Vibrant-Dragonfly — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$89

Unrealized P&L

+$46

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

Trades

3,133

lifetime

Volume

$241.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$77

Open exposure

$1.24K

6 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 07-01 22:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

58% 0% $-65

Sports

40% 76% $-23

Politics

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	+645	$541	100¢	$643	+$102	06-28 03:04
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	+258	$237	93¢	$241	+$3	06-28 10:02
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	+250	$175	72¢	$181	+$6	07-01 15:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	+500	$132	30¢	$148	+$15	06-30 14:11
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	+250	$58	11¢	$26	$-31	06-26 15:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	+477	$52	0¢	$2	$-50	06-26 08:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	44	$4.9K	4,260	3,138	+1,122	open	—	06-28 03:04
ncaa tournament no 15 seed to win a game	24	$4.3K	2,302	2,302	-0	open	—	03-21 02:30
nba hou phx 2026 04 07 spread away 1pt5	30	$4.1K	3,879	3,879	+0	open	—	04-08 05:17
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	98	$3.7K	3,729	3,698	+31	Down	$-38	05-07 15:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	37	$3.2K	3,633	2,933	+700	open	—	07-01 15:10
cbb stlou ga 2026 03 19	8	$3.1K	1,569	1,569	+0	open	—	03-20 03:37
spy up or down on june 12 2026	23	$2.8K	3,448	1,250	+2,198	open	—	06-12 13:57
cbb ala mich 2026 03 27 total 172pt5	6	$2.8K	3,188	2,388	+800	open	—	03-27 09:25
nhl car ott 2026 04 05	4	$2.4K	1,194	1,194	+0	open	—	04-05 23:27
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	25	$2.2K	1,999	1,735	+264	open	—	07-01 20:52
atp shapova blockx 2026 04 06	32	$2.1K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	04-06 13:24
nhl sea col 2026 04 16 spread home 1pt5	19	$2.1K	4,190	0	+4,190	open	—	04-17 04:39
cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	2	$2.0K	1,000	3,000	-2,000	open	—	04-05 01:11
nba cha bos 2026 04 07 total 219pt5	7	$1.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-07 06:30
spy up or down on june 18 2026	15	$1.7K	1,175	1,175	+0	open	—	06-18 14:06
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	14	$1.7K	877	877	+0	open	—	06-27 01:43
nhl wsh cbj 2026 04 14 total 4pt5	2	$1.6K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	04-14 23:57
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	14	$1.6K	980	722	+258	open	—	06-28 10:02
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5	6	$1.5K	1,161	1,099	+62	open	—	05-24 02:30
nhl sj chi 2026 04 15	2	$1.5K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	04-16 01:31
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	23	$1.4K	1,100	1,100	+0	Colorado Rockies	+$11	05-13 15:14
spx opens up or down on february 23 2026	21	$1.4K	800	800	+0	open	—	02-23 14:06
wti up or down on june 18 2026	29	$1.4K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	06-18 15:36
will cape verde reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134498	14	$1.4K	714	714	+0	open	—	06-27 00:01
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	16	$1.3K	1,604	993	+611	open	—	05-22 14:23
cbb vand nebr 2026 03 21	3	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-22 02:15
cbb nebr iowa 2026 03 26	7	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-27 00:44
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	2	$1.3K	1,100	1,100	+0	Seattle Mariners	+$11	05-12 14:12
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)	5	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-24 07:16
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox	2	$1.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	Philadelphia Phillies	+$11	05-12 10:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 22:54:34	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x5c15c6…
07-01 22:38:47	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	United States	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x884ffa…
07-01 21:38:47	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match 20260701163439790	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x4a7652…
07-01 21:03:34	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	34	61¢	$21	0x49f592…
07-01 20:52:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	250	88¢	$220	0xcfd04d…
07-01 20:23:04	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	216	61¢	$132	0x91ada3…
07-01 19:31:01	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	SELL	200	79¢	$158	0x976333…
07-01 15:10:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	210	69¢	$145	0x87aba1…
07-01 15:07:41	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	161	70¢	$113	0xa28957…
07-01 15:07:38	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	89	70¢	$62	0xe5d49c…
07-01 14:23:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	210	68¢	$143	0x68f4af…
07-01 14:00:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	250	84¢	$210	0x656e89…
07-01 06:12:50	will colombia reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134508	No	SELL	30	48¢	$14	0x3e9743…
07-01 06:05:47	will colombia reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134508	No	SELL	83	48¢	$40	0xe14535…
07-01 06:01:41	will colombia reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134508	No	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x3009d2…
07-01 05:25:50	will colombia reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134508	No	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x440340…
07-01 05:20:05	will colombia reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134508	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x9f4d3c…
07-01 05:03:05	will colombia reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134508	No	BUY	250	47¢	$118	0x225815…
07-01 03:14:17	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0xd20f48…
07-01 02:36:22	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	210	78¢	$164	0x4a05bc…
06-30 22:53:29	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	SELL	250	78¢	$195	0x527d75…
06-30 14:11:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	250	35¢	$88	0x0a4374…
06-30 05:32:14	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	250	42¢	$105	0x387ae3…
06-30 04:03:04	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	244	37¢	$90	0x76ef61…
06-30 04:01:05	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x4519c4…
06-30 02:57:56	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xe1fea6…
06-30 02:57:13	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	250	36¢	$90	0xdceb62…
06-30 00:38:58	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	250	77¢	$192	0xd2a687…
