Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.04K

Unrealized P&L

+$50

Hit rate

82.4%

Resolved

2,100

Trades

50,625

lifetime

Volume

$1.21M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$1.01K

13 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 10-28 16:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 194 days

Categories

Other

63% 82% +$2,121

Sports

18% 82% +$486

Politics

16% 87% +$320

Crypto

3% 85% +$101

Pop-Culture

0% 75% +$10

Tech

0% 50% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 2264 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	+3,600	$483	13¢	$479	-$4	10-28 13:01
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+318	$184	72¢	$229	+$45	10-28 16:10
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+92	$49	96¢	$89	+$39	08-12 17:31
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+72	$70	100¢	$71	+$2	05-06 05:04
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+238	$97	28¢	$67	-$30	10-27 21:02
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+40	$34	96¢	$39	+$5	10-28 01:09
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+28	-$3	97¢	$27	+$30	10-28 16:35
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	10-26 11:19
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+92	$39	4¢	$4	-$35	05-06 11:04
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+72	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	05-18 17:33
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	+0	$0	100¢	$0	+$0	08-27 00:42
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+0	$0	99¢	$0	+$0	07-21 16:39
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$1	98¢	$0	-$1	08-22 17:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2,709	$118.3K	76,102	76,102	+0	No	+$148	10-25 23:56
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	609	$27.7K	16,737	16,737	+0	Yes	+$98	10-25 23:54
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	403	$18.7K	9,592	9,564	+28	open	—	10-28 16:35
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	653	$16.0K	8,576	8,576	+0	No	+$39	10-26 22:50
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	556	$15.7K	10,828	10,768	+60	No	+$66	07-19 22:01
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	685	$12.3K	8,507	8,509	-1	Yes	+$17	10-26 22:50
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	654	$12.0K	7,786	7,786	+0	No	+$48	10-26 22:50
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	316	$8.9K	8,176	7,620	+555	open	—	10-28 16:10
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	117	$7.3K	3,916	3,916	+0	No	+$9	07-04 17:02
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	373	$7.2K	5,267	5,267	+0	Yes	-$2	07-19 22:01
atp zverev darderi 2026 09 07	118	$6.1K	3,162	3,122	+40	Alexander Zverev	+$3	09-08 03:46
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	393	$6.1K	12,210	0	+12,210	No	+$46	03-30 18:00
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	178	$5.8K	3,440	3,375	+65	No	+$22	07-14 20:47
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	260	$5.3K	10,690	0	+10,690	No	+$17	04-07 20:49
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	174	$5.2K	3,932	3,932	+0	No	+$19	07-15 21:00
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	195	$5.2K	3,883	3,817	+65	Spain	+$37	07-19 22:01
will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	221	$5.1K	10,304	0	+10,304	No	+$49	04-12 22:52
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	145	$5.0K	3,131	3,071	+60	Yes	-$31	07-15 21:02
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	387	$4.9K	9,879	0	+9,879	No	+$57	03-31 15:38
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	323	$4.9K	4,127	4,007	+120	No	+$43	07-19 10:44
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs	122	$4.7K	3,584	2,864	+720	BetBoom Team	-$64	10-17 20:09
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	52	$4.6K	2,439	2,439	+0	open	—	10-28 16:25
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	134	$4.6K	3,264	3,204	+60	Spain	+$10	07-14 20:54
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	295	$4.6K	4,112	4,072	+40	No	-$1	07-14 20:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	170	$4.5K	2,695	2,695	+0	No	+$5	07-29 16:07
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	428	$4.4K	3,220	3,220	+0	No	+$3	06-01 16:48
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox	103	$4.3K	2,211	2,171	+40	Cleveland Guardians	+$13	10-09 03:48
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	74	$4.2K	2,192	2,192	+0	open	—	10-28 10:28
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	104	$4.1K	2,907	2,907	+0	Yes	+$4	07-05 10:42
China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka	103	$4.0K	2,427	2,387	+40	Naomi Osaka	-$17	10-02 11:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 16:35:32	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x65a401…
10-28 16:25:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0x6682b5…
10-28 16:24:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0x8e7205…
10-28 16:20:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0x7cada4…
10-28 16:18:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0x68ce66…
10-28 16:16:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0x78f9ee…
10-28 16:12:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0xa50b17…
10-28 16:10:55	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	80	72¢	$58	0xda99f6…
10-28 16:09:22	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	80	76¢	$61	0x801907…
10-28 16:03:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0x3af475…
10-28 16:03:13	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	80	72¢	$58	0xf02b05…
10-28 16:00:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0x0513de…
10-28 15:58:47	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	80	69¢	$55	0x66a7e8…
10-28 15:58:10	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	80	67¢	$54	0x5dedcd…
10-28 15:57:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0xd7ec62…
10-28 15:55:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x5f6075…
10-28 15:55:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	80	95¢	$76	0xea238b…
10-28 15:54:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0xaad8ca…
10-28 15:54:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	120	96¢	$115	0x4fa77b…
