Vibrant-Dragonfly — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.65K

Unrealized P&L

-$221

Hit rate

67.7%

Resolved

1,188

Trades

6,682

lifetime

Volume

$359.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

$504

13 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 10-27 05:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 183 days

Categories

Other

63% 83% -$2,124

Sports

30% 69% -$249

Politics

6% 58% -$293

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% 67% +$16

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 166 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	+656	$309	34¢	$226	-$83	10-01 01:29
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	+6,352	$222	3¢	$181	-$41	10-26 02:19
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	+440	$56	8¢	$33	-$23	09-11 18:44
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	+80	$16	34¢	$28	+$12	09-23 19:52
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	+143	$42	8¢	$12	-$30	07-28 10:07
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+81	$12	10¢	$8	-$4	07-05 09:56
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+68	$7	9¢	$6	-$1	10-14 05:06
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+58	$91	6¢	$4	-$87	10-18 22:10
Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	+38	$7	8¢	$3	-$4	09-15 08:25
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	+7	-$7	28¢	$2	+$9	10-23 18:17
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	+1	-$16	92¢	$1	+$17	08-07 07:39
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	+0	-$1	97¢	$0	+$1	10-21 12:47
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	+0	-$10	3¢	$0	+$10	10-24 00:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	54	$6.5K	5,548	4,848	+700	No	-$21	08-01 03:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	48	$5.5K	4,260	3,784	+477	No	+$3	07-06 23:30
ncaa tournament no 15 seed to win a game	24	$4.3K	2,302	2,302	-0	No	-$54	03-21 02:30
nba hou phx 2026 04 07 spread away 1pt5	30	$4.1K	3,879	3,879	+0	Rockets	+$43	04-08 05:17
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	103	$4.0K	4,331	3,698	+633	Down	-$46	05-07 15:40
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	35	$3.8K	2,918	2,918	+0	open	—	09-16 01:36
will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	65	$3.3K	2,205	2,205	+0	No	-$70	09-29 13:45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	31	$3.3K	1,780	1,780	+0	Yes	+$41	09-26 22:24
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	34	$3.2K	2,513	2,513	+0	No	+$18	07-07 00:53
cbb stlou ga 2026 03 19	8	$3.1K	1,569	1,569	+0	Saint Louis Billikens	+$5	03-20 03:37
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	34	$3.0K	1,680	1,680	+0	No	+$18	08-13 06:11
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	59	$3.0K	2,784	2,784	+0	open	—	08-26 22:50
spy up or down on june 12 2026	23	$2.8K	3,448	1,250	+2,198	Up	-$78	06-12 13:57
cbb ala mich 2026 03 27 total 172pt5	6	$2.8K	3,188	2,388	+800	Under	+$20	03-27 09:25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	27	$2.7K	2,506	1,543	+963	No	-$6	07-29 09:55
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	56	$2.5K	2,470	2,260	+210	Yes	-$94	09-17 23:13
nhl car ott 2026 04 05	4	$2.4K	1,194	1,194	+0	Senators	+$12	04-05 23:27
atp shapova blockx 2026 04 06	32	$2.1K	2,200	2,200	+0	Alexander Blockx	-$6	04-06 13:24
nhl sea col 2026 04 16 spread home 1pt5	19	$2.1K	4,190	0	+4,190	Avalanche	+$14	04-17 04:39
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	12	$2.0K	1,050	1,050	+0	No	+$16	08-01 13:32
cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	2	$2.0K	1,000	3,000	-2,000	Michigan Wolverines	-$1,020	04-05 01:11
nba cha bos 2026 04 07 total 219pt5	7	$1.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	Under	+$0	04-07 06:30
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	18	$1.8K	980	980	+0	No	+$7	07-04 13:14
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	16	$1.8K	1,250	1,250	+0	No	+$30	07-08 22:49
spy up or down on june 18 2026	15	$1.7K	1,175	1,175	+0	Up	+$20	06-18 14:06
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	14	$1.7K	877	877	+0	No	+$9	06-27 01:43
nhl wsh cbj 2026 04 14 total 4pt5	2	$1.6K	1,500	1,500	+0	Under	-$28	04-14 23:57
will cape verde reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134498	18	$1.6K	819	819	+0	No	+$9	07-04 00:08
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5	6	$1.5K	1,161	1,099	+62	Over	+$13	05-24 02:30
nhl sj chi 2026 04 15	2	$1.5K	1,100	1,100	+0	Blackhawks	+$0	04-16 01:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 09:09:30	Will the season series between the Ravens and Browns end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x242689…
10-27 08:47:00	Will the season series between the Ravens and Browns end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x1f2009…
10-27 08:46:44	Will the season series between the Ravens and Browns end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xa4465b…
10-27 08:44:56	Will the season series between the Ravens and Browns end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xb4f86d…
10-27 08:13:09	Will the season series between the Ravens and Browns end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x6406b6…
