Realized P&L
+$145
Unrealized P&L
+$30
Hit rate
65.0%
Resolved
177
Trades
125,779
lifetime
Volume
$100.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$106
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-29 10:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Other
59% 48% +$20
Politics
22% 37% +$121
Sports
10% 36% +$31
Crypto
5% 29% $-22
Tech
3% 0% $-5
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 185 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No -176 $-14 12¢ $-20 $-7 06-23 01:41
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026? Yes +250 $2 $18 +$16 06-17 07:02
Will Jalen Carter be traded? Yes +81 $2 10¢ $8 +$6 06-18 04:13
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -44 $-2 13¢ $-6 $-3 06-07 22:08
Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +62 $1 $6 +$4 06-21 01:27
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes -112 $-9 $-5 +$4 06-23 15:45
Anthropic acquired before 2027? Yes +138 $3 $4 +$1 06-27 16:49
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +11 $2 34¢ $4 +$2 05-30 15:53
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? Yes -100 $-6 $-4 +$2 06-26 05:23
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes -19 $-1 15¢ $-3 $-2 05-29 09:23
Will EUR/USD hit 1.00 (Low) in 2026? Yes -72 $-5 $-3 +$3 06-27 00:40
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? Yes -95 $-4 $-3 +$2 06-25 13:19
Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -91 $-2 $-2 $-1 06-28 20:27
Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -27 $-2 $-2 $-1 06-23 20:57
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? Yes -37 $-3 $-2 +$1 06-02 08:50
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? Yes -18 $-2 10¢ $-2 $-0 06-27 10:03
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -32 $-3 $-2 +$1 06-15 16:43
Trump goes to space in 2026? Yes -83 $-3 $-1 +$2 06-12 00:00
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027? Yes +30 $1 $1 +$0 06-12 01:35
Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +26 $2 $1 $-1 06-12 19:04
Will QFEX launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $-2 15¢ $1 +$4 06-06 04:36
Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution? Yes -6 $-3 19¢ $-1 +$1 06-18 20:24
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.90% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 57¢ $1 +$1 06-02 02:37
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026? Yes -55 $-0 $-1 $-1 06-22 22:21
Brex IPO before 2027? Yes -73 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-17 23:02
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? Yes -7 $1 15¢ $-1 $-2 06-26 23:28
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? Yes +33 $2 $1 $-1 06-18 13:40
Will Gina Raimondo announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +24 $2 $1 $-1 06-02 23:51
StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch? Yes -23 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-24 08:04
Will the Chicago Cubs win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes -15 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-08 01:30