Realized P&L
-$1.63K
Unrealized P&L
-$490
Hit rate
74.3%
Resolved
1,170
Trades
3,909
lifetime
Volume
$340.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$87
Open exposure
$4.77K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 07:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 203 days
Categories
Crypto
54% 64% -$510
Other
36% 58% -$185
Politics
7% 50% -$1,480
Tech
2% 80% +$606
Sports
0% 0% -$60
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +1,414 $1,010 80¢ $1.1K +$128 08-20 10:52
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +1,007 $720 73¢ $735 +$15 10-15 09:34
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +622 $500 89¢ $554 +$54 11-01 21:04
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +538 $420 84¢ $452 +$32 10-16 07:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +480 $450 94¢ $451 +$1 10-12 20:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +449 $400 88¢ $398 -$2 11-01 21:06
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No +213 $200 98¢ $209 +$9 08-23 11:12
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922 No +604 $433 34¢ $205 -$228 08-14 11:00
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +221 $17 43¢ $95 +$78 10-31 04:08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +115 $100 82¢ $95 -$5 11-01 21:19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +133 $100 70¢ $92 -$8 10-15 20:40
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No +390 $379 18¢ $70 -$309 10-17 20:36
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +62 $50 100¢ $62 +$12 10-13 07:04
will anthropics valuation hit low 700b by december 31 928 Yes +1,841 $100 3¢ $60 -$40 07-08 10:24
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +68 $50 66¢ $45 -$5 10-27 06:20
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +3,333 $100 1¢ $42 -$58 05-27 10:22
will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743 Yes +500 $50 4¢ $22 -$28 07-17 22:08
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +195 $20 6¢ $11 -$9 08-29 22:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -59 -$6 18¢ $-10 -$4 06-15 08:57
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? Yes +185 $120 5¢ $9 -$111 08-23 11:11
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +1,471 $10 0¢ $7 -$3 06-24 21:53
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +469 $10 1¢ $6 -$4 10-10 07:09
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,000 $5 0¢ $3 -$1 07-17 12:32
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +500 $2 0¢ $1 -$2 07-17 12:32