Lanky-Mosquito — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$166

Unrealized P&L

+$19

Hit rate

3.3%

Resolved

Trades

433

lifetime

Volume

$4.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 05-31 01:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

60% 100% +$10

Other

36% 0% $-176

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes		-50	$-25	12¢	$-6	+$19	05-31 01:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	11	$335	566	566	+0	open	—	04-07 22:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	12	$298	590	390	+200	open	—	04-21 14:37
netanyahu out by march 31 854	13	$272	5,698	1,843	+3,854	open	—	03-21 03:19
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	14	$210	4,266	2,569	+1,697	open	—	04-15 10:35
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	11	$191	271	244	+27	open	—	04-12 23:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$168	560	110	+450	open	—	05-28 00:57
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	7	$160	510	210	+300	open	—	04-20 07:48
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	11	$154	254	154	+100	open	—	04-20 07:45
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	10	$149	156	156	+0	open	—	04-07 22:56
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	12	$120	938	938	+0	open	—	04-01 00:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	3	$108	500	500	+0	open	—	04-21 23:21
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	2	$95	100	225	-125	open	—	04-15 13:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$94	300	100	+200	open	—	05-24 12:22
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	2	$82	100	100	+0	open	—	04-13 11:36
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	4	$82	148	148	+0	open	—	04-27 04:11
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$79	10,068	0	+10,068	No	$-79	04-21 05:43
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	3	$77	100	100	+0	open	—	04-19 23:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	2	$74	100	97	+3	open	—	04-19 09:43
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	2	$69	135	135	+0	open	—	01-26 01:20
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	7	$62	420	92	+328	open	—	04-20 09:10
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	8	$57	975	0	+975	Yes	$-57	04-15 23:28
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	7	$56	390	390	+0	open	—	03-29 23:24
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	6	$51	64	43	+20	open	—	02-12 08:03
Netanyahu out by April 30?	5	$49	585	585	+0	open	—	03-29 23:24
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$48	42	42	+0	open	—	04-07 22:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	3	$43	100	100	+0	open	—	04-19 09:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	2	$42	200	200	+0	open	—	04-19 09:42
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$40	11,431	0	+11,431	No	$-40	04-19 23:35
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$40	117	0	+117	open	—	01-30 03:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$37	32	32	+0	open	—	02-28 23:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 01:16:40	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0xe82490…
05-28 00:57:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0xb4a588…
05-27 06:25:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x92b2f7…
05-26 08:42:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xeb36bd…
05-25 09:58:44	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	Yes	BUY	56	4¢	$3	0xc6256e…
05-24 18:23:39	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	38	1¢	$0	0xf41f92…
05-24 16:30:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x5530af…
05-24 16:18:52	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x309d2e…
05-24 16:18:37	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	28	1¢	$0	0x41c607…
05-24 15:20:32	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x00a9d6…
05-24 14:47:14	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0x7730df…
05-24 14:25:21	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0xcd5e59…
05-24 14:14:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xbfa6ef…
05-24 14:12:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xebabb6…
05-24 14:08:25	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xf917b8…
05-24 13:55:56	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x616277…
05-24 13:50:20	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x8042c5…
05-24 12:38:19	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x6e226f…
05-24 12:22:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xe74995…
05-24 12:11:59	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x9a4a88…
05-24 11:24:31	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x0d4551…
05-24 11:24:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xafd2d9…
05-24 09:58:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xf0efe9…
05-24 08:53:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0xbf89df…
05-24 05:32:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	38¢	$11	0xcf063d…
05-24 00:21:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	81	67¢	$55	0x132b12…
05-22 08:22:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	15¢	$16	0xc711b8…
05-21 00:58:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	26	94¢	$25	0x3419ca…
05-19 22:43:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	SELL	46	18¢	$8	0xa1608e…
05-19 15:01:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0xb3bee3…
05-19 15:01:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	56	8¢	$4	0xf7bdf9…
05-19 15:01:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x1c51d2…
