Realized P&L
+$145
Unrealized P&L
-$266
Hit rate
65.0%
Resolved
177
Trades
125,779
lifetime
Volume
$100.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$433
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-29 10:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Other
59% 48% +$20
Politics
22% 37% +$121
Sports
10% 36% +$31
Crypto
5% 29% $-22
Tech
3% 0% $-5
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 531 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes -200 $-16 100¢ $-200 $-183 06-25 10:55
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No -56 $-5 100¢ $-56 $-51 06-12 16:22
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No -176 $-14 26¢ $-47 $-33 06-23 01:41
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? No -27 $-3 99¢ $-27 $-23 06-12 17:19
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes -112 $-9 $-9 $-0 06-23 15:45
Will Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026? Yes +767 $1 $7 +$6 06-25 19:24
Will EUR/USD hit 1.00 (Low) in 2026? Yes -72 $-5 $-6 $-1 06-27 00:40
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? Yes -95 $-4 $-6 $-2 06-25 13:19
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? Yes +667 $4 $6 +$2 06-28 22:04
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -44 $-2 13¢ $-6 $-3 06-07 22:08
Will US Bank fail by June 30, 2026? Yes +448 $2 $5 +$3 06-26 06:52
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? Yes -156 $-5 $-5 $-1 06-02 15:50
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +67 $1 $5 +$4 06-23 20:11
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? Yes -100 $-6 $-4 +$2 06-26 05:23
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30? Yes +882 $2 $4 +$2 06-25 13:51
Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? Yes +200 $3 $4 +$1 06-29 04:20
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +11 $2 38¢ $4 +$2 05-30 15:53
Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026? Yes +446 $1 $4 +$3 06-26 17:36
Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +62 $1 $4 +$2 06-21 01:27
Will Jalen Carter be traded? Yes +81 $2 $3 +$2 06-18 04:13
United x American Airlines merger/acquisition announced in 2026? Yes +191 $4 $3 $-1 06-25 19:20
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -32 $-3 $-2 +$0 06-15 16:43
Anthropic acquired before 2027? Yes +138 $3 $2 $-1 06-27 16:49
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes -19 $-1 11¢ $-2 $-1 05-29 09:23
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30? Yes +1,070 $-4 $2 +$6 06-29 03:57
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B? Yes +13 $2 16¢ $2 +$0 05-30 23:34
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes +666 $2 $2 +$0 06-20 22:17
Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -91 $-2 $-2 $-0 06-28 20:27
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? Yes +33 $2 $2 +$0 06-18 13:40
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? Yes -18 $-2 10¢ $-2 $-0 06-27 10:03