Terrible-Email — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

179

Trades

187

lifetime

Volume

$4.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$26

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-11 15:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 111 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 100% +$8

Other

41% 100% +$6

Politics

6% 100% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No		+26	$26	100¢	$26	+$0	10-24 07:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	1	$77	77	0	+77	No	+$0	07-08 05:01
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	1	$75	75	0	+75	No	+$0	09-14 09:55
will bitcoin dip to 60k august 3 9 2026	1	$74	74	0	+74	No	+$0	08-08 14:27
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	2	$71	72	0	+72	No	+$0	04-22 07:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 8?	1	$70	70	0	+70	Yes	+$0	10-07 13:31
ethereum above 1800 on july 16 2026	1	$69	69	0	+69	Yes	+$0	07-16 02:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?	1	$67	67	0	+67	No	+$0	08-27 16:40
bitcoin above 60k on july 12 2026	1	$64	64	0	+64	Yes	+$0	07-11 10:20
bitcoin above 60k on august 16 2026	1	$63	63	0	+63	Yes	+$0	08-15 18:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?	1	$63	63	0	+63	No	+$0	07-29 05:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 7?	1	$60	60	0	+60	Yes	+$0	11-07 11:05
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	06-20 20:10
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 April 27-May 3?	2	$53	54	0	+54	No	+$0	05-02 05:42
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 28-October 4?	1	$53	53	0	+53	No	+$0	10-03 01:35
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$52	53	0	+53	No	+$0	06-24 20:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 16?	1	$51	51	0	+51	No	+$0	10-16 10:05
bitcoin above 74k on august 23 2026	1	$51	51	0	+51	Yes	+$0	08-23 10:54
ethereum above 2500 on april 21	1	$48	49	0	+49	No	+$0	04-21 03:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 19-25?	1	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	10-24 14:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 12?	2	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	05-10 23:55
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 12	2	$46	23	23	+0	No	+$0	04-12 11:28
ethereum above 1700 on july 4 2026	1	$45	46	0	+46	Yes	+$0	07-04 07:20
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	1	$45	46	0	+46	No	+$0	08-17 17:48
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in May 2026?	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	05-30 07:10
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	05-30 21:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	1	$43	43	0	+43	No	+$0	09-29 15:02
bitcoin above 60k on july 10 2026	2	$40	41	0	+41	Yes	+$0	07-09 23:27
bitcoin above 56k on june 6 2026	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	06-06 07:17
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?	1	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	04-28 23:40
bitcoin above 54k on july 3 2026	1	$39	39	0	+39	Yes	+$0	07-02 06:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 15:12:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xb359a8…
11-11 03:57:37	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on November 10?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x3a6df1…
11-07 17:21:16	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaf3b04…
11-07 11:05:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 7?	Yes	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x20d297…
11-04 02:58:37	Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xccc280…
10-31 20:45:48	Will Solana dip to $90 in October?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x597f29…
10-25 22:10:44	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0xec1ff9…
10-24 14:59:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xbe5878…
10-24 07:24:42	Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x44ee3c…
10-21 10:33:33	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0c6e4c…
10-18 16:31:51	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x47018d…
10-16 10:05:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 16?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xbb3fb0…
10-11 06:41:26	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 5-11?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa89bb4…
10-07 13:31:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x265e62…
10-03 08:24:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 4?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x979186…
10-03 01:35:51	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x150bd7…
09-30 18:31:42	bitcoin above 92k on october 2 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xce4ba6…
09-29 15:02:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x91f725…
09-28 03:39:41	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x3fe9a7…
09-25 03:09:45	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xeb8cd7…
09-21 05:15:16	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0x0bc9bf…
09-20 03:25:01	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xf73808…
09-14 09:55:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x1263b7…
09-12 08:39:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 12?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x70698c…
08-28 19:56:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 29?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe24f0a…
08-27 16:40:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x2fbcce…
08-26 09:44:46	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4af6e7…
08-23 10:54:40	bitcoin above 74k on august 23 2026	Yes	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xa813ce…
08-21 11:16:30	bitcoin above 68k on august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe010c1…
08-18 11:30:25	bitcoin above 62k on august 18 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd00b6d…
08-17 17:48:54	Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0x0b5888…
08-15 18:05:54	bitcoin above 60k on august 16 2026	Yes	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x84e139…
08-13 10:04:25	will bitcoin reach 72k august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xe53947…
