Realized P&L
-$676.6K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
66.1%
Resolved
88
Trades
526
lifetime
Volume
$3.04M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5.78K
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-02-18
last 07-13 18:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 44 days
Categories
Politics
64%
79%
-$597,300
Crypto
15%
95%
-$25,070
Other
14%
82%
+$2,300
Sports
7%
0%
-$56,566
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-13).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 36 | $466.9K | 487,159 | 0 | +487,159 | No | +$20,301 | 03-30 07:41 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 30 | $335.6K | 348,719 | 0 | +348,719 | Yes | -$335,642 | 04-07 19:48 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129 | 7 | $208.1K | 161,335 | 67,502 | +93,833 | Yes | -$85,088 | 06-12 03:20 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 6 | $172.0K | 206,581 | 0 | +206,581 | Yes | -$172,000 | 04-01 09:08 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026 | 14 | $148.8K | 82,165 | 69,842 | +12,323 | No | +$2,747 | 06-07 19:31 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 41 | $135.0K | 833,953 | 833,953 | +0 | No | -$36,052 | 06-30 01:03 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 6 | $134.9K | 68,772 | 68,772 | +0 | No | +$2,518 | 04-04 07:59 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 9 | $111.0K | 113,517 | 0 | +113,517 | No | +$2,521 | 05-30 18:29 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | 16 | $104.5K | 52,849 | 52,849 | +0 | No | +$581 | 05-29 12:52 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? | 16 | $94.2K | 47,543 | 47,543 | +0 | No | +$286 | 05-26 09:20 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | 15 | $72.0K | 67,696 | 5,416 | +62,281 | No | +$1,116 | 05-29 14:09 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 15 | 10 | $67.5K | 71,565 | 0 | +71,565 | No | +$4,100 | 03-11 18:13 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May? | 14 | $64.3K | 32,484 | 32,484 | +0 | No | +$187 | 05-27 13:09 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346 | 3 | $56.2K | 53,230 | 53,230 | +0 | Yes | -$43,819 | 04-15 13:23 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 24 | $54.8K | 142,493 | 142,493 | +0 | No | -$2,056 | 07-13 17:43 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | 11 | $54.4K | 29,046 | 25,699 | +3,347 | No | +$230 | 05-29 14:54 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | 8 | $31.7K | 16,042 | 16,042 | +0 | No | +$268 | 05-30 18:15 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | 7 | $31.5K | 32,646 | 0 | +32,646 | No | +$1,146 | 05-30 18:29 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29? | 4 | $31.2K | 15,720 | 15,720 | +0 | No | +$165 | 05-29 16:18 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31 | 3 | $30.0K | 32,108 | 0 | +32,108 | No | +$2,117 | 03-20 23:44 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | 10 | $29.0K | 29,831 | 0 | +29,831 | No | +$781 | 05-30 18:09 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? | 6 | $29.0K | 14,647 | 14,647 | +0 | No | +$125 | 05-30 18:22 |
| us forces enter iran by march 7 | 1 | $27.9K | 28,379 | 0 | +28,379 | No | +$430 | 03-06 16:44 |
| bitcoin above 64k on july 14 2026 | 24 | $25.5K | 26,932 | 0 | +26,932 | Yes | -$25,514 | 07-13 17:46 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20? | 4 | $24.1K | 12,068 | 12,068 | +0 | Yes | +$56 | 05-20 13:15 |
| us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563 | 2 | $21.4K | 21,866 | 0 | +21,866 | No | +$446 | 02-23 21:21 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 12 | $21.4K | 73,727 | 5,510 | +68,217 | No | -$18,457 | 07-13 18:02 |
| us strikes iran by february 22 2026 | 1 | $21.1K | 21,444 | 0 | +21,444 | No | +$300 | 02-22 17:28 |
| us strikes iran by february 21 2026 | 1 | $20.9K | 21,144 | 0 | +21,144 | No | +$254 | 02-21 18:08 |
| us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553 | 2 | $20.6K | 20,891 | 0 | +20,891 | No | +$268 | 02-20 15:48 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||