Realized P&L
+$3.03K
Unrealized P&L
+$25
Hit rate
82.3%
Resolved
2,095
Trades
49,952
lifetime
Volume
$1.17M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$810
13 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 10-27 07:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 194 days
Categories
Other
64% 82% +$2,113
Sports
17% 82% +$486
Politics
15% 87% +$320
Crypto
3% 85% +$101
Pop-Culture
0% 75% +$10
Tech
0% 50% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2264 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +2,757 $394 14¢ $400 +$6 10-27 08:09
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +238 $116 45¢ $107 -$9 10-27 07:53
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +92 $49 96¢ $89 +$39 08-12 17:31
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +158 $67 55¢ $87 +$20 10-27 07:53
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +72 $70 100¢ $71 +$2 05-06 05:04
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +40 $33 89¢ $36 +$3 10-27 03:03
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +20 $12 60¢ $12 +$0 10-27 09:00
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-26 11:19
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +92 $39 4¢ $4 -$35 05-06 11:04
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +72 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 05-18 17:33
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 08-27 00:42
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 07-21 16:39
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $1 98¢ $0 -$1 08-22 17:33