Gullible-Adjective — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

-$30

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$212

8 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 06-05 17:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

83% 0% $-2

Politics

14% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	+125	$108	100¢	$125	+$17	06-03 04:40
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	+46	$40	80¢	$37	$-3	05-31 14:58
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	+28	$15	64¢	$18	+$3	05-31 20:56
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+45	$13	24¢	$11	$-2	06-01 17:18
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+28	$36	36¢	$10	$-25	06-03 11:46
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	+46	$5	20¢	$9	+$4	05-31 19:24
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?	Yes	-10	$-2	18¢	$-2	$-0	06-04 21:52
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	+125	$24	0¢	$0	$-24	06-03 03:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	8	$316	375	125	+250	open	—	06-03 04:40
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	2	$200	213	213	+0	open	—	05-29 20:05
will openais valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 538 161	5	$194	122	122	-0	open	—	06-05 17:06
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $312 in May?	2	$191	143	357	-214	open	—	05-26 19:17
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	11	$179	246	189	+57	open	—	06-03 11:46
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	2	$157	317	0	+317	open	—	05-31 19:57
will openais valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 882 628	5	$150	141	81	+59	open	—	06-10 00:18
Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	3	$140	250	250	+0	open	—	06-02 20:59
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	6	$136	183	61	+122	open	—	05-14 01:08
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	5	$117	170	53	+117	open	—	05-08 22:27
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	7	$64	62	52	+10	open	—	05-08 22:27
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	3	$55	116	0	+116	open	—	05-08 14:05
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?	3	$52	107	0	+107	Yes	$-2	05-05 10:41
Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	1	$50	119	0	+119	open	—	05-03 11:35
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	2	$45	92	0	+92	open	—	05-31 19:24
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	5	$43	93	0	+93	open	—	05-23 09:35
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	1	$27	59	0	+59	open	—	05-14 19:47
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	1	$26	57	0	+57	open	—	05-19 13:30
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	1	$25	58	0	+58	open	—	05-08 14:38
Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	2	$23	46	0	+46	open	—	05-23 11:22
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	1	$16	0	57	-57	open	—	06-03 07:04
will openais valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 937 533	1	$15	0	22	-22	open	—	06-03 19:41
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	1	$13	45	0	+45	open	—	06-01 17:18
Will Hannover 96 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	1	$11	23	0	+23	open	—	05-12 01:44
Will Millwall achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	2	$9	27	0	+27	No	$-6	05-11 20:34
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	06-02 19:31
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?	1	$2	0	10	-10	open	—	06-04 21:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 00:18:45	will openais valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 882 628	No	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0x720d57…
06-10 00:16:58	will openais valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 882 628	No	SELL	38	61¢	$23	0x4d7b0d…
06-10 00:08:00	will openais valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 882 628	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x4d0706…
06-09 20:33:21	will openais valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 882 628	No	SELL	15	61¢	$9	0xe60e9a…
06-05 17:06:36	will openais valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 538 161	No	SELL	122	77¢	$94	0x86de5e…
06-04 21:52:03	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x084a59…
06-03 19:41:16	will openais valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 937 533	No	SELL	22	69¢	$15	0x05f367…
06-03 11:46:50	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	34¢	$20	0x847f23…
06-03 11:36:27	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	34¢	$10	0xba76e8…
06-03 10:01:00	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	34¢	$6	0x23e5d1…
06-03 07:04:36	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	SELL	57	28¢	$16	0xb0baaf…
06-03 05:35:14	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xc6b923…
06-03 05:35:12	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x2246cc…
06-03 05:35:05	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x295450…
06-03 05:35:00	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xc8b652…
06-03 04:40:22	Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	29	80¢	$23	0xd8740c…
06-03 04:40:22	Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xc347df…
06-03 04:40:22	Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	76	80¢	$61	0x580a23…
06-03 03:14:14	Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0xd9672e…
06-03 03:13:37	Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xc32cc5…
06-03 01:58:57	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xeeb960…
06-02 20:59:07	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	250	16¢	$40	0x59fc22…
06-02 20:48:09	Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	26	74¢	$19	0x1ba103…
06-02 20:06:51	Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	99	74¢	$73	0x5f3980…
06-02 19:31:43	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x80a4a8…
06-01 17:18:07	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	29¢	$13	0x626d79…
