Vibrant-Dragonfly — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$89

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

Trades

3,456

lifetime

Volume

$264.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$77

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 08-12 12:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

61% 0% $-65

Sports

37% 76% $-23

Politics

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	53	$6.3K	5,548	4,648	+900	open	—	08-01 03:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	45	$5.3K	4,260	3,570	+690	open	—	07-06 23:30
ncaa tournament no 15 seed to win a game	24	$4.3K	2,302	2,302	-0	open	—	03-21 02:30
nba hou phx 2026 04 07 spread away 1pt5	30	$4.1K	3,879	3,879	+0	open	—	04-08 05:17
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	98	$3.7K	3,729	3,698	+31	Down	$-38	05-07 15:40
cbb stlou ga 2026 03 19	8	$3.1K	1,569	1,569	+0	open	—	03-20 03:37
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	30	$3.1K	2,640	1,888	+752	open	—	08-08 15:26
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	28	$3.0K	2,209	2,445	-236	open	—	07-07 00:53
spy up or down on june 12 2026	23	$2.8K	3,448	1,250	+2,198	open	—	06-12 13:57
cbb ala mich 2026 03 27 total 172pt5	6	$2.8K	3,188	2,388	+800	open	—	03-27 09:25
nhl car ott 2026 04 05	4	$2.4K	1,194	1,194	+0	open	—	04-05 23:27
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	30	$2.2K	1,260	1,260	+0	open	—	08-08 11:36
atp shapova blockx 2026 04 06	32	$2.1K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	04-06 13:24
nhl sea col 2026 04 16 spread home 1pt5	19	$2.1K	4,190	0	+4,190	open	—	04-17 04:39
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	42	$2.0K	2,322	1,642	+679	open	—	08-11 09:33
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	12	$2.0K	1,050	1,050	+0	open	—	08-01 13:32
cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	2	$2.0K	1,000	3,000	-2,000	open	—	04-05 01:11
nba cha bos 2026 04 07 total 219pt5	7	$1.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-07 06:30
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	18	$1.8K	980	980	+0	open	—	07-04 13:14
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	16	$1.8K	1,250	1,250	+0	open	—	07-08 22:49
spy up or down on june 18 2026	15	$1.7K	1,175	1,175	+0	open	—	06-18 14:06
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	14	$1.7K	877	877	+0	open	—	06-27 01:43
nhl wsh cbj 2026 04 14 total 4pt5	2	$1.6K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	04-14 23:57
will cape verde reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134498	18	$1.6K	819	819	+0	open	—	07-04 00:08
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5	6	$1.5K	1,161	1,099	+62	open	—	05-24 02:30
nhl sj chi 2026 04 15	2	$1.5K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	04-16 01:31
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	16	$1.5K	1,363	1,219	+144	open	—	08-07 07:39
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	23	$1.4K	1,100	1,100	+0	Colorado Rockies	+$11	05-13 15:14
spx opens up or down on february 23 2026	21	$1.4K	800	800	+0	open	—	02-23 14:06
wti up or down on june 18 2026	29	$1.4K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	06-18 15:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 13:01:30	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	52	78¢	$40	0x9550b5…
08-12 13:01:25	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	58	78¢	$45	0xd8c7dd…
08-12 12:57:18	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0xf6b383…
08-12 12:57:15	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x843530…
08-12 12:57:13	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0xb5bdb1…
08-12 12:07:03	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xe48142…
08-12 09:23:45	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	80	69¢	$55	0xa2841b…
08-12 07:43:36	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x3226d1…
08-12 07:11:55	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0x6a868b…
08-12 07:11:25	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x5adc76…
08-12 07:11:24	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	105	5¢	$5	0x5a4278…
08-12 07:11:19	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xe3bd76…
08-12 07:11:19	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9e484a…
08-12 07:11:18	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xdf5928…
08-12 01:32:18	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	No	BUY	70	67¢	$47	0x460de9…
08-12 00:59:21	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	110	80¢	$88	0x40432a…
08-11 20:38:24	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	59	4¢	$2	0xc2d3fd…
08-11 09:33:06	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	14	75¢	$10	0xce9347…
08-11 08:18:33	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	BUY	68	82¢	$56	0x490bcb…
08-11 05:53:13	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	28	67¢	$19	0x2ed61e…
08-11 05:53:12	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x734168…
08-11 05:51:43	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	29	67¢	$19	0x9c4d74…
08-11 05:50:07	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	17	67¢	$11	0x56a976…
08-11 05:43:24	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x903147…
08-11 04:35:22	will ohio stpt make college football playoff semifinals 20260803204732767	Yes	BUY	68	49¢	$33	0x18a910…
08-11 01:00:43	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	110	53¢	$58	0x8b8ed1…
08-10 12:31:22	mlb tb nyy 2026 05 23	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x670526…
08-10 12:29:46	mlb tb nyy 2026 05 23	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x8048ab…
08-09 17:44:22	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0x62e642…
08-09 06:09:46	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	97	49¢	$48	0x016eeb…
08-09 05:36:39	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x91b519…
08-08 16:26:25	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	205	57¢	$117	0xf9a612…
08-08 16:09:22	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	15	57¢	$9	0xb062c4…
08-08 15:44:58	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741055	No	SELL	68	84¢	$57	0xd400ba…
08-08 15:26:58	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	210	82¢	$172	0xc4d208…
08-08 15:22:52	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	SELL	13	66¢	$9	0x910c19…
08-08 14:37:54	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	110	56¢	$61	0x1cf771…
08-08 14:17:49	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	110	55¢	$61	0xb4925c…
