Upset-Subject — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$4.09K

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

Trades

11,865

lifetime

Volume

$14.1M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.19K

Open exposure

$4.30K

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 07-02 15:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

56% — —

Politics

28% 75% +$20,721

Sports

16% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 1236 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes		-4,556	$-3,475	94¢	$-4296	$-821	06-19 18:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes		+0	$3,266	26¢	$0	$-3,266	07-02 15:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	419	$2.43M	2,397,582	59,742	+2,337,840	open	—	05-16 09:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	76	$1.08M	823,793	276,973	+546,820	No	+$13,755	05-11 20:50
cbb ucf ucla 2026 03 20	276	$735.2K	567,230	527,385	+39,845	open	—	03-20 22:13
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	669	$651.4K	1,012,458	1,012,458	+0	open	—	02-28 07:36
cbb pur arz 2026 03 28	94	$592.1K	1,013,955	1,013,955	+0	open	—	03-28 21:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	50	$470.9K	594,354	43,000	+551,354	open	—	05-27 17:30
nba gsw phx 2026 04 17 total 219pt5	280	$406.8K	422,875	422,874	+1	open	—	04-17 22:00
cbb vcu ncar 2026 03 19	2	$359.7K	321,120	321,120	+0	open	—	03-19 14:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	347	$350.8K	1,076,641	988,355	+88,286	open	—	05-29 22:05
cbb iowa clmsn 2026 03 20	1,125	$322.8K	382,300	209,266	+173,034	open	—	03-20 22:13
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	68	$318.0K	366,563	365,508	+1,054	open	—	02-28 07:44
epl ars bou 2026 04 11 ars	8	$310.0K	500,000	500,000	+0	open	—	04-11 09:32
cbb tenn vir 2026 03 22	134	$306.9K	300,000	300,000	+0	open	—	03-22 20:59
cbb tcu ohiost 2026 03 19	2	$284.6K	251,885	251,885	+0	open	—	03-19 15:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	67	$248.9K	250,000	0	+250,000	No	+$1,136	05-09 00:25
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	16	$246.8K	128,311	128,311	+0	open	—	05-04 11:06
epl bou lee 2026 04 22 bou	177	$229.1K	229,748	229,747	+2	open	—	04-22 18:01
nba mia cha 2026 04 14	436	$226.1K	370,679	370,679	+0	open	—	04-14 21:57
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	295	$202.9K	342,842	127,715	+215,126	open	—	02-28 07:42
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	50	$183.3K	100,129	100,129	+0	open	—	05-22 04:07
cbb utahst arz 2026 03 22	144	$177.7K	600,000	600,000	+0	open	—	03-22 21:50
spx up or down on february 24 2026	32	$137.5K	65,176	74,883	-9,707	open	—	02-24 19:42
nhl edm lak 2026 04 11	50	$130.8K	134,576	134,576	+0	open	—	04-11 13:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	43	$127.3K	116,977	116,972	+5	open	—	05-21 18:43
cbb sfl lou 2026 03 19	148	$109.2K	86,428	86,428	+0	open	—	03-19 07:40
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	322	$104.5K	100,000	98,031	+1,969	open	—	05-18 19:20
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	38	$102.0K	51,166	51,166	+0	open	—	03-08 21:34
nhl car utah 2026 04 11	56	$99.3K	109,430	109,430	+0	open	—	04-11 13:40
cbb hpnt wisc 2026 03 19	11	$98.4K	266,005	266,005	+0	open	—	03-19 16:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	124	$95.5K	104,820	104,820	+0	open	—	07-02 15:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 23:23:11	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	27	54¢	$15	0xf89308…
07-02 23:23:11	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	29	54¢	$16	0xdf84bb…
07-02 23:23:11	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0xb2094b…
07-02 23:23:11	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	5	54¢	$2	0x24469b…
07-02 23:23:11	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x241670…
07-02 23:23:01	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xdfaf68…
07-02 21:56:52	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	45	49¢	$22	0x8ab72d…
07-02 21:56:41	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0xa4268a…
07-02 21:56:07	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	863	49¢	$423	0xe6ff9a…
07-02 21:55:23	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	153	49¢	$75	0x0b7d1d…
07-02 21:54:01	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	603	49¢	$295	0x935bbe…
07-02 21:53:44	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	8,943	49¢	$4,382	0x44af18…
07-02 21:46:02	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	4,096	48¢	$1,976	0x3ecd4b…
07-02 21:45:49	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	4,145	48¢	$2,000	0xbc5c14…
07-02 21:45:37	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	37	48¢	$18	0x5d26d4…
07-02 21:45:28	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	4,145	48¢	$2,000	0x55f206…
07-02 21:44:50	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x188c3a…
07-02 21:44:43	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0xc619e6…
07-02 21:44:43	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x711924…
07-02 21:44:40	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0xa31cfb…
07-02 21:44:40	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x304e90…
07-02 21:44:40	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x2d695b…
07-02 21:44:40	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x292ac7…
07-02 21:44:38	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x86e8bf…
07-02 21:44:38	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x2719f3…
07-02 21:44:37	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x47e511…
07-02 21:44:35	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xaf3acc…
07-02 21:44:35	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x141ffa…
07-02 21:44:32	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xdda7b3…
07-02 21:44:31	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x481a2b…
07-02 21:41:41	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	7,540	48¢	$3,582	0xfccbd2…