06-29 23:57:50	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	SELL	250	79¢	$198	0x1f9f99…
06-29 23:44:46	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	250	76¢	$190	0x3251b5…
06-29 23:27:52	will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	Yes	SELL	250	76¢	$190	0xd47305…
06-29 23:26:59	will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	Yes	BUY	250	75¢	$188	0x16c2de…
06-29 19:54:43	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	15¢	$38	0xa3488d…
06-29 19:37:10	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	14¢	$35	0x75a8de…
06-29 14:58:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x11fd09…
06-29 10:44:53	will dr congo reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149752	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2b2e10…
06-29 08:47:32	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	16¢	$3	0x2605ee…
06-29 08:47:19	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	24	63¢	$15	0x761fd3…
06-29 03:26:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x1d7ae8…
06-29 02:10:11	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	250	60¢	$150	0x7cdd82…
06-28 17:40:01	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	217	17¢	$37	0x1c3c90…
06-28 13:39:29	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	SELL	249	85¢	$211	0xbf2f15…
06-28 13:23:26	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xc028e7…
06-28 10:02:19	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	210	94¢	$198	0xea0938…
06-28 08:07:56	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	17¢	$3	0xae116b…
06-28 05:35:32	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	29	94¢	$28	0xb34c46…
06-28 05:26:34	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	250	62¢	$155	0xaeb111…
06-28 05:19:25	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	53	94¢	$50	0xa67d31…
06-28 03:04:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	210	99¢	$207	0x0d87a9…
06-28 02:06:22	will the announcers say ronaldo during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914440	Yes	SELL	80	80¢	$64	0x7a6067…
06-28 02:01:35	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	114	94¢	$108	0xc71a20…
06-28 01:42:11	will the announcers say ronaldo during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914440	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xda4494…
06-28 01:41:55	will the announcers say ronaldo during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914440	Yes	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x9afdeb…
06-27 23:31:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	210	98¢	$206	0xad2765…
06-27 22:52:19	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0xecaba4…
06-27 21:10:41	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	210	94¢	$198	0xbee6c3…
06-27 16:42:38	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	16¢	$40	0x9a9121…
06-27 13:35:49	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	250	58¢	$145	0x7fb137…
06-27 11:24:56	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	250	38¢	$95	0x149f5d…
06-27 08:29:38	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	60	64¢	$38	0x516ab6…
06-27 07:33:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	210	95¢	$200	0x962b64…
06-27 04:16:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	210	94¢	$197	0xa2fabe…
06-27 03:25:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	210	94¢	$197	0x302cea…
06-27 01:43:02	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	412	99¢	$408	0xacc60f…
06-27 00:32:13	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0x1a6462…
06-27 00:01:52	will cape verde reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134498	No	SELL	82	96¢	$79	0x292761…
06-26 23:50:56	will cape verde reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134498	No	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0x1dc676…
06-26 23:47:26	will cape verde reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134498	No	SELL	105	96¢	$101	0x91078c…
06-26 21:54:22	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xc6b9f6…
06-26 21:53:37	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x0e749f…
06-26 21:53:29	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf0facb…
06-26 21:01:49	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	114	93¢	$106	0xe1ff73…
06-26 20:50:52	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	250	84¢	$210	0x1fd8f6…
06-26 15:54:44	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	BUY	250	23¢	$58	0x06404a…
06-26 14:44:23	will dr congo reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149752	No	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0x518a33…
06-26 13:29:10	will the announcers say ronaldo during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914440	Yes	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x4765a2…
06-26 10:14:46	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	250	37¢	$92	0x0b7628…
06-26 10:07:26	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x80ff1f…
06-26 10:02:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	31	58¢	$18	0xec249b…
06-26 08:53:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	210	13¢	$28	0x3962b8…
06-26 08:34:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	210	14¢	$29	0x624ec0…
06-26 08:21:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	210	13¢	$27	0x2973e2…
06-26 08:20:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc8d2cb…
06-26 08:20:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	26	56¢	$15	0x01acb8…
06-26 08:09:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	210	14¢	$29	0x53b18f…
06-26 08:06:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x9da6ee…
06-26 07:59:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	210	13¢	$27	0xebc684…
06-26 07:54:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xe11ea5…
06-26 07:53:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0xde7b17…
06-26 07:52:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	244	40¢	$98	0x435a54…
06-26 07:43:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	250	39¢	$98	0x4d3c08…
06-26 07:30:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	210	13¢	$28	0x3411db…
06-26 07:27:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	210	15¢	$31	0xffbfc0…
06-26 07:25:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0xff7c64…
06-26 07:25:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	310	13¢	$40	0xf04448…
06-26 07:25:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	146	13¢	$19	0x313756…
06-26 06:32:01	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xa43bce…
06-26 05:34:58	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	71	93¢	$66	0x4cd6e1…
06-26 05:09:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	250	50¢	$125	0x095144…
06-26 04:19:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$187	0x87787e…