04-27 04:11:36	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0xe64534…
04-24 10:34:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x989cf0…
04-23 08:14:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x8b585d…
04-22 19:18:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	300	5¢	$15	0xd86c4b…
04-22 06:37:24	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xbe0338…
04-21 23:21:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	500	11¢	$55	0x306ac0…
04-21 14:37:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xf73d80…
04-21 05:43:30	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2,179	0¢	$9	0x984c96…
04-20 09:30:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x5694fc…
04-20 09:22:40	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	29¢	$24	0xfa7614…
04-20 09:14:20	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x72e99e…
04-20 09:10:58	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0xb5dc1b…
04-20 09:06:36	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0xb7f033…
04-20 07:48:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xfce1eb…
04-20 07:45:16	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	13	34¢	$4	0xbdd8c1…
04-20 07:42:36	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	87	34¢	$30	0x0652eb…
04-20 06:38:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x67b228…
04-20 05:59:40	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xe366dc…
04-19 23:35:30	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$30	0x28dea9…
04-19 23:22:00	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	17	20¢	$3	0xbff27a…
04-19 14:49:52	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x69a31f…
04-19 09:43:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	97	43¢	$42	0x95bacd…
04-19 09:42:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0x410d0d…
04-19 09:42:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	SELL	200	13¢	$25	0x3b62c8…
04-19 07:39:02	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x96071e…
04-19 07:36:20	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x3b9a14…
04-19 07:35:56	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0xba9ba1…
04-19 07:35:56	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x6ef017…
04-19 07:35:56	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x3dfebc…
04-19 06:03:18	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x4d9d46…
04-19 06:03:18	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x02e1c7…
04-19 06:03:06	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0xa8ea35…
04-19 06:03:06	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0x60551d…
04-19 06:03:04	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x9ccfaf…
04-19 06:03:04	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	314	2¢	$8	0x63b20f…
04-19 05:50:52	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x4f1f3b…
04-19 02:09:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x8d4939…
04-18 23:53:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	74	36¢	$27	0xd79e1c…
04-18 08:08:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x3d6698…
04-18 04:09:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0xa7ca23…
04-18 03:46:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x52f8f0…
04-18 03:46:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	85	17¢	$14	0xd0ac1e…
04-18 03:34:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	82	37¢	$30	0xe0a3c2…
04-18 03:33:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x55b07b…
04-18 03:31:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	107	31¢	$33	0xfdcb8f…
04-18 03:27:22	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2,886	1¢	$20	0xfee04f…
04-18 00:47:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xb88798…
04-18 00:08:50	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	SELL	92	26¢	$24	0x8da0fd…
04-18 00:07:46	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x5e33b8…
04-17 13:58:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	103	38¢	$39	0x6f6e05…
04-17 13:48:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	82	48¢	$39	0xa760df…
04-17 13:48:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	177	46¢	$82	0xece3cf…
04-16 13:11:10	megaeth fdv above 500m one day after launch	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xd4f2e0…
04-16 09:04:32	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x307999…
04-16 09:04:26	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x4823a6…
04-16 09:02:32	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	83	20¢	$17	0xab7a6e…
04-16 09:02:32	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	27	20¢	$5	0x0121e7…
04-16 07:11:30	megaeth fdv above 500m one day after launch	No	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0xb0e463…
04-16 07:01:36	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x39c086…
04-16 04:48:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	130	24¢	$31	0xd6d36b…
04-15 23:28:10	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0xe575bc…
04-15 23:28:10	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0x12f506…
04-15 23:27:46	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	92	6¢	$5	0x14b4d1…
04-15 23:27:24	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	91	6¢	$5	0xe0c770…
04-15 23:27:04	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	61	6¢	$4	0xf26c46…
04-15 23:19:04	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,431	1¢	$10	0xeda31e…
04-15 23:17:10	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5,003	1¢	$50	0xc6d33c…
04-15 23:14:54	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	447	6¢	$26	0xf94480…