Nutty-Handle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$109

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.8%

Resolved

Trades

3,430

lifetime

Volume

$308.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$90

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 23:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 79% +$96

Other

34% 100% +$13

Politics

7% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	20	$2.4K	1,754	1,754	+0	open	—	01-29 19:32
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	11	$2.0K	1,064	1,064	+0	open	—	03-31 19:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$2.0K	753	1,396	-643	open	—	07-05 12:17
will silver si hit low 55 by end of february 998 393 222 319 616 673 571 163	8	$1.9K	1,034	1,034	+0	open	—	02-25 04:39
will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of february 542 564 882 215 825 637 559 654 593 764 923	11	$1.9K	1,001	1,001	+0	open	—	02-21 23:21
will bitcoin reach 78k march 2 8	15	$1.7K	1,587	1,587	+0	open	—	03-07 10:35
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	18	$1.7K	1,413	1,218	+195	open	—	06-28 00:18
will bitcoin reach 72k february 9 15	15	$1.6K	1,228	1,029	+199	open	—	02-15 12:00
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	7	$1.6K	979	979	+0	open	—	01-18 05:47
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	13	$1.6K	1,136	1,136	+0	open	—	02-27 21:33
will bitcoin dip to 66k march 16 22	12	$1.5K	950	946	+4	open	—	03-22 20:27
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	14	$1.5K	1,457	1,457	+0	open	—	03-02 11:06
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	11	$1.5K	1,039	1,039	+0	open	—	02-25 04:29
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	8	$1.5K	769	768	+0	open	—	03-25 07:24
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	8	$1.5K	922	922	+0	open	—	07-08 10:11
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	10	$1.5K	812	812	+0	open	—	01-29 19:32
will gold gc hit low 4200 by end of february 891 227 734 585 416 787 933 185 752 713 424	7	$1.4K	804	804	+0	open	—	02-25 04:38
will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	8	$1.4K	932	932	+0	open	—	02-17 07:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	10	$1.4K	1,038	1,379	-340	open	—	07-05 08:07
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	14	$1.4K	935	935	+0	open	—	06-26 05:04
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	11	$1.3K	1,893	576	+1,317	open	—	06-26 22:14
will ethereum reach 3800 in january 2026	7	$1.3K	700	700	+0	open	—	01-29 19:33
will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	6	$1.3K	691	691	+0	open	—	02-10 12:18
will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	10	$1.3K	695	695	+0	open	—	07-23 21:47
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	5	$1.3K	658	658	+0	open	—	07-06 08:17
will bitcoin reach 80k march 2 8	7	$1.2K	646	646	+0	open	—	03-06 20:30
will ethereum dip to 2000 march 16 22	20	$1.2K	1,858	802	+1,056	open	—	03-23 03:32
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	6	$1.2K	685	685	+0	open	—	07-12 08:37
will bitcoin reach 76k march 2 8	9	$1.2K	790	790	+0	open	—	03-07 19:58
will bitcoin reach 78k february 16 22	4	$1.2K	623	623	+0	open	—	02-18 12:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 08:31:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	162	93¢	$150	0xd31ede…
08-11 08:24:37	will bitcoin dip to 60k august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xdad7fb…
08-11 08:22:52	will bitcoin reach 68k august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0xd683b9…
08-11 07:58:30	will xauusd reach 4500 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xdb5c6a…
08-11 07:21:25	will xauusd dip to 3600 in august 2026	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x69fb16…
08-10 23:42:34	will xauusd dip to 3600 in august 2026	No	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0x3be580…
08-10 12:39:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	SELL	120	99¢	$118	0xe873b9…
08-10 12:36:33	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xaf3027…
08-10 12:33:45	will xauusd reach 4500 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xc2dc38…
08-10 12:32:25	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x78d654…
08-10 12:26:46	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x809225…