07-02 21:40:11	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	800	48¢	$380	0xe6b22d…
07-02 21:40:11	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	400	48¢	$190	0xd47fb7…
07-02 21:40:11	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	320	48¢	$152	0xacd4d7…
07-02 21:40:11	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	2,800	48¢	$1,330	0xa466dc…
07-02 21:40:11	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	640	48¢	$304	0x2a2857…
07-02 21:27:19	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	8,055	47¢	$3,766	0x804654…
07-02 21:27:11	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xfdd2d4…
07-02 21:26:35	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x307d09…
07-02 21:26:13	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	856	47¢	$400	0x3b8491…
07-02 21:25:35	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xc14842…
07-02 21:25:20	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	30	47¢	$14	0xfe4aee…
07-02 21:24:34	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	1,204	47¢	$563	0x8e3000…
07-02 21:23:32	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	214	47¢	$100	0x2a81c2…
07-02 21:23:04	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	1,047	47¢	$490	0xf3903c…
07-02 21:22:44	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	200	47¢	$94	0xba62d9…
07-02 21:22:29	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	215	47¢	$101	0x9c587d…
07-02 21:22:17	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0x566dd6…
07-02 21:21:25	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	26	47¢	$12	0x5c7ca1…
07-02 21:21:07	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	549	47¢	$257	0x2a7235…
07-02 21:04:23	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	6,131	46¢	$2,820	0xe9e251…
07-02 21:04:20	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x0cba09…
07-02 21:04:08	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	6,358	46¢	$2,925	0x09d4ad…
07-02 21:00:43	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	12,500	45¢	$5,656	0x63f3c1…
07-02 20:54:49	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	4,559	44¢	$2,029	0xb2d8d5…
07-02 20:54:49	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	768	44¢	$342	0x3574ae…
07-02 20:54:47	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	304	44¢	$135	0xfbc83c…
07-02 20:54:47	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	400	44¢	$178	0xa19f8e…
07-02 20:54:47	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	784	44¢	$349	0x5c54b6…
07-02 20:54:47	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	40	44¢	$18	0x546969…
07-02 20:54:47	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	800	44¢	$356	0x467da2…
07-02 20:54:47	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	640	44¢	$285	0x0bb7f6…
07-02 20:54:35	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	43	44¢	$19	0x7b7cf3…
07-02 20:54:35	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	1,738	44¢	$773	0x607877…
07-02 20:54:34	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	35	44¢	$15	0x3ec92f…
07-02 20:54:04	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xfb2304…
07-02 20:54:04	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	242	44¢	$108	0xf02cf4…
07-02 20:53:53	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	54	44¢	$24	0xd9e3f3…
07-02 20:53:53	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	44	44¢	$19	0x058795…
07-02 20:53:52	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	225	44¢	$100	0xf0058e…
07-02 20:53:49	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	1,822	44¢	$811	0x8ef79b…
07-02 19:07:38	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	382	47¢	$179	0xc3115c…
07-02 19:07:02	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	44	47¢	$21	0xd1b7a1…
07-02 19:07:02	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	1,855	47¢	$867	0xbae885…
07-02 15:47:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1,586	27¢	$428	0xbff328…
07-02 15:47:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1,029	27¢	$278	0x5315cd…
07-02 15:47:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2,615	27¢	$706	0x6a623d…
06-30 22:57:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	17,207	31¢	$5,382	0x8ec454…
06-30 22:57:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1,313	31¢	$407	0x322532…
06-29 15:57:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xd454db…
06-29 15:31:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x89784a…
06-29 15:30:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x378bfe…
06-29 15:30:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	35	41¢	$14	0xd2dd34…
06-29 14:58:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	342	41¢	$140	0xe71313…
06-29 14:58:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	3,029	41¢	$1,242	0x7f8d48…
06-29 14:58:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	21,943	41¢	$8,997	0x094f37…
06-29 07:41:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	277	38¢	$105	0x581ab2…
06-29 01:23:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	58	41¢	$24	0xfe6707…
06-29 01:16:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xf9cb6a…
06-29 01:05:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xa4beec…
06-29 01:05:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	4	41¢	$1	0x31e7c8…
06-29 01:05:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xd6c44b…
06-29 01:05:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0x84db10…
06-29 01:05:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x8e7dce…
06-29 01:04:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	116	41¢	$48	0xb7de53…
06-29 01:04:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	4	41¢	$1	0x4d0248…
06-29 01:04:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x389af1…
06-29 01:04:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x31786f…
06-29 01:04:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	24	41¢	$10	0x486bca…
06-29 00:57:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x4097e5…