10-27 05:46:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?	No	SELL	16	95¢	$16	0x1fd822…
10-27 05:18:39	Will Utah Utes Win the 2026 Big 12 Championship?	Yes	SELL	27	33¢	$9	0x92243e…
10-27 03:12:26	Will Western Michigan Broncos Win the 2026 MAC Championship?	Yes	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0x852b02…
10-27 03:12:26	Will Western Michigan Broncos Win the 2026 MAC Championship?	Yes	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0x7e0eef…
10-27 03:12:24	Will Western Michigan Broncos Win the 2026 MAC Championship?	Yes	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0x529e58…
10-27 01:42:56	Will Nate Sheppard be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	Yes	SELL	68	21¢	$14	0xfe1a7a…
10-26 21:13:24	Will Ohio Bobcats Win the 2026 MAC Championship?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x2c3d58…
10-26 21:13:18	Will Ohio Bobcats Win the 2026 MAC Championship?	Yes	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x650bf2…
10-26 20:04:08	Will Oregon have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0xf5a4d5…
10-26 17:48:24	Will Oregon have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	32	63¢	$20	0x1eb70a…
10-26 17:26:39	Will Kansas State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	28	73¢	$20	0xe488ed…
10-26 17:26:21	Will Colorado have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0x326f31…
10-26 17:11:17	Will Baylor have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	120	98¢	$118	0x5bde81…
10-26 13:59:50	Will Ohio Bobcats Win the 2026 MAC Championship?	Yes	BUY	68	20¢	$14	0xf64037…
10-26 11:23:41	Will Oregon have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0xfaf5ad…
10-26 10:38:54	Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	68	88¢	$60	0x62b1ba…
10-26 08:05:32	Will Western Michigan Broncos Win the 2026 MAC Championship?	Yes	SELL	33	30¢	$10	0x27b3e6…
10-26 07:04:06	Will Texas State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xeea876…
10-26 05:41:14	Will Colorado have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xe8b3c7…
10-26 03:27:35	Will Colorado have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x6f0c01…
10-26 03:03:59	Will Bijan Robinson have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xec455a…
10-26 03:03:54	Will Bijan Robinson have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x608d1a…
10-26 02:34:02	Will Oregon have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x919d13…
10-26 02:28:54	Will Oregon have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	68	57¢	$39	0xa30f24…
10-26 02:21:44	Will Oregon have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xdf56e2…
10-26 02:21:35	Will Oregon have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	60	89¢	$53	0x85e2aa…
10-26 02:21:17	Will Oregon have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	85	89¢	$76	0x2800a2…
10-26 02:19:00	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	155	2¢	$3	0xab9ee3…
10-26 02:14:54	Will Cam Cook be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	Yes	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0xb80b22…
10-26 01:56:27	Will Nate Sheppard be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xbafbcb…
10-26 01:56:17	Will Nate Sheppard be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0xfc0538…
10-26 01:56:06	Will Nate Sheppard be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x640a8e…
10-26 01:55:57	Will Nate Sheppard be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	Yes	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x564cc5…
10-26 01:55:39	Will Nate Sheppard be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xa78dce…
10-26 01:27:09	Will Nate Sheppard be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xc790fb…
10-26 01:27:05	Will Cam Cook be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	Yes	BUY	68	15¢	$10	0x2f06b2…
10-26 01:26:42	Will DeSean Bishop be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	Yes	BUY	68	23¢	$16	0x907ac8…
10-26 01:08:45	Will Kansas State have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x5ab97f…
10-26 01:03:51	Will Ohio Bobcats Win the 2026 MAC Championship?	Yes	BUY	44	21¢	$9	0xd0b19c…
10-26 00:14:50	Will Toledo Rockets Win the 2026 MAC Championship?	Yes	SELL	80	27¢	$22	0xe79fe5…
10-26 00:14:29	Will Ohio Bobcats Win the 2026 MAC Championship?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7a5d89…
10-26 00:14:29	Will Western Michigan Broncos Win the 2026 MAC Championship?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x233a1c…
10-25 23:13:42	Will UTSA Roadrunners Win the 2026 American Conference?	Yes	SELL	28	31¢	$9	0xac6d2b…
10-25 21:55:27	Will Dak Prescott be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x07e9e3…
10-25 21:55:21	Will Dak Prescott be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xc8fc73…
10-25 21:54:32	Will Dak Prescott be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	88	98¢	$87	0x57380f…
10-25 21:54:02	Will Jordan Love be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x044087…
10-25 21:53:51	Will Jordan Love be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x5bd24c…
10-25 20:01:15	Will Florida State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	16	69¢	$11	0x54d871…
10-25 20:01:11	Will Florida State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x42748f…
