Realized P&L
+$889
Unrealized P&L
+$2.07K
Hit rate
66.6%
Resolved
7,205
Trades
146,697
lifetime
Volume
$279.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$10.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 11:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 287 days
Categories
Other
50% 42% +$1,514
Politics
39% 43% +$877
Tech
4% 42% -$720
Sports
4% 40% +$382
Crypto
3% 40% -$1,214
Pop-Culture
1% 37% +$50
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 280 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +4,830 $2,268 74¢ $3.6K +$1,330 10-23 21:10
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? Yes +3,968 $1,601 50¢ $2.0K +$403 10-26 08:58
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? Yes +3,175 $1,745 60¢ $1.9K +$177 10-27 06:29
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,557 $919 78¢ $1.2K +$303 10-22 22:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +800 $410 53¢ $424 +$14 09-18 12:37
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027 Yes +3,043 $457 10¢ $289 -$168 10-23 14:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,364 $404 4¢ $215 -$189 09-26 10:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,500 $85 11¢ $158 +$72 10-17 12:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,000 $115 8¢ $150 +$35 10-19 02:09
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +827 $54 13¢ $107 +$53 10-16 08:23
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo Yes +2,466 $82 4¢ $100 +$18 10-27 11:16
ink fdv above 100m one day after launch No +100 $66 81¢ $81 +$15 08-16 01:45
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? Yes +24,034 $120 0¢ $60 -$60 10-25 12:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? Yes +100 $52 49¢ $49 -$3 09-16 14:07
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? Yes +5,251 -$156 1¢ $45 +$200 10-25 13:40
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +395 $0 11¢ $44 +$44 06-20 14:02
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? Yes +5,951 $44 1¢ $33 -$12 10-25 13:41
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? Yes +19,807 $72 0¢ $30 -$42 10-18 00:28
ink fdv above 100m one day after launch Yes +100 $29 19¢ $19 -$10 08-15 15:37
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes +1,001 $8 2¢ $17 +$8 09-18 19:29
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1,000 $47 1¢ $14 -$32 08-02 03:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? Yes +1,248 $61 1¢ $13 -$48 10-09 10:26
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $42 9¢ $9 -$33 09-17 16:42
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by October 31? Yes +35 $4 20¢ $7 +$4 10-02 08:40
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +100 $13 6¢ $6 -$7 07-31 21:08
Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes -95 -$1 3¢ $-3 -$2 05-16 10:53
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +443 $6 0¢ $2 -$4 06-22 15:21
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — -943 -$2 0¢ $-1 +$0 06-07 10:58
Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — -882 -$2 0¢ $-1 +$0 06-14 01:57
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? Yes +14 $1 9¢ $1 $0 06-22 06:36