14:01:25	spy closes above 760 on june 16 2026	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x47718a…
06-16 14:01:23	tsla close above 400 on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xe3d622…