10-25 19:41:50	Will the season series between the Dolphins and Jets end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	68	52¢	$35	0xa1729c…
10-25 16:06:12	Will Ohio Bobcats Win the 2026 MAC Championship?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x45aa8a…
10-25 16:05:54	Will Ohio Bobcats Win the 2026 MAC Championship?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x952f67…
10-25 15:23:00	Will Colorado have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	16	89¢	$15	0x6e15a2…
10-25 14:50:05	Will DeSean Bishop be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	Yes	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0xacabdc…
10-25 14:48:33	Will Toledo Rockets Win the 2026 MAC Championship?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x54fce2…
10-25 14:26:03	Will Utah have an undefeated CFB regular season?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xa92e06…
10-25 13:23:59	Will Utah Utes Win the 2026 Big 12 Championship?	Yes	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0x136bed…
10-25 13:10:39	Will Ohio Bobcats Win the 2026 MAC Championship?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x5ca87a…
10-25 10:16:09	Will the season series between the Ravens and Browns end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0x627126…
10-25 08:50:27	Will Ohio Bobcats Win the 2026 MAC Championship?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x76eb25…
10-25 08:50:17	Will Ohio Bobcats Win the 2026 MAC Championship?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x1b2222…
10-25 08:49:48	Will Ohio Bobcats Win the 2026 MAC Championship?	Yes	BUY	41	17¢	$7	0x56a443…
10-25 08:49:35	Will Ohio Bobcats Win the 2026 MAC Championship?	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x65f7e9…
10-25 08:49:29	Will Ohio Bobcats Win the 2026 MAC Championship?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$7	0x65f486…
10-25 08:49:23	Will Ohio Bobcats Win the 2026 MAC Championship?	Yes	BUY	57	15¢	$8	0xaa6456…
10-25 08:23:27	Will Nate Sheppard be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	Yes	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x9df685…
10-25 08:21:21	Will Nate Sheppard be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	Yes	SELL	16	21¢	$3	0x10d9ae…
10-25 08:21:11	Will Nate Sheppard be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	Yes	SELL	12	21¢	$2	0x4a7317…
10-25 08:20:11	Will Nate Sheppard be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	Yes	SELL	28	20¢	$6	0x7fb4ee…
10-25 08:16:53	Will Nate Sheppard be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	Yes	BUY	260	15¢	$40	0xa6c23e…
10-25 08:09:14	Will UTSA Roadrunners Win the 2026 American Conference?	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xd26edb…
10-25 07:48:38	Will Colorado have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x4706d4…
10-25 07:40:42	Will Cam Cook be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xffa649…
10-25 07:40:42	Will Cam Cook be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	Yes	SELL	22	16¢	$3	0x50e8fb…
10-25 07:19:00	Will Baylor have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	68	89¢	$61	0xbb4258…
10-25 06:02:14	Will Utah have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	SELL	40	49¢	$20	0xdb89c9…
10-25 05:47:39	Will Houston have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	60	79¢	$47	0xc783c7…
10-25 05:35:35	Will Houston have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xd648da…
10-25 05:35:12	Will Houston have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x8fd739…
10-25 05:35:02	Will Houston have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0xbf2aad…
10-25 05:01:39	Will Deshaun Watson be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0x16c0eb…
10-25 04:50:15	Will NC State have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0xfbec87…
10-25 04:33:05	Will New Mexico Lobos Win the 2026 Mountain West Championship?	Yes	SELL	70	51¢	$36	0x5c3d74…
10-25 04:29:12	Will Oklahoma State Cowboys Win the 2026 Big 12 Championship?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$19	0xea73fb…
10-25 04:29:08	Will Oklahoma State Cowboys Win the 2026 Big 12 Championship?	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x834853…
10-25 04:27:48	Will Arizona Wildcats Win the 2026 Big 12 Championship?	Yes	BUY	70	12¢	$8	0xa846c1…
10-25 04:14:45	Will Jayden Daniels be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	212	99¢	$210	0xe7fb35…
10-25 04:06:47	Will Texas State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x1a1260…
10-25 03:52:35	Will Texas State have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	SELL	88	81¢	$71	0x6cca81…
10-25 03:43:27	Will Texas State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	SELL	40	92¢	$37	0x4dc13d…
10-25 03:40:26	Will Texas State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xde500b…
10-25 03:35:14	Will DeSean Bishop be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	Yes	BUY	75	27¢	$20	0x0e087a…
10-25 03:27:54	Will DeSean Bishop be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	Yes	BUY	60	15¢	$9	0x791bd1…
10-25 03:24:39	Will Cam Cook be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	Yes	SELL	231	16¢	$38	0x3bc03b…