10-28 15:54:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0xc37e4a…
10-28 15:53:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	96	95¢	$91	0x5080b8…
10-28 15:53:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0x6db8e2…
10-28 15:48:32	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	80	68¢	$54	0xf9f089…
10-28 15:47:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0x8127c0…
10-28 15:46:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0x9a66a9…
10-28 15:43:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0xa91dd4…
10-28 15:41:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	101	95¢	$96	0xb481fc…
10-28 15:41:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0x8821c5…
10-28 15:39:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0x07c512…
10-28 15:39:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0x1a9d91…
10-28 15:39:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	118	95¢	$112	0x38caa1…
10-28 15:38:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	118	95¢	$112	0x08facc…
10-28 15:37:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0x284d1d…
10-28 15:37:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xe3ada5…
10-28 15:37:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0xd7b5db…
10-28 15:36:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0x487bc6…
10-28 15:32:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0xbf6373…
10-28 15:29:01	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	80	67¢	$54	0x925c69…
10-28 15:28:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	77	95¢	$73	0x837b97…
10-28 15:22:41	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	80	68¢	$54	0x284555…
10-28 15:22:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0xa196e5…
10-28 15:22:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	95	95¢	$90	0x727efa…
10-28 15:21:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0xb612bb…
10-28 15:21:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x2079b2…
10-28 15:15:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0xe3a867…
10-28 15:14:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0x008ea6…
10-28 15:14:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	64	95¢	$61	0xdab61d…
10-28 15:14:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	30	95¢	$29	0x3019a9…
10-28 15:13:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0x47100e…
10-28 15:13:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0xe19788…
10-28 15:13:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0x6f89bb…
10-28 15:13:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0xec038b…
10-28 15:13:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0x0681e2…
10-28 15:13:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0xa1525f…
10-28 15:13:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0x682f3f…
10-28 15:13:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x566d20…
10-28 15:12:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0xf40403…
10-28 15:12:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x3fc395…
10-28 15:12:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0xdbaf85…
10-28 15:12:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0x1f51cc…
10-28 15:10:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0xaeac64…
10-28 15:09:50	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xe986ce…
10-28 15:09:19	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xa8c752…
10-28 15:05:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0x884d1a…
10-28 15:04:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0x863b19…
10-28 15:03:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0x909fcf…
10-28 15:01:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0x0e44d7…
10-28 14:54:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0xdc9572…
10-28 14:52:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0x485dda…
10-28 14:51:28	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0xe452f1…
10-28 14:50:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0xac7123…
10-28 14:48:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0x30dc61…
10-28 14:47:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	104	95¢	$98	0xacfa3b…
10-28 14:47:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x854d83…
10-28 14:45:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0x03b46d…
10-28 14:43:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0x97ae2f…
10-28 14:43:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0x2a23b7…
10-28 14:43:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	84	95¢	$80	0xbca926…
10-28 14:43:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0x0ae229…
10-28 14:43:02	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x25d6e9…
10-28 14:40:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0xf1cc27…
10-28 14:39:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	41	95¢	$39	0xe9fa12…
10-28 14:39:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	79	95¢	$74	0xa1e497…
10-28 14:36:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0x83bed5…
10-28 14:36:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0x2d77ca…
10-28 14:36:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x46f8c0…
10-28 14:36:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	98	95¢	$93	0xe0cb04…
10-28 14:35:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0x985cdb…
10-28 14:35:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0x9ea503…
10-28 14:34:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	76	95¢	$72	0xb7830a…
10-28 14:34:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xeefbc1…
10-28 14:34:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0xe99784…
10-28 14:34:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xb80017…
10-28 14:32:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	76	95¢	$72	0xeccb9e…
10-28 14:30:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x99a5dc…
10-28 14:30:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x4f3141…
10-28 14:30:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x8932a3…
10-28 14:30:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0x82bf07…
10-28 14:29:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	52	95¢	$49	0x44e759…
10-28 14:29:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0xf615dc…