Realized P&L
+$845
Unrealized P&L
+$2.53K
Hit rate
66.6%
Resolved
7,215
Trades
146,724
lifetime
Volume
$281.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$11.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 17:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 289 days
Categories
Other
50% 42% +$1,470
Politics
39% 43% +$877
Tech
4% 42% -$720
Sports
4% 40% +$382
Crypto
3% 40% -$1,214
Pop-Culture
1% 37% +$50
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 280 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +4,830 $2,253 79¢ $3.8K +$1,563 10-28 21:24
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? Yes +3,275 $1,808 64¢ $2.1K +$305 10-28 20:23
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? Yes +3,968 $1,601 48¢ $1.9K +$324 10-26 08:58
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,807 $1,139 84¢ $1.5K +$370 10-28 21:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +800 $410 55¢ $436 +$26 09-18 12:37
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? Yes +3,043 $457 8¢ $259 -$198 10-23 14:38
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +827 $54 31¢ $257 +$203 10-16 08:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,364 $404 4¢ $223 -$181 09-26 10:35
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo Yes +7,222 $173 3¢ $209 +$37 10-29 16:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,000 $115 8¢ $150 +$35 10-19 02:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,500 $85 8¢ $127 +$42 10-17 12:41
ink fdv above 100m one day after launch No +100 $66 84¢ $84 +$18 08-16 01:45
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +395 $0 15¢ $61 +$61 06-20 14:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? Yes +100 $52 54¢ $54 +$2 09-16 14:07
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? Yes +5,951 $44 1¢ $51 +$6 10-25 13:41
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? Yes +19,597 $71 0¢ $39 -$32 10-29 14:34
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? Yes +24,034 $120 0¢ $36 -$84 10-25 12:50
ink fdv above 100m one day after launch Yes +100 $29 16¢ $16 -$13 08-15 15:37
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes +1,001 $8 1¢ $15 +$6 09-18 19:29
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? Yes +5,251 -$156 0¢ $13 +$169 10-25 13:40
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1,000 $47 1¢ $12 -$35 08-02 03:44
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +100 $13 9¢ $9 -$4 07-31 21:08
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $42 8¢ $8 -$34 09-17 16:42
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by October 31? Yes +35 $4 23¢ $8 +$5 10-02 08:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? Yes +1,248 $61 1¢ $7 -$55 10-09 10:26
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +443 $6 0¢ $2 -$4 06-22 15:21
Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes +249 $2 1¢ $1 $0 05-13 19:54
Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes -95 -$1 1¢ $-1 -$1 05-16 10:53
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? Yes +14 $1 8¢ $1 $0 06-22 06:36
Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31? Yes +429 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 06-04 17:33