05-31 21:19:58	Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xb6144a…
05-31 20:56:33	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x8ef05a…
05-31 20:21:42	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	53¢	$9	0xe4ec75…
05-31 20:10:09	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x657ffa…
05-31 19:57:57	Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	159	36¢	$57	0x10cc90…
05-31 19:24:23	Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xda7a20…
05-31 19:24:09	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	46	10¢	$5	0x0084b3…
05-31 17:26:47	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	40¢	$7	0x1b7b90…
05-31 17:26:42	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	234	40¢	$93	0x1e8612…
05-31 14:58:16	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	46	88¢	$40	0x80abf0…
05-29 20:05:32	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	213	47¢	$100	0xa23623…
05-29 08:43:23	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	No	BUY	72	82¢	$59	0xd7b2df…
05-29 08:18:25	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x13a540…
05-29 08:11:34	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	No	BUY	25	82¢	$20	0x9d6d07…
05-29 07:23:46	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xabc514…
05-29 00:16:04	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xd3c79c…
05-28 19:55:33	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	No	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xf9b07c…
05-28 16:59:26	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x589499…
05-26 19:17:47	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $312 in May?	Yes	BUY	143	59¢	$84	0x87a2da…
05-23 21:50:08	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $312 in May?	No	SELL	357	30¢	$107	0x40a5e1…
05-23 11:22:09	Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	23	36¢	$8	0xae53e0…
05-23 11:00:48	Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	23	63¢	$15	0xf89947…
05-23 09:35:27	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x7f9ee9…
05-22 22:50:52	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0x411212…
05-19 13:30:16	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	Yes	BUY	57	46¢	$26	0xd2f255…
05-14 19:47:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	Yes	BUY	59	46¢	$27	0x726c5f…
05-14 01:08:00	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	No	SELL	61	62¢	$38	0x62ca69…
05-14 01:01:37	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	No	BUY	61	63¢	$39	0x15007e…
05-12 01:44:52	Will Hannover 96 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	23	50¢	$11	0x6582a7…
05-11 20:34:22	Will Millwall achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x952f15…
05-11 20:23:15	Will Millwall achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	24	28¢	$7	0x5d3c6e…
05-11 18:15:21	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0x210584…
05-11 17:55:50	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x470682…
05-11 17:45:40	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	40¢	$13	0x329e64…
05-11 16:06:16	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	No	BUY	61	70¢	$43	0xb61bd3…
05-08 22:27:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x113b17…
05-08 22:27:29	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	No	BUY	55	74¢	$41	0x51a083…
05-08 17:19:29	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0xb1a02a…
05-08 14:38:50	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x3be853…
05-08 14:29:53	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	Yes	BUY	58	33¢	$19	0xd5c6f7…
05-08 14:29:53	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	No	SELL	53	67¢	$36	0xd5c6f7…
05-08 14:05:37	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	No	BUY	57	56¢	$32	0x8e6e2c…
05-08 12:10:33	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x38f43c…
05-08 11:10:34	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	Yes	BUY	48	28¢	$13	0x24241d…
05-08 01:33:07	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xff2765…
05-07 22:00:21	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0xe41fac…
05-05 14:01:06	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x042787…
05-05 14:01:00	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	No	SELL	32	55¢	$18	0xb56709…
05-05 10:41:30	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?	No	BUY	41	53¢	$22	0xb39f72…
05-05 07:20:52	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?	No	BUY	16	53¢	$9	0x7638a0…
05-05 07:10:02	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0xce3409…
05-04 08:14:40	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	No	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xb2e18c…
05-04 08:07:32	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	No	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x6f4561…
05-04 07:30:32	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	No	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xcad49a…
05-04 05:41:34	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	No	BUY	14	60¢	$9	0x7d4ef2…
05-04 02:47:32	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd43a9e…
05-03 21:36:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	No	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xd031e6…
05-03 11:35:14	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x85dc67…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	25	$30.3K	829	06-10 00:48
Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00	24	$10.6K	131	06-09 14:05
Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b	22	$10.8K	255	06-09 20:54
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	21	$216.6K	1,750	06-10 00:48
(anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8	21	$5.54K	259	06-09 17:33
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	20	$3.75K	435	06-09 22:30
Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4	19	$14.6K	128	06-09 17:48
Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0	19	$3.78K	315	06-09 21:50