08-09 22:13:21	will ethereum reach 2000 august 3 9 2026	Yes	BUY	2,542	1¢	$20	0x1b79d4…
08-09 22:11:31	will ethereum reach 2000 august 3 9 2026	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0xa8c689…
08-09 22:02:10	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xbadb5d…
08-09 22:02:04	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x01a93f…
08-09 22:01:49	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741055	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x81653d…
08-09 22:01:21	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	No	BUY	205	73¢	$150	0xd65dfb…
08-09 22:00:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x93ce27…
08-09 21:58:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xbd1d3f…
08-09 21:41:48	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0xdecc27…
08-09 21:40:22	will xagusd reach 68 in august 2026	No	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x4b651f…
08-09 21:35:55	will xauusd reach 4550 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	102	88¢	$90	0x2498eb…
08-09 21:35:21	will xauusd reach 4450 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x5c29b8…
08-09 21:34:19	will xauusd dip to 4300 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x9193c8…
08-09 21:15:55	will ethereum reach 2000 august 3 9 2026	Yes	BUY	350	1¢	$2	0x2fb1ac…
08-09 12:04:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	125	2¢	$2	0xd7da91…
08-09 11:58:00	will ethereum reach 2000 august 3 9 2026	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$3	0x8aada6…
08-08 23:52:25	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	No	SELL	143	56¢	$80	0x847eab…
08-08 23:41:43	will ethereum reach 2000 august 3 9 2026	Yes	BUY	208	5¢	$10	0x415fe1…
08-08 23:04:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	120	92¢	$110	0x4038a6…
08-08 16:41:16	will xauusd dip to 3800 in august 2026	No	SELL	124	98¢	$121	0xabfc0b…
08-08 05:21:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x2d32b3…
08-08 05:20:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xfc0bb9…
08-08 05:16:46	will xagusd reach 68 in august 2026	No	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xa46cdb…
08-08 05:16:01	will xagusd reach 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x5b1b7d…
08-08 05:14:42	will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	No	BUY	229	87¢	$200	0x585774…
08-08 05:14:07	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	No	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xa4f7d8…
08-08 05:14:03	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	No	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x187c32…
08-08 05:04:21	will ethereum dip to 1700 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	91	27¢	$25	0xf2ee97…
08-07 11:29:25	will xauusd dip to 3700 in august 2026	No	SELL	109	98¢	$107	0x1ab84d…
08-07 08:18:27	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	No	SELL	11	63¢	$7	0x7c569b…
08-07 07:47:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x91a928…
08-07 07:41:24	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	No	SELL	30	63¢	$19	0x9bfe96…
08-07 07:37:03	will xauusd reach 4400 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xd43e43…
08-07 07:28:15	will bitcoin reach 66k august 3 9 2026	Yes	BUY	136	22¢	$30	0x1b2d75…
08-07 07:25:51	will bitcoin reach 66k august 3 9 2026	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x7dd2f5…
08-07 07:23:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xeff68e…
08-07 07:22:40	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741055	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0xe2e63b…
08-07 07:22:19	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	No	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xe3c3b9…
08-07 07:21:57	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	BUY	112	67¢	$75	0x9eb0af…
08-07 07:20:34	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	No	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0xa7c5a7…
08-06 21:25:24	will ethereum reach 2200 in august 2026	No	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xd73dc8…
08-06 21:24:36	will ethereum dip to 1800 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x9c9fbe…
08-06 08:52:33	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	No	BUY	70	86¢	$60	0x785ac6…
08-06 08:52:12	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	No	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x3958f1…