08-08 16:30:01	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in July?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7252c0…
08-08 14:27:43	will bitcoin dip to 60k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0xc42479…
07-29 05:05:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xcec6d2…
07-29 00:57:41	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in July?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x515758…
07-25 20:35:52	bitcoin above 66k on july 26 2026	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x341a27…
07-23 19:47:30	ethereum above 2000 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4e473e…
07-19 21:20:18	bitcoin above 60k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$37	0x455179…
07-17 12:14:43	will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3833dc…
07-16 02:53:31	ethereum above 1800 on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	69	99¢	$69	0xfbd0f4…
07-14 15:38:05	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x35c95c…
07-14 10:49:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 14?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x814bfc…
07-13 00:40:52	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x6a1be8…
07-11 10:51:26	will ethereum reach 2000 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x79dec6…
07-11 10:20:02	bitcoin above 60k on july 12 2026	Yes	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x191dd7…
07-09 23:27:19	bitcoin above 60k on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe64aa0…
07-09 20:45:28	bitcoin above 60k on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x50b53e…
07-08 05:01:20	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xe98cae…
07-06 08:49:44	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb4964b…
07-05 03:13:19	bitcoin above 60k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6bbb5a…
07-04 19:20:34	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xdbaceb…
07-04 14:47:37	will ethereum reach 2000 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0xe1a777…
07-04 07:20:11	ethereum above 1700 on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$45	0x06743f…
07-03 21:46:05	will ethereum dip to 1500 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2ec593…
07-02 22:25:07	bitcoin above 54k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x25d90b…
07-02 06:27:22	bitcoin above 54k on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xdf85bc…
07-01 09:29:55	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xa60901…
06-30 13:19:44	Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x14de27…
06-29 21:34:52	will strc hit 100 by june 30 20260618001621117	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x97890f…
06-25 05:35:22	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 26 20260622192122519	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xbaf036…
06-24 20:53:41	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$52	0xa2db73…
06-23 20:51:47	will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 23	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4b9191…
06-23 02:13:40	ethereum above 1600 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x300900…
06-22 02:14:52	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xdf6b93…
06-22 00:33:08	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x06f8da…
06-20 20:10:47	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x97e5a0…
06-07 16:02:43	Will annual inflation be 3.9% in May?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x9301c0…
06-06 07:17:27	bitcoin above 56k on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xc2ffad…
06-03 11:57:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc9891a…
06-03 01:26:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 4?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x5a2689…
06-02 23:07:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 4?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x108d3b…
06-02 04:55:41	Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x35703c…
06-01 13:56:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x105215…
05-30 21:39:04	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4f2c2c…
05-30 12:52:15	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x39986f…
05-30 07:10:34	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xf9673c…
05-29 16:37:21	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xcbed4b…
05-29 08:50:58	Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xee441c…
05-28 11:05:42	Will Watani Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x038536…
05-27 21:36:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xcdb27a…
05-27 16:06:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 28?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x1a9d04…
05-27 08:49:25	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x662c8b…
05-26 23:45:19	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd87ce9…
05-26 15:01:33	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xda555d…
05-25 23:41:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xe10d6c…
05-25 00:00:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe52943…
05-24 20:17:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x55a712…
05-24 02:34:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x7a18e7…
05-23 14:22:03	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 122m?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc548a7…
05-23 06:22:01	Will Michele Boldrin win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$35	0xf4f273…
05-22 20:08:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 23?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd78711…
05-21 19:32:10	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x1e2362…
05-21 02:23:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf95ad2…
05-20 22:27:14	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1b2f91…
05-20 09:00:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa45419…
05-20 08:18:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x23087b…
05-19 17:03:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8590e8…
05-19 05:58:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb011ef…