08-08 11:36:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	210	88¢	$185	0x9d6da6…
08-08 11:28:22	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	SELL	49	66¢	$32	0x436a99…
08-08 05:59:00	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0xc3fb01…
08-08 02:02:48	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0xdc26b4…
08-07 21:07:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	210	88¢	$185	0xbdd268…
08-07 19:12:18	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0xfd52e3…
08-07 18:48:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	53	86¢	$45	0x7f421d…
08-07 18:38:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xe2bdb0…
08-07 18:32:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	143	86¢	$123	0xd1e25e…
08-07 18:32:13	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xb62579…
08-07 18:22:00	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	210	86¢	$181	0x769e5f…
08-07 18:15:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xed4867…
08-07 08:20:15	will north carolina stpt make the 2027 college football playoff national championship game 20260803190747187	No	BUY	110	97¢	$107	0xb50af4…
08-07 08:15:22	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	BUY	68	65¢	$44	0x56a7a7…
08-07 07:39:18	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	30	77¢	$23	0xbeec78…
08-07 07:34:33	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	SELL	104	68¢	$71	0x9b893f…
08-07 07:17:37	will north carolina stpt make the 2027 college football playoff national championship game 20260803190747187	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x0a0eab…
08-07 06:09:57	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x70ab71…
08-06 21:18:44	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	69	77¢	$53	0xd36331…
08-06 18:02:12	will vanderbilt make the 2027 college football playoff national championship game 20260803190747191	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x75092d…
08-06 16:39:26	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742049	No	SELL	68	95¢	$64	0xc84ab6…
08-06 16:37:15	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0x33c6d2…
08-06 16:34:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x4952cc…
08-06 16:33:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	116	86¢	$100	0xa7cb79…
08-06 16:33:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0xba3375…
08-06 16:31:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	43	86¢	$37	0xd6b656…
08-06 16:31:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x78dcde…
08-06 16:30:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0xbecde3…
08-06 16:29:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0x336973…
08-06 16:28:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x4e694f…
08-06 16:27:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0x71f878…
08-06 16:26:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	43	86¢	$37	0x443c63…
08-06 15:37:27	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	120	85¢	$102	0xa069c8…
08-06 15:08:33	will arizona stpt make the 2027 college football playoff national championship game 20260803190747186	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x98d5f8…
08-06 15:07:30	will miami oh make the 2027 college football playoff national championship game 20260803190747181	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x9fa8ea…
08-06 13:01:36	will james madison make the 2027 college football playoff national championship game 20260803190747167	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x69063d…
08-06 12:51:56	will ohio stpt have an undefeated cfb regular season 20260804202438636	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xf505d3…
08-06 12:40:11	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	120	84¢	$101	0x64e1b6…
08-06 12:26:39	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741056	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0xde1d7e…
08-06 12:26:24	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741056	Yes	BUY	70	8¢	$6	0x85fb91…
08-06 12:00:21	will vanderbilt make the 2027 college football playoff national championship game 20260803190747191	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xc9746e…
08-06 11:55:50	will alabama make the 2027 college football playoff national championship game 20260803190747155	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x69d55c…
08-06 11:39:38	will tulane make the 2027 college football playoff national championship game 20260803190747193	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xaf8762…
08-06 11:38:29	will miami oh make the 2027 college football playoff national championship game 20260803190747181	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x2a0032…
08-06 11:36:08	will james madison make the 2027 college football playoff national championship game 20260803190747167	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x3d38c3…
08-06 11:34:06	will arizona stpt make the 2027 college football playoff national championship game 20260803190747186	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x904677…
08-06 11:34:00	will arizona stpt make the 2027 college football playoff national championship game 20260803190747186	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x062462…
08-06 11:16:05	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	SELL	28	70¢	$20	0xbab119…
08-06 08:55:59	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0xdffa7d…
08-06 07:02:11	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	210	89¢	$188	0xab2eda…
08-06 03:41:41	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x6afa76…
08-06 03:40:47	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	BUY	21	66¢	$14	0xace75d…
08-05 19:37:35	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	68	62¢	$42	0xf9ad16…
08-05 14:11:14	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	No	BUY	55	93¢	$51	0x6da8fb…
08-05 12:22:41	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xa1d681…
08-05 07:41:44	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	310	79¢	$245	0x3e5eef…
08-05 02:29:17	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742049	No	BUY	68	88¢	$60	0x183d32…
08-05 02:24:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	210	83¢	$174	0xb1b634…
08-05 00:21:18	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	BUY	23	58¢	$13	0x0c8838…
08-05 00:18:05	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xbcae72…
08-04 16:48:57	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	BUY	58	65¢	$38	0x59ce64…
08-04 15:36:05	mlb tb nyy 2026 05 23	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x26ce5a…