08-06 08:49:44	will xauusd dip to 3900 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x683a18…
08-06 08:49:29	will xauusd dip to 3950 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0x2864d0…
08-05 22:16:41	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x01d39f…
08-05 22:16:26	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x23da3f…
08-05 22:14:59	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xc34156…
08-05 22:12:23	will xagusd reach 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xa0a943…
08-05 22:12:15	will xagusd reach 72 in august 2026	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x8c3510…
08-05 22:11:53	will xagusd reach 72 in august 2026	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xda4f81…
08-05 22:11:09	will xagusd dip to 52 in august 2026	No	BUY	89	90¢	$80	0x67b79f…
08-05 22:10:20	will xagusd dip to 54 in august 2026	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x71bacc…
08-05 22:08:08	will xauusd dip to 3900 in august 2026	No	BUY	227	88¢	$200	0x803f15…
08-05 22:07:00	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	No	BUY	80	87¢	$70	0xb4fa8c…
08-05 22:06:33	will xauusd reach 4400 in august 2026	No	SELL	56	44¢	$24	0x0c21a0…
08-05 21:56:41	will ethereum dip to 1800 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x489f07…
08-05 21:55:33	will ethereum dip to 1800 august 3 9 2026	Yes	SELL	70	17¢	$12	0x10335c…
08-05 21:47:32	will bitcoin dip to 60k august 3 9 2026	Yes	SELL	118	4¢	$5	0x824ff8…
08-05 21:47:09	will bitcoin reach 68k august 3 9 2026	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x3ac29e…
08-05 21:45:51	will bitcoin reach 66k august 3 9 2026	No	SELL	30	53¢	$16	0x8b07f3…
08-05 08:20:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	90	28¢	$25	0x8801fe…
08-05 08:20:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	97	52¢	$50	0x0d3a96…
08-05 07:53:57	will ethereum reach 2100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x309d57…
08-05 07:53:33	will ethereum reach 2000 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x39185a…
08-05 07:52:06	will ethereum reach 2200 in august 2026	No	SELL	120	83¢	$100	0x7b2104…
08-05 07:51:02	will ethereum dip to 1600 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	78	21¢	$16	0xc53b8a…
08-05 07:50:27	will ethereum dip to 1500 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	111	10¢	$11	0x4f60aa…
08-05 07:49:45	will ethereum dip to 1400 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	83	5¢	$4	0x596c59…
08-05 07:47:59	will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	Yes	BUY	227	2¢	$5	0x21805d…
08-05 07:46:30	will ethereum reach 2000 august 3 9 2026	Yes	BUY	58	12¢	$7	0x170e17…
08-05 07:46:11	will ethereum reach 2000 august 3 9 2026	No	SELL	57	88¢	$51	0xc489f8…
08-05 07:46:03	will ethereum reach 2100 august 3 9 2026	Yes	BUY	153	3¢	$5	0xbac832…
08-05 07:43:53	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	SELL	75	73¢	$55	0x3726b9…
08-05 07:41:59	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	SELL	111	47¢	$52	0x7e153a…
08-05 07:40:17	will bitcoin reach 70k august 3 9 2026	Yes	BUY	208	2¢	$5	0x15ac0a…
08-05 07:40:06	will bitcoin reach 68k august 3 9 2026	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x495836…
08-05 07:39:45	will bitcoin reach 66k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x022f0b…
08-05 07:39:03	will bitcoin reach 66k august 3 9 2026	No	SELL	96	66¢	$64	0x09433a…
08-05 07:38:51	will bitcoin reach 68k august 3 9 2026	No	SELL	212	93¢	$197	0xa081fd…
08-05 07:36:56	will bitcoin reach 66k august 3 9 2026	No	SELL	96	66¢	$64	0x302cba…
08-05 07:33:18	will xagusd dip to 54 in august 2026	No	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xb0c9fd…
08-05 07:32:51	will xagusd dip to 52 in august 2026	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xb1cd76…
08-05 07:30:06	will xauusd reach 4400 in august 2026	No	SELL	56	80¢	$44	0x17fd8e…
08-05 07:26:51	will xauusd reach 4200 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0xf1e9db…
08-05 07:22:41	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x5aed81…
08-04 12:09:29	will openais valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 366 424	No	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xcbc02c…
08-04 10:56:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	234	86¢	$201	0